A heads up to everyone living between Houston,Texas and the Florida panhandle. TropicalStormHumberto is gonna be dumping a LOT of rain on you within a very short time. May even become a hurricane before landfall. Strong possiblility of flooding, and some possibility of spawning secondary tornados. The current position is ~20miles southSouthEast of Galveston. However, the most reliable of the computer models have Humberto doing a loop back into Gulf of Mexico. Humberto already has a history of roaring back from what has killed other storms. 90L was declared dead for 24 hours before returning as an Invest, then strengthened into a strong TropicalStorm after predictions of landfall as a weak TropicalDepression at most. So the remnants of Humberto may very well restrengthen in the Gulf of Mexico to make a second landfall as a major hurricane.
[ September 13, 2007, 07:34 AM: Message edited by: aspectre ]
Posted by scholar (Member # 9232) on :
My husband's school has shut down until noon. Mine, of course, is still up and running. We could have a hurricane directly over our campus and they'd probably still hold class.
Posted by aspectre (Member # 2222) on :
Humberto has been upgraded to Hurricane, with it's center last reported to be just EastNorthEast of Galveston, and continuing to head ENE enough to avoid a formal declaration of landfall.
A campus building is probably the safest place that most civilians can be during a hurricane. Most of the newer*permanent buildings on college campuses in hurricane-prone areas are structurally engineered to survive Category5 storms.
* ie built in the 1970s or later
[ September 13, 2007, 03:39 AM: Message edited by: aspectre ]
Posted by aspectre (Member # 2222) on :
The center of HurricaneHumbert made landfall about directly east of HighIsland and followed the coast EastNorthEastward into SeaRimStatePark toward SabinePass,Texas , where Hurricane Rita made it's landfall in 2005.
A straightline projection (which is rarely accurate) takes it up to halfway between LakeCharles and Lafayette in Louisiana. As of last reports, Humberto has gotten tighter, is looking even more hurricane-like. The land it's traveling over is flat marsh barely above sea-level -- eg though much farther inland, LakeCharles is only ~13feet/~4metres above sea-level -- so Humberto isn't losing much energy to obstructions.
Posted by Lyrhawn (Member # 7039) on :
I know it's selfish, but I'm glad it missed Houston, I have family there.
I hope everyone else is alright though. I suspect to many in Alabama and Georgia, they'll be glad for the rain, which won't be hurricane force when it gets there, considering the drought they're in.
Posted by aspectre (Member # 2222) on :
Humberto still looks like it's going to make a quick loop back into the Gulf of Mexico.
Posted by Farmgirl (Member # 5567) on :
Well, the forecasters sure got this one wrong. They were sure it would decrease, even from it's tropical depression status, before landfall, last I had heard on TV.
Then suddenly it went "hurricane"
(and since you said "Apres vonk, les deluges" and I have no idea what that means-- I may be repeating whatever it was you said)
Posted by aspectre (Member # 2222) on :
In the previous hurricane thread, vonk joked about (wet wet wet) Houston never having to worry about flooding. "Apres mois le deluge" or "After me, the deluge." apocryphally attributed to LouisXV*. Since HurricaneHumberto had already passed by vonk without a Houston landing: After vonk, the deluges.
* Inregard to forseeable problems caused by France's weak political infrastructure; which led to the FrenchRevolution after his death.
[ September 14, 2007, 01:31 PM: Message edited by: aspectre ]
Posted by Flaming Toad on a Stick (Member # 9302) on :
Apres la pluie, le beau temps.
Posted by vonk (Member # 9027) on :
We were pretty well prepared last night, but thankfully it made the hook. This one came out of nowhere, too. If it had hit us at hurricane strength, I don't think most people would have been ready. At least it made landfall in a much less populated area. Here's hoping everybody directly east of us was prepared.