quote:To keep the good of the patient as the highest priority. (Hippocratic Oath)
Millie was born with a condition called gastroschisis, in which her bowels developed outside her body.
During an operation to correct the problem, her kidneys started to fail, and her birthweight, at just over 6lb, meant existing NHS dialysis machines, even those designed for children, were too large to be used.
Rebecca was warned that Millie was unlikely to survive.
However, Dr Coulthard, together with senior children's kidney nurse Jean Crosier, devised a smaller version, then built it away from the hospital. Millie was connected to the machine over a seven day period, allowing her own kidneys to recover.
quote:To the best of my knowledge, only one of them happened. Do you have other information?
Originally posted by MrSquicky:
You seem to be presenting these as if they are mutually exclusive things. This doesn't seem to be the case to me.
quote:Given some amount X of doctor time/attention/skill, that amount can be
Originally posted by Synesthesia:
huh?
I don't see why you can't do both. Help kids in Africa and help kids here.
quote:Granted. The error, therefore, lies in what children were chosen as patients.
When a doctor takes on a patient he is obligated to do all within his power to save her if she goes south.
quote:And why doesn't it? Why shouldn't it? Are children dying on another continent not of equal value? If there are limited resources, they should be used where they do the most good; I don't see why that should change with the scale.
But the concept of triage doesn't apply when resources ARE available to save a patient immediately available vs. putting the same time, talent, and money toward people on another continent.
quote:So, what sort of calculation did you make that had you not going to medical school and then to Africa?
But I don't see why you shouldn't make a calculation of that sort at all.
code:I don't object to selfish bastards, as such. It's lauding them as saints of self-sacrifice that grates.KoM.setSelfishBastard(true);
quote:Indeed. This is an argument about margins. Clearly, if you begin shipping the western world's doctors to Africa, then at some point you begin doing more harm than good. But we are nowhere near that point. What is more, we do the allocation by money, rather than need; the people with money get care that extends their lives from, say, 80 to 85; the ones without do not get the much cheaper care that would make the difference between 5 and 50. Clearly there is a lot of room for improvement here without going to the extreme you suggest.
KOM, just because people need doctors in Africa does not mean people in wealthier countries don't need them, too. If all the doctors went to Africa to give vaccinations and treat parasites, malaria, and AIDS, there would be too many doctors in Africa and not enough elsewhere (and I should add that there are shortages of doctors in some specialties in parts of the developed world already.)
quote:Ok, this is an argument about hidden costs as I outlined above, and fair enough. How about India? Certainly there are any number of endemic diseases there that could readily be combated, without any threat from a corrupt government.
One problem is that many governments in parts of Africa where many people are dying are extremely corrupt. Some harass and intimidate and even imprison foreign doctors; that is why many organizations send doctors only for a limited time, to do what they can below the radar of the government, as it were, before they stay long enough to be seen as a threat. Many organizations and companies are more than willing to donate medications, supplies, water pumps, etc.-- except that because of corruption in the countries that need them, they wouldn't get to the people who need them most.
quote:Completely irrelevant. It is presumably good when I shave, because then my wife doesn't get her skin chafed. Therefore, if I spend a million dollars ensuring a nice smooth shave, I'm doing good. Would you seriously argue that this is a reasonable use of resources?
Just because a greater good could concievably have been done elsewhere with the resources had the resources been allocated there, does not mean that good was not done.
quote:True. An argument from cost/benefit, to which I have no objection.
And indeed, if someone had not spent a great deal of time, resources, and effort developing almost every treatment we have today, no one would be benefitting from it.
quote:Possibly. Substitute 'doctor time', if you like, to get back to apples. Certainly there are any number of places where people are dying for lack of ten minutes' worth of doctor to diagnose them correctly and tell them what to do.
And honestly, comparing dialysis with vaccines is apples with oranges because they require different resources to create, implement, and distribute them.
quote:Indeed not. But I can judge the effects of their actions. There appear to be three possible explanations for their choice of who to help:
KoM, you have proof that these people never have and never will help someone of a different skin color? That they've never devoted time, money, and effort into helping the less fortunate? That you can somehow look into their hearts and judge their motive for helping this girl?
quote:Ah, so the problem is simply your inability to come up with an actual likely motive.
There appear to be three possible explanations for their choice of who to help:
quote:Ah, but would this doctor be able to do it?
Certainly there are any number of places where people are dying for lack of ten minutes' worth of doctor to diagnose them correctly and tell them what to do.
quote:Yeah, I have to say, I can think of several other possible motives. These include the benefits of living near family, etc. Just because an individual feels MORE loyalty to the local community than the global community does not mean what he does is wrong.
Originally posted by Dagonee:
quote:Ah, so the problem is simply your inability to come up with an actual likely motive.
There appear to be three possible explanations for their choice of who to help:
quote:Whenever you feel like suggesting one, as opposed to sneering, please feel free to do so.
Originally posted by Dagonee:
quote:Ah, so the problem is simply your inability to come up with an actual likely motive.
There appear to be three possible explanations for their choice of who to help:
quote:
saving the particular upper-middle-class, white child with the fantastic good luck to be referred to me
quote:First of all, no baby is "referred" to a NICU or "chosen" as a patient. If a baby born in a hospital requires immediate intensive care, he will be brought to that hospital's NICU or transported to the nearest one. No baby is ever refused care, for any reason.
Granted. The error, therefore, lies in what children were chosen as patients.
quote:And given this sort of pain, where would you rather be? Africa, or the West?
Lastly, that you would call any child born with their bowels outside their bodies lucky is shocking. Babies feel pain and the kind of pain associated with that condition is excruciating.
quote:...which is why all those African children have this level of medical care, to be sure. And this child was chosen to receive that care, by that doctor, when the doctor chose where to work.
First of all, no baby is "referred" to a NICU or "chosen" as a patient. If a baby born in a hospital requires immediate intensive care, he will be brought to that hospital's NICU or transported to the nearest one. No baby is ever refused care, for any reason.
quote:There is an unspoken clause on the end of your sentence there. The clause is "or more Western children will die than is currently the case". This would be a bad thing. None the less, if you transfer a neonatologist to Africa - you can do it before all that effort is expended on the training, if you like, just make him an ordinary GP - then you will save ten or twenty African children for each Western one you kill. Are they less valuable?
Every NICU in the US needs every single neonatologist it has, if not more.
quote:Any child in the West (you should note, the story is from the UK) is the high end of the upper middle class when the relevant comparison is Africa.
Many (if not most) of the children in US NICUs are lower middle to lower class.
quote:I made no such assumption. I read the story, and saw pictures of both doctor and baby. Both are white.
Also, your assumption that neonatologists are all white is incorrect.
quote:Yes, it does, actually. Not that I object to such luck, you understand, being a beneficiary myself. But I like to recognise its existence when I see it. The point I was making, however, is that resources are expended on single children, in the west, which might save twenty or thirty in poorer places. I think it is a good thing to recognise that this tradeoff is made.
But she's white and "middle class". That makes her automatically and innately lucky, no matter what the horrible reality of her actual situation.
quote:Why not? Given some finite amount of resources, why would you not want to apply them to saving the maximum number of lives?
And that's the rub, KOM-- I don't think that such a comparison should (or possibly can ethically) be made.
quote:Because it is impractical to do so, and if you try to do such an impractical thing, it is my guess that even less lives would be saved in the end, or possibly the same amount or even a few more lives, but at more of a cost.
why would you not want to apply them to saving the maximum number of lives?
quote:I think that, as you have phrased that sentence, you not only can but must. If you had said, "you cannot value an African child over an English one", I would agree. But when you weigh two against one, you must choose the two. What other measure can there be?
That means both that you can't value African children who need vaccines over a baby born with a severe birth defect in England just as much as you can't value that baby's life over African children who need vaccines.
quote:I'm sorry, but my opinion of this is that you should start thinking with the part of your brain that does arithmetic.
My opinion is when there's an immediate chance to save the 1 vs. a possible chance to save the many, you should choose the one.
quote:Ah, but how do you save the maximum number of lives? See, this doctor may not be willing to be a doctor if it means living in Africa. So Africa isn't losing a potential doctor, Britain would be gaining one.
Given some finite amount of resources, why would you not want to apply them to saving the maximum number of lives?
quote:Why the hell are you coming into a thread celebrating an engineering achievement that will save lives when you spend all your professional time - and use findings derived from far more expensive pieces of equipment - that doesn't save ANYBODY's life in the present at has at best a speculative chance of doing so in the future?
I'm sorry, but my opinion of this is that you should start thinking with the part of your brain that does arithmetic.
quote:How would I? As you correctly noted, no one would make any kind of fuss over the other one.
To the best of my knowledge, only one of them happened. Do you have other information?
quote:I may note as a partial aside from the argument, that we do implicitly make this comparison as a society with a couple differences. Rather than basing our decisions on what is cost effective, we base it on what is popular. What I mean by implicitly, is when we indirectly control politicians that direct, oppose, or approve of particular foreign aid policies such as sending aid to the victims of Hurricane Katrina or the Sichuan Earthquake.
Originally posted by ketchupqueen:
I don't object to making the comparison. I object to saying we SHOULD do that.
You are welcome to make that comparison and even base your decisions on it.
quote:Yes, they should, actually. Until the point where that city is no longer the dirtiest, at which point you assign the next guy to what was previously the second-dirtiest city. Do you really have no concept of the margin? It's like you think I'm saying "All doctors should work in Africa", when what I'm actually saying is "In the current situation, there is a benefit to moving doctors to Africa". I don't expect that situation to last forever if you actually start moving doctors! Please do not argue against such a straw man.
They can't all be ruled by numbers because sooner or later those numbers will become skewed. Should all trash collectors only work in the dirtiest city because they can pick up more trash there than anywhere else?
quote:My point precisely. Whether we like it or not, we have already made a calculation such as I referred to above; it's just that we weight our own children higher than African children, by a factor five or ten or whatever it is.
Rather than basing our decisions on what is cost effective, we base it on what is popular.
quote:I'm glad I went to a good university, then, because absence of evidence is evidence of absence. In some cases not bery strong evidence, but evidence nonetheless. What is more, whatever our friend the doctor does that didn't reach the article, it is certain that for those hours he was working on the dialysis machine, he was not helping any Africans.
A basic epistemological precept that you should have learned in undergrad is "Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence."
quote:But where's the fun in that?
That can be done without sanctimony.
quote:Substitute "where the trash collector will do the most good", by all means. That's what I was using 'dirtiest' as shorthand for.
Originally posted by fugu13:
The city with the highest dirtiness is not necessarily the city where a trash collector's time will result in the largest marginal decrease in dirtiness. You aren't using marginal arguments correctly.
quote:Which is indeed what I'm saying. As a society, we just don't care about those outside our own continent to anywhere near the extent we say we do. What reason do you suppose this doctor would like to give for not moving, if you showed him pictures of a child with worms in her eyes? I would bet a reasonable sum he would not defend the decision from first moral principles. But if you asked him why he became a doctor, he would be very likely to say something on the order of "helping others" or "making sick children better". So, why this child and not those children?
edit: also, a doctor treating patients where he is doesn't require he values those patients more than those elsewhere who might have a larger marginal benefit. He might have other reasons for remaining in one location, and given residence in a particular location, the highest marginal benefit for others is almost certainly going to be to treat people in that location.
quote:Tu quoque is not an argument, it is a way to not think about the problem. Let me be clear: I don't actually give a damn about any Africans. But you do. Or at least, you say you do.
And the hours you are spending not helping Africans?
quote:It is not different. It is precisely the same. Actions have consequences. This particular act has the consequence of saving one life; that is good. Notwithstanding that good thing, it is nevertheless true that it also has the consequence of not helping any number of other children, whose need is just as great and easier to meet. If you help the one, you cannot help the others. This is just a fact of physics. It is good to keep your eye on all the consequences of your acts, even the ones you don't like. How else are you going to know what actions to take?
My problem is, saying a doctor did a good thing by helping save the life of a little girl who would have died otherwise is a completely different thing from saying: "I don't care about poor people in Africa. They can just be sick and die!"
quote:Where?
Originally posted by King of Men:
Let me be clear: I don't actually give a damn about any Africans. But you do. Or at least, you say you do.
quote:I wouldn't argue with the broad point here, although I don't think it is the same argument that has been made throughout.
Originally posted by King of Men:
Notwithstanding that good thing, it is nevertheless true that it also has the consequence of not helping any number of other children, whose need is just as great and easier to meet.
quote:Ok, this is a reasonable objection. If the benefit per unit cost isn't really greater, that's something else again. Let's say "would be easier to meet in the absence of artificial barriers". But I note that several people here (kq, for example) have objected to making this kind of calculation even in principle.
But "easier to meet?" Have you ever tried to go on a medical mission to Africa? I have helped coordinate these.
quote:
(Synesthesia)I don't see why you can't do both. Help kids in Africa and help kids here.
quote:
(Squicky)You seem to be presenting these as if they are mutually exclusive things.
quote:
(kq)But the concept of triage doesn't apply when resources ARE available to save a patient immediately available vs. putting the same time, talent, and money toward people on another continent.
(...)
KOM, just because people need doctors in Africa does not mean people in wealthier countries don't need them, too. If all the doctors went to Africa to give vaccinations and treat parasites, malaria, and AIDS, there would be too many doctors in Africa and not enough elsewhere (and I should add that there are shortages of doctors in some specialties in parts of the developed world already.)
(...)
And that's the rub, KOM-- I don't think that such a comparison should (or possibly can ethically) be made.
quote:
(Mrs M)Every NICU in the US needs every single neonatologist it has, if not more.
quote:Not always even this. For Canadian physicians, bang-for-the-buck medicine is treating Native populations far north without access, not Africans. No licensing issues, no passport concerns, no additional vaccinations, infrastructure in place, heavy infant mortality and shortened lifespans. Close to home work wins there, and not enough is being done.
Originally posted by fugu13:
Not only that, but even were there someone who wanted to do the most good, it isn't at all clear Africa would be the place. If we only looked at immediate improvement in health, yes, but there are significant complicating factors.
quote:Yeah. Shame that there is no accessible world without those sorts of barriers. The world of imagination is much more clean and asthetically pleasing, and it would be nice if we could all live there instead.
Originally posted by King of Men:
Let's say "would be easier to meet in the absence of artificial barriers"
quote:But it isn't just the children in the balances. You are making it sound like there are no factors involved in the decision other than the ethnicity of the children. A doctor isn't just a doctor. He or she is also a person with their own aspirations, family obligations, home, life, interests, friends. Also, practicing medicine in Africa is not without actual danger. You also need to weigh all that in the scale.
Originally posted by King of Men:
I have no beef with anyone who is willing to straightforwardly admit "I value African children less than Western children".
quote:This is a strawman. Who here is arguing that we shouldn't look at the consequences of our actions?
Originally posted by King of Men:
It is good to keep your eye on all the consequences of your acts, even the ones you don't like. How else are you going to know what actions to take?
quote:This isn't true at all unless you are using an odd definition of evidence. Using a Bayesian definition, something can be considered evidence if it causes the posterior probability of an event to change from the prior probability.
Originally posted by King of Men:
quote:I'm glad I went to a good university, then, because absence of evidence is evidence of absence. In some cases not bery strong evidence, but evidence nonetheless.
A basic epistemological precept that you should have learned in undergrad is "Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence."
quote:I think kmbboots hit the nail on the head with her response. Your argument is flawed because you are only viewing the problem in one dimension. I had meant to mention this in my post last night but I kind of ran out of steam and it was late. Nobody's goal is "only" to save children so it does not follow that people are being inconsistent with their actions if they do something that saves only one children instead of two.
Originally posted by King of Men:
I have no beef with anyone who is willing to straightforwardly admit "I value African children less than Western children".
quote:Which, as I noted, can be the case in a situation where there can be an expectation of observing some sign if the condition existed. However, right here we're talking about two people that we know nothing about before this article and your (KOM's) assertion that because you have no evidence that they send money to Africa, you can treat the situation as if they don't send money to Africa.
Originally posted by Threads:
quote:This isn't true at all unless you are using an odd definition of evidence. Using a Bayesian definition, something can be considered evidence if it causes the posterior probability of an event to change from the prior probability.
Originally posted by King of Men:
quote:I'm glad I went to a good university, then, because absence of evidence is evidence of absence. In some cases not bery strong evidence, but evidence nonetheless.
A basic epistemological precept that you should have learned in undergrad is "Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence."
quote:ketchupqueen, for one; see my quote of her previously.
This is a strawman. Who here is arguing that we shouldn't look at the consequences of our actions?
quote:But this is always the case, even though the probability may be small. Consider: There is a small, but finite, probability that the article will mention "Dr Whosis is also a contributor to charity X, and spends his free time making balloon animals for victims of left-handed drunk drivers", if those things are true. (And a smaller probability that the article will include this if they aren't true.) Therefore, the absence of this sentence is weak evidence for the absence of such activities. And this is true for any finite probability, however small. You can't ignore it just because your personal "never-happen threshold" lies around 3% or so. Events with 3% probability happen around one time in 33, in spite of the binary intuition that tells us otherwise.
Which, as I noted, can be the case in a situation where there can be an expectation of observing some sign if the condition existed.
quote:And that would be relevant if not for another epistemological error you are making.
There is a small, but finite, probability that the article will mention "Dr Whosis is also a contributor to charity X, and spends his free time making balloon animals for victims of left-handed drunk drivers", if those things are true.
quote:It depends on what you mean by "ignore". I don't see why such an omission would change the probability by an appreciable amount and therefore the slightly increased probability that the doctor does not help African kids does not noticeably change any of my judgments. Clearly you've determined that there is a large enough probability that this doctor doesn't help African kids to make a character attack on him. How do you justify that?
Originally posted by King of Men:
quote:But this is always the case, even though the probability may be small. Consider: There is a small, but finite, probability that the article will mention "Dr Whosis is also a contributor to charity X, and spends his free time making balloon animals for victims of left-handed drunk drivers", if those things are true. (And a smaller probability that the article will include this if they aren't true.) Therefore, the absence of this sentence is weak evidence for the absence of such activities. And this is true for any finite probability, however small. You can't ignore it just because your personal "never-happen threshold" lies around 3% or so. Events with 3% probability happen around one time in 33, in spite of the binary intuition that tells us otherwise.
Which, as I noted, can be the case in a situation where there can be an expectation of observing some sign if the condition existed.
quote:You are mistaken. The chances of the doctor's charitable contributions being mentioned, if they exist, are at least 0.1%; journalists like that kind of thing. Who is going to write "The doctor doesn't contribute to charity" in a feel-good fluff piece? Even if it is true? I would put this probability much lower.
Originally posted by MrSquicky:
quote:And that would be relevant if not for another epistemological error you are making.
There is a small, but finite, probability that the article will mention "Dr Whosis is also a contributor to charity X, and spends his free time making balloon animals for victims of left-handed drunk drivers", if those things are true.
There is a finite probability that the article will mention that the people involved do not do these things that is at the very least on close order of them mentioning that they do do it.
quote:It means "of the same order of magnitude".
Originally posted by MrSquicky:
Do you not understand what close order means?
quote:I think Squicky was talking about the probability of a charitable contribution being mentioned versus the probability that such a contribution would not be mentioned.
Originally posted by King of Men:
Apparently not. Why don't you enlighten me?
Edit: I disagree. I admit to making up numbers, but I don't see how
"The probability of a charitable contribution being mentioned, given that it exists"
is anywhere near
"The probability of the nonexistence of such contributions being mentioned, given that they don't".
I put the former around 0.1%, the latter in the millionths, and the uncertainties small enough that there is no overlap.
quote:As long as you're talking about a world that doesn't actually have to correspond to reality, I'm fine with that statement.
I put the former around 0.1%, the latter in the millionths, and the uncertainties small enough that there is no overlap.
quote:That is exactly what I tried to say last night but much clearer. Thanks.
He might have other reasons for remaining in one location, and given residence in a particular location, the highest marginal benefit for others is almost certainly going to be to treat people in that location.