This is topic The Iraq war: a Hatrack retrospective in forum Books, Films, Food and Culture at Hatrack River Forum.


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Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
There hasn't been much discussion here about the final US withdrawal from Iraq. I thought it would be interesting to revisit some of my favorite previous Hatrack discussions concerning the war. Unfortunately, I can only find threads going back to mid 2003, after the invasion was already complete and the absence of WMD had already become obvious. Although perhaps that news hadn't been disseminated as broadly as one would have hoped:
Bush supporters, Tell me you aren't really this naive?

quote:
The survey found that 72 percent of Bush supporters believe either that Iraq had actual WMD (47 percent) or a major program for producing them (25 percent), despite the widespread media coverage in early October of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA’s) “Duelfer Report,†the final word on the subject by the one billion dollar, 15-month investigation by the Iraq Survey Group.
Anyway, that span of time does include the 2004 election, a period of great historical interest because it's when the US public arguably became morally responsible for the war:
Can we proclaim innocence anymore?

As a fellow opponent of the war, Tresopax was one of my favorite posters during that period. This earlier thread was especially good, I thought:
A year and a half later: The Iraq War finally unmasked

quote:
Add to this the fact that our troops tortued Iraqis because of this war. Add the fact that we've added hundreds of billions of dollars to the deficit because of this war. Add the fact that trust in America has dropped all over the world, especially in the countries we most need for the war on terror, because of this war. Add the fact that we have had to force many of troops to stay in military service, against their will, because of this war. And the fact that 1000 of our own troops and countless Iraqi innocents have died because of this war.

All of this, and what have we bought with it? We've managed to replace a tyranny with no WMDs and no proven connection to Al Qaeda with an anarchy where terrorists have free reign and the Iraqi people are unsafe.

Given all that we now know, who could call this war "necessary"? Who could even call it right?

Is it time to apologize yet?

quote:
The fact is that the U.N. was right: We COULD have waited longer. They were not moments away from developing a nuke. They were not days away from giving away chemical weapons to terrorists. We ended up finding exactly what the U.N. inspectors found, after implying they had failed. We went out by ourselves on a limb to say that the U.N. was wrong and being absurd, that Iraq was an immediate threat, and we were flat out wrong.
One of the most articulate defenders of the war was David Bowles, aka Unmaker:
Anyone want to argue that democracy is NOT a right?

The same probably goes for A Rat Named Dog, aka Geoff Card (from Amazing. Just freaking amazing. Or, a thread on Bush's lies about Iraq. ):
quote:
First of all, we were already at war with Iraq. We were shooting at each other practically every day. So we "started" nothing.

And yes, I support the idea of winning the war on terrorism. That will take more than punitive missile strikes, and it will take more than the Afghani campaign. Perhaps we merely disagree on what the next step should have been, but please don't tell me that you think there should have been NO next step. That Afghanistan was enough.

In order to be safe, we must destroy our enemies' ability to make war. Our problem is, our enemies are not nations. They are factions that take refuge within foreign countries who support them while denying that they support them.

Politically, this is a minefield. If you think invading iraq was a diplomatic disaster, imagine invading Iran or Syria, nations that are NOT currently shooting at our planes every day. THAT would have been a disaster.

Iraq was a country that (1) was already engaging us in battle regularly, (2) had a populace that would benefit from a regime change, (3) would give us a military advantage against our other targets, and (4) was believed to be a legitimate target itself because of its possession and potential distribution of weapons that at the time, everyone was pretty sure they had.

In other words, it was the ideal next step in the war on terrorism. The only drawback was some Americans' suicidal squeamishness. People who want to eat beef without hurting cows, who want to read books without cutting down trees, and who want to defeat our enemies without going to war. It sounds like a pretty world, but when you wake up, you still have to deal with this one.

I still believe this is an Interesting article on the Real Reason for Iraq, and that the reason it posits wasn't good enough.


I'll close with a great post from MrSquicky which I think captures the spirit of that time (from Why I voted for Bush)

quote:
Chad,
I found out a little while ago a kid who grew up down the street from me and went to the same grade and high school that I did (some years younger than me and I never actually knew him, but I sort of know the family) got a large part of his liver (among other things) blown away while patrolling over in Iraq. He wasn't outfitted with the best body armor, which to be honest may or may not protected him, but would have given him a better chance. Can you see how I would consider criticizing the person most directly responsible for sending him there without the best protection as supporting the troops?

In my mind, there is a big difference between supporting the troops as people, as trying to make their difficult job as easy as possible and supporting the President. This difference is especially pronounced when people more or less give the President a blank check in terms of uncritically supporting whatever decisions he makes with regard to the troops. In this case, I'd say that supporting the troops and supporting the President are usually opposing concerns.

I supported the war based on the overwhelming case the government made for WMDs. Time has shown that at least some parts of where intended to deceive and that many other parts were the result of poor analysis and planning. The conduct of the war has shown to me many other cases where at the very least there was both poor analysis and planning. And during all this, the Bush administration has been unwilling to be held accountable for their mistakes. I am trying to influence the public to apply pressure on the administration to accept the responsibility for the course they've put us on, the decisions that they've made, and perhaps most importantly the way they've gone about making these decisions. One of my major motivations in this is concern for the safety of our troops, so it makes me sad to see that one of the biggest forces opposing me are people who I feel have conflated supporting the troops with supporting the President.

It is possible to think that the decision to do something was a mistake and yet support the effort to get as much good out of the situation that has developed because of that mistake as possible. I still think that the U.S. had the legal right to invade Iraq, but I don't necessarily think that it was a good idea to do so. It has polarized the country and squandered a large part of the goodwill of the world on something that hasn't significantly improved America's security and may have even harmed it. It has also taken the focus off of hunting down the terrorists and, by fostering opposition and distrust of our foreign policy, lost us useful international tools and alliances.

I don't think that the choice to invade was a good one or at least te best one that could have been at that time. I don't think that the analysis and planning both pre-war and post-war have been sufficiently responsible. I wish that our troops weren't there, but, as they are there, I want them to do their best in making Iraq a good place to be and I want them to be as safe as possible while doing it. I don't believe that President and his staff have shown that they should be trusted to achieve these ends and so I criticize them in the hopes that they will be foreced to the accountabilty that they have so far dodged.

I think "Wrong War, Wrong Place, Wrong Time" was a pretty stupid way to express this and I don't think I ever supported John Kerry as a candidate, but I agree with what I think was the underlying message of this, which I believe matches up pretty well with what I said above. Do you consider me someone who doesn't fully support your cousin as well as the many people I've got on the ground over there?

Anyone else got any favorite Iraq threads from back in the day?
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
And so few of them post anymore it seems. I distinctly recall that a lot of communities seem to have this sort of split, they became either more right leaning or more left leaning with no room for middle ground as the war dragged on and polarized it more and people dug down to defend their original positions.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
I don't know how anyone who was paying attention could have believed the excuses for the invasions unless they were really invested in believing them.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
I don't know how anyone who followed the history of Iraq's dealings with the world in general and the USA in particular could seriously claim the reasons given for the invasion were obvious lies, mistakes, etc.

And in fact, few people or governments did. And please, before you respond, bear in mind that this is *not* an endorsement or agreement with the Bush Administration in general. It's only to say that we had a whole sh*%load of really good reasons-though as MrSquicjy points out, some of those reasons were negligent or outright fraudulent-to invade Iraq.

Furthermore, what opposition there was to invasion was often hypocritical or hopelessly naive.
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
quote:
It's only to say that we had a whole sh*%load of really good reasons-though as MrSquicjy points out, some of those reasons were negligent or outright fraudulent-to invade Iraq.
I think I disagree.

I supported the initial saber-rattling leading up to the war, because I thought it was a ploy to get the UN weapons inspectors allowed back in. When Blix's team was allowed in, I thought OK, it's over. Especially after they found no initial evidence of WMD, and reported sufficient cooperation on behalf of the Iraqis to verify disarmament within a matter of months.

Then we attacked anyway, before that time was up. At that point I remember staring at the TV saying "WTF? WTF?" over and over.

There was definitely a need to verify that Iraq had no weapons program, given the intelligence that suggested they had one. There was no need to invade, given that the verification was already in progress.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
Anyone who followed Iraq's dealing with the US and the world would have known that Iraq was not involved with 9/11 and was a threat to Iran and the Kurds but not to us. Anyone who was reading the reports that Hans Blix was sending knew that there was no immediate threat from any hypothetical WMDs. Anyone with any knowledge of history would have realized that it was not going to be the 6 week cake walk that Rumsfeld touted.

Anyone, that is, without an investment in invading Iraq. I agree that the anti-war movement is naive, but that, I think, is better than having no hope.
 
Posted by BlackBlade (Member # 8376) on :
 
Having been out of the country from Nov 2001 - August 2003, and being completely oblivious to the news. I blame all of you for what happened to the country while I was gone.

[ June 16, 2014, 10:14 PM: Message edited by: BlackBlade ]
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
quote:
I supported the initial saber-rattling leading up to the war, because I thought it was a ploy to get the UN weapons inspectors allowed back in. When Blix's team was allowed in, I thought OK, it's over. Especially after they found no initial evidence of WMD, and reported sufficient cooperation on behalf of the Iraqis to verify disarmament within a matter of months.
Really? They reported total freedom to inspect possible sites as they saw fit, interview scientists and workers freely and in private as they say fit, both without preparation?

quote:
Then we attacked anyway, before that time was up. At that point I remember staring at the TV saying "WTF? WTF?" over and over.
Well, look, set aside for a moment the question of whether we should have attacked. Once the decision was made, isn't it just sensible *not* to follow a nice, predictable, time-to-prepare timeline for it?

quote:
There was definitely a need to verify that Iraq had no weapons program, given the intelligence that suggested they had one. There was no need to invade, given that the verification was already in progress.
This presupposes two things that I don't think are givens at all: one, that the inspections process as it actually was in Iraq could be relied upon to *guarantee*, or even close to it,Saddam's disarmament; two, that WMD were the onky reason to invade.

----------

quote:
Anyone who followed Iraq's dealing with the US and the world would have known that Iraq was not involved with 9/11 and was a threat to Iran and the Kurds but not to us.
Not a threat to us? Not at *all*? What nonsense! In the legally established no-fly zones over Iraq-put in place to prevent Saddam from executing terrible massacres and even genocide-were no threat? I could've sworn attempting to kill our soldiers when they were behaving legally counted as a threat. Harboring a high level al Qaeda member-no threat? Open support for fanatic Islamic suicide bombers-no threat to the US? An unhinged, dangerous, unpredictable tyrant constantly firing up one of the most economically important regions in the world-no threat? Plots to assassinate former Presidents-no threat? No threat, kmbboots? You cannot seriously mean that. There was undeniably a threat. Perhaps the degree of threat was insufficient-you could make an case for that. To claim none is beyond naive.

He was *primarily* a threat to those nearer to him-to his own people, his neighbors, to the Kurds (hell, to members of his own government). That is far from demonstrating he was no threat to us!

quote:
Anyone with any knowledge of history would have realized that it was not going to be the 6 week cake walk that Rumsfeld touted.
On this, at least, I can agree-though that is a different topic.

quote:
Anyone, that is, without an investment in invading Iraq. I agree that the anti-war movement is naive, but that, I think, is better than having no hope.
Nope. An 'investment' in invasion (which, by the way, was accepted all through the Clinton years as an eventual inevitability; also I don't know what you mean by 'investment') was not necessary to supporting the invasion. Furthermore, naïveté is much worse than no hope if the situation is hopeless.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
So we shouldn't have tried to stop the war, or to bring it to people's attention, or to get it stopped sooner? I think that, without the peace movement, we would still be there with permanent bases.

No threat that was at all likely to cause the death and destruction that we caused by the invasion. None that would have cost us anywhere near the money and lives that we spent.

Edit: Investment. Emotional investment - wanting to get back at Muslims after 9/11, patriotism and so forth. Financial investment - Halliburton, Blackwater, oil. Ideological investment - neocons, "spreading democracy", American imperialism, Rumsfeld's "new" warfare.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Actually, I believe a much better use of anti-war humanitarian political effort would have been to demand as loudly as possible an effective war, you know, to remove the murderous dictator who enacted the deaths of far more Iraqis of all stripes than we ever did and install a government of and by Iraqis that would protect them. Given that the cost of *not* supporting the invasion meant years more of Saddam, or worse! His two sons. *Two* sons of Saddam, tell me, how long do you imagine that partnership of rulers would've lasted?

As for no threat, well I'll freely agree with you-and often said so, like many supporters, at the time-that the handling was deeply stupid. But that's not the case you're making, is it? (Though I see you've silently dropped your 'no threat' rhetoric, which is nice.)

ETA: Investment. Emotional investment, your explanation certainly tells us why we spent so much blood and treasure protecting Iraqis *from Iraqis*, in most cases Muslims. Imperialism, yes, we weren't, you know, fighting *against* jihadist Imperialism, or Saddam-backing imperialism. Financial investment, this explains why we plundered Iraqi oil and resources, yes? And so on and so forth.

There's not a single point you've made here, kmbboots, which isn't incomplete, distorted, or outright untrue. You appear to suggest that because you knew it wouldn't be a 'perfect' invasion and occupation, no such invasion was acceptable for any reason. You understate or ignore provocations against use, sometimes in the form of weapons fired, and you further ignore the very real question of what Iraq would be like now had we not invaded.
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
quote:
Really? They reported total freedom to inspect possible sites as they saw fit, interview scientists and workers freely and in private as they say fit, both without preparation?
Perhaps those things were unnecessary, in their judgment, to verify disarmament within an acceptable margin of error. Given the difficulty of constructing and hiding new facilities, that seems plausible to me. It also seems likely that the situation was somewhat up in the air, given how few weeks the inspectors had been in Iraq up until then. Their judgment was probably based in part upon which privileges they reasonably thought they could negotiate in the near future.

quote:
This presupposes two things that I don't think are givens at all: one, that the inspections process as it actually was in Iraq could be relied upon to *guarantee*, or even close to it,Saddam's disarmament; two, that WMD were the onky reason to invade.
On the first presupposition: We can't demand that any country *guarantee* that they are no threat to us, as a precondition for sparing them from pre-emptive invasion. If we applied that standard uniformly, we'd be obliged to attack every country in the world. So obviously the question is, can we get close enough to a guarantee that we should consider the risk to be negligible.

On that question I trusted the judgment of the experts, Blix and el Baradei. The record in the years since has certainly borne out their preliminary findings, and not the opinions of those who disagreed with them.

On the second point, I don't deny that there were other reasons to attack. I do deny that they were good enough reasons, by themselves, to justify an attack.

Remember that the price was more than 100,000 dead.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
quote:
Their judgment was probably based in part upon which privileges they reasonably thought they could negotiate in the near future.
I'll certainly agree with this, and futhermore that at the time, based on what we had from inspections, it was not unreasonable to assume that Iraq likely had no real WMD capacity, nor a real possibility of reacquiring it soon.

Very tricky word, though, isn't it? Particularly given the deep history of deception, commitment, cunning, and lawbreaking from Saddam on these matters.

quote:
On that question I trusted the judgment of the experts, Blix and el Baradei. The record in the years since has certainly borne out their preliminary findings, and not the opinions of those who disagreed with them.
Granted. In no small part because of Saddam's commitment to keeping the world guessing as to his WMD, rather than adhering to international law on the matter. But you and I know that what turned out to be true is a different question from what we could've known then, and how reliably we could've known it.

quote:
On the second point, I don't deny that there were other reasons to attack. I do deny that they were good enough reasons, by themselves, to justify an attack.

Remember that the price was more than 100,000 dead.

Perhaps not, in spite of our multiple promises of protection to people in Iraq that were broken. But the other reasons didn't stand on their own.

As for the dead, yes, deeply awful. And the Bush Administration has a very great deal to answer for in it's inept handling of the follow-up and preparation for the invasion. But I'm awfully skeptical of people who suggest the situation was tenable long-term. Two Bush Administrations as well as two Clinton Administrations agreed on that. And I'm far from sure that whatever would've happened if we hadn't invaded, it wouldnt have involved huge numbers of dead anyway.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
100,000 dead is about the lowest estimate out there. Some estimates are ten times that.

And look! Still going on! http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-16297707

Not sure where our responsibility for the unrest ends.

No real threat. Pakistan was harboring bin Laden and we didn't have to launch a fill scale invasion to get him. Plots that never went anywhere. No threat.

What do you imagine would have happened if we hadn't invaded? What evidence do you have for that?
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Let's be very clear about this: you supported the killing of bin Laden? Furthermore, *how* was this done in Pakistan, kmbboots? I wonder if you know how very different the circumstances were, and that's why you don't mention them at all.

Ok, so now you're *back* to no threat. Perhaps eventually you'll make up your mind? 'Plots that go nowhere'...so...I'm trying to follow this, the plots have to *go somewhere* before they can be counted? Did they need to take a shot and miss before it could register as a threat? And I note without surprise your glossing over of their constant violations of international law, their targeting of our soldiers doing their lawful duty, their public support for suicide bombers. But now you *seem* to be, sort of, acknowledging the harboring of an al Qaeda top official in Iraq.

ETA: As for what would've happened, well at minimum it's safe to say the Baathists would still be in power, either Saddam or perhaps one of (both wouldnt live long) his sons. Torturing, killing, impoverishing, and tyrannizing their populace, posing a serious threat to the region-among the most important in the world. Probably still trying to kill our troops, supporting suicide bombers, harboring al Qaeda 'execs', and generally defying international law.

All while their people, who would already be suffering from their misrule, would be further maimed by ongoing sanctions. And then, we would *still* very likely need to intervene with our military eventually. Bush thought so, so did Clinton, alongside Dubya.

-----

Oh, I forgot, Destineer: as to guaranteeing threats, you're right. We can't guarantee safety from everyone-but Iraq wasn't just anyone, remember? Treaties promising our ability to take measures to ensure guarantees, that were broken. Even under the open threat of war, these were *still* hedged and half-assed. We wouldn't have a right to a guarantee from all countries-we had one in Iraq.
 
Posted by Mucus (Member # 9735) on :
 
It's worth noting that the figure of 100,000 deaths is calculated in excess over the existing mortality rates. In other words, the idea was to estimate the number of deaths "in addition to" deaths from the sanctions and having Saddam in power, so it doesn't make sense to subtract them "again" as a criticism.

e.g.
(2004)
quote:
The relative risk of death due to the 2003 invasion and occupation was estimated by comparing mortality in the 17.8 months after the invasion with the 14.6 months preceding it. The authors stated, "Making conservative assumptions, we think that about 100,000 excess deaths, or more have happened since the 2003 invasion of Iraq."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lancet_surveys_of_Iraq_War_casualties#The_first_study_.282004.29

(2006)
quote:
"We estimate that between March 18, 2003, and June, 2006, an additional 654,965 (392,979–942,636) Iraqis have died above what would have been expected on the basis of the pre-invasion crude mortality rate as a consequence of the coalition invasion. Of these deaths, we estimate that 601,027 (426,369–793,663) were due to violence."

 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Oh, agreed-I wasn't trying to suggest the continued sanctions, had we not invaded, would've, yknow, balanced the deaths out-simply to state they would have still been going on.

Though I will say that even assuming (as absurd as it is) a completely stable, continuous regime in Iraq, the deaths and suffering caused by sanctions would've continued to mount over the years-as they do elsewhere.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
Since Rakeesh seems to find absolutes to be such an obstacle, no, I can't say that Iraq was no threat. Of course, I can't say that Rakeesh is no threat either. I can say with confidence that Iraq was less of a threat than several countries that we seem to manage without invading. And likely less of a threat than was caused by our invasion. Supporting suicide bombers is something that almost any Arab nation is doing. As is harboring al qaeda members. We manage those without spending thousands of American lives, hundreds of thousand Iraqi lives, and trillions of dollars.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
You used the absolute, and I pointed out how absurd it was, kmbboots. I won't have a problem with absolutes when you use them correctly.

You can't say I'm no threat, it's true. You can say I'm almost certainly no threat, though. Furthermore you cannot say that promised you and your friends to give real assurances that I'm not a threat. Furthermore, I'm not throwing rocks at you all while claiming I'm no real threat, nor am I planning to murder your father.

I think even you'll have to agree that that comparison was silly.

As for not invading other countries, those other countries have of course the same circumstances as Iraq, yes? The same legal obligations? The same critical location in the world economy? The same populations whom we have promised to protect? Those other countries regularly fire on our lawfully behaving soldiers with their regular military?

What, they *don't* do those things? Huh!

As for the threat our invasion caused...well. *Now* it is apparently reasonable to bring in speculation and guesswork and predictions, for some reason. Weird-just a second ago that was out of bounds.
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
It seems to me that many of the different circumstances you list are pretty obviously unimportant.

quote:
The same legal obligations?
Like it or not, the only relevant legal entity was the UN, which specifically decided that an invasion was not a legitimate way to enforce the law.

quote:
The same critical location in the world economy?
I don't think you can argue that they were a significant threat to their neighbors at the time, if we assume the UN inspectors were correct about the WMD situation.

quote:
The same populations whom we have promised to protect?
To my mind, our actions had the opposite effect of "protecting" the Iraqi population. We got 100K of them killed. And it would've taken extremely unrealistic, optimistic rose-colored glasses to expect any kind of better outcome.

quote:
Those other countries regularly fire on our lawfully behaving soldiers with their regular military?
I don't see how this matters except as a trumped-up excuse to start a fight. How many of those Iraqi potshots actually did any damage to any American people or materiel?

To use a strained analogy, if somebody spits on you or throws pebbles at you, you can use that as an excuse to start a fistfight or you can be the bigger man.

But here's what I think is the big message: those who say the conduct of the war was the main problem are exactly wrong. I'm frankly surprised the war was conducted as well as it was!

When you're fighting an insurgency (which we definitely should've known we'd be doing), your troops are going to get freaked out and break the rules. That's psychologically inevitable. Then when they break the rules, the local population gets even more upset with you, and you enter into the cycle that characterized at least the first 3-4 years of our occupation in Iraq.

I don't think that crap occurred only because the war was mis-managed. It was inevitable. Atrocities are inevitable. The bad guys will commit them, and the good guys will commit them, in every war. That means if you start a war, the cause has to be a big enough deal that you're willing to sully your nation and pay the moral price of committing atrocities. Iraq was nowhere near.

It's different in cases where we don't start the war. The fight in Libya was already happening, whether we intervened or not. Iraq, on the other hand, was entirely our choice.

ETA: When I say the war in Libya was already happening, I mean people were already dying in considerable numbers. There's a sense in which we already had some low-level conflict with Iraq, but it was not the cause of much loss of life.

[ December 22, 2011, 06:57 PM: Message edited by: Destineer ]
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
Invading a country should require the absolutely highest standards, the US invasion of Iraq met no standards.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Destineer,

You're sending what appear to be mixed signals, but perhaps I'm misunderstanding. One of your first (and as I'm reading it, and you'll correct me if I'm wrong) is that inspections were underway, thus we shouldn't have invaded. Later you wrote about several reasons, after a little prod, why perhaps the inspections as they were happening might not have been as comprehensive and reliable to the total question as they seemed.xYou also discuss the impossibility of Iraq's 'guaranteeing' of their disarmament, despite the fact they were legally bound to do just that. Nowhere do you address the deep doubts that ought to occur when a country under weapons inspection has years with which to partially mislead, outright lie, harrass, and simply stop the process can be really said to be disarmed with the inspections of just a few weeks or months. (Though to be fair you haven't posted since and it's only been a day-I don't suggest you're dodging this.)

quote:
Like it or not, the only relevant legal entity was the UN, which specifically decided that an invasion was not a legitimate way to enforce the law.
The *only* relevant legal entity here? The USA, which would have borne an overwhelming proportion of the military and economic burden of dealing with this problem, is to be completely bound by the UN's word in this matter? Were they UN military forces Iraq was shooting at while the US and Britain were enforcing the UN's word, that it seemed willing before being prodded by the US to have flouted with almost total impunity? Bear in mind that the UN as a fair-minded, legal authority is...controversial, to say the least. I'm not saying get out of the UN or anything nuts like that, but let's remember that several members of the UN Security Council, including permanent ones (hey, that's fair) had some serious economic ties to the Saddam regime.

And this all sidesteps how effective and trustworthy the inspections were *at the time*. Are you claiming, however much you were shocked and upset when we invaded, you would've wagered anything of value that they had really disarmed as they claimed?

quote:
I don't think you can argue that they were a significant threat to their neighbors at the time, if we assume the UN inspectors were correct about the WMD situation.
We come back to the issue of reliability of inspections, but let me ask you this: the means by which we ensured Iraq wasn't a conventional military threat to its neighbors-did you support them? Sanctions, large military presence in the region, no fly zones, etc.?

quote:
I don't see how this matters except as a trumped-up excuse to start a fight. How many of those Iraqi potshots actually did any damage to any American people or materiel.
So, like kmbboots, they can attempt to make war on us all they like and it is no provocation until they actually hurt us? Isn't that a little strange? If I scowl at you, curse you, and then try and stab you with a knife but miss because, well, I'm really not very good with a knife and you're a skilled martial artist-may you not strike me in return to prevent me from trying to kill you? I've actually gotta cut you before you're permitted to hit me back?

quote:
When you're fighting an insurgency (which we definitely should've known we'd be doing), your troops are going to get freaked out and break the rules. That's psychologically inevitable. Then when they break the rules, the local population gets even more upset with you, and you enter into the cycle that characterized at least the first 3-4 years of our occupation in Iraq.
This seems to say because the Bush Administration turned out to be deeply inept in this, it shouldn't have been considered possible at all, ever? That all battles against insurgencies, all occupations, are doomed to downward spirals of unhinging failure? I'm really not sure I follow you. We have the knowledge and the capability to have done a vastly better job, and it's to the everlasting shame of the Bush Administration that it did not. Most of that reason appears to have been because they were smug, unimaginative thinkers. But, however small the extent, there were also those who fought *any* active response *at all*, every step of the way.

quote:
I don't think that crap occurred only because the war was mis-managed. It was inevitable. Atrocities are inevitable. The bad guys will commit them, and the good guys will commit them, in every war. That means if you start a war, the cause has to be a big enough deal that you're willing to sully your nation and pay the moral price of committing atrocities. Iraq was nowhere near.
Atrocities were most certainly inevitable-they were already happening, had been for years, with no end in sight. You're speaking as though the options were between 'no atrocities' and 'atrocities'. That's just flat-out wrong.

Nor did we start the war. We were already *at war* with them, at least unless the strange and modern standard of 'your uniformed soldiers constantly shooting at our uniformed soldiers* somehow doesn't count as starting a war. Should we have escalated? Perhaps not. But that's a different discussion. The group who started that particular war was the ruling class of Iraq at the time-just because we let that pot keep simmering for a decade doesn't change that.

quote:
ETA: When I say the war in Libya was already happening, I mean people were already dying in considerable numbers. There's a sense in which we already had some low-level conflict with Iraq, but it was not the cause of much loss of life.
Heh, I saw your post before the edit and was ready to jump. But even with the edit, allow me to point out that you're saying Iraq cannot be said to have started the war, because even though they were illegally shooting at us daily, they weren't killing enough of us?

-------

Blayne, that's just more hyperbole, and not worth taking seriously. *No* standards? We just said, "F*#k 'em, let's invade!" Of course not. As with kmbboots and Destineer, there's a *helluva* case to be made that the planning and execution and preparation were terribly bungled in many ways. But we were all alive back in '01 and '02-let's not go crazy with the overreaction.

Pretend we're China here, and admit to some nuance;)
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
quote:
You're sending what appear to be mixed signals, but perhaps I'm misunderstanding. One of your first (and as I'm reading it, and you'll correct me if I'm wrong) is that inspections were underway, thus we shouldn't have invaded. Later you wrote about several reasons, after a little prod, why perhaps the inspections as they were happening might not have been as comprehensive and reliable to the total question as they seemed.
Sorry if the signals appeared mixed. My position is that the UN inspections were not 100% reliable, since no complicated information-gathering effort can be 100% reliable. But they were reliable enough that we should have reduced our estimate of the Iraq threat well below any reasonable threshold that might justify an invasion.

Further, as it turned out the inspectors demonstrated a good record of success compared to US intelligence. Their preliminary findings turned out to be right, while the CIA was abysmally wrong. I think we can conclude that the people who listened to US intelligence weighed the evidence wrongly.

quote:
You also discuss the impossibility of Iraq's 'guaranteeing' of their disarmament, despite the fact they were legally bound to do just that.
When you talked about guaranteeing, I took you to mean proving something with certainty. That's obviously impossible, so it must not be the requirement that the law placed on Iraq. In that case, in this weaker sense of 'guarantee,' I think the UN inspections would have guaranteed disarmament after a couple of months of further work.

quote:
ou also discuss the impossibility of Iraq's 'guaranteeing' of their disarmament, despite the fact they were legally bound to do just that. Nowhere do you address the deep doubts that ought to occur when a country under weapons inspection has years with which to partially mislead, outright lie, harrass, and simply stop the process can be really said to be disarmed with the inspections of just a few weeks or months.
All this behavior can be explained perfectly well as part of a strategy of deterrence on the part of Iraq. Think of the deceptions employed by the US and Russia during the Cold War.

quote:
We come back to the issue of reliability of inspections, but let me ask you this: the means by which we ensured Iraq wasn't a conventional military threat to its neighbors-did you support them? Sanctions, large military presence in the region, no fly zones, etc.?
At the time I did support them. In retrospect I'm less certain that the loss of Iraqi lives due to sanctions didn't outweigh the benefit from keeping their military under control. A better strategy might have been to let them rebuild while working domestically to reduce our dependence on oil.

quote:
The *only* relevant legal entity here? The USA, which would have borne an overwhelming proportion of the military and economic burden of dealing with this problem, is to be completely bound by the UN's word in this matter?
My point was just this: if you don't recognize that the UN had legal authority, then Iraq did not break the law by violating the no-fly zone, etc. If you do recognize the UN's authority, the US did not act in accord with the law when we invaded Iraq.

quote:

And this all sidesteps how effective and trustworthy the inspections were *at the time*. Are you claiming, however much you were shocked and upset when we invaded, you would've wagered anything of value that they had really disarmed as they claimed?

I probably would've bet at the following odds:

Likelihood that Iraq had a WMD program given that none were discovered during initial inspections: ~10%

Likelihood that Iraqi WMDs could be a potential threat during the extra couple months of inspections Blix asked for: much less than 1%

Likelihood of a covert weapons program remaining undetected after those extra months of inspections: much less than 1%.

Also, even if (horror of horrors) Iraq did develop a nuke, consider the odds of it actually getting into terrorist hands. That hasn't happened with Pakistan's weapons, despite the fact that Pakistan's culture is far more closely aligned with Islamic fundamentalist terrorism than Iraq's. I would say the odds of Iraq passing on a nuke or other WMD to terrorists, assuming they had one, were less than 5%.

So yes, I was willing at that time to bet my life and the lives of my countrymen that Iraq was no immediate threat. In fact, I thought Bush was insane not to take that same bet.

quote:
Heh, I saw your post before the edit and was ready to jump. But even with the edit, allow me to point out that you're saying Iraq cannot be said to have started the war, because even though they were illegally shooting at us daily, they weren't killing enough of us?
Well, they weren't actually killing any of us.

The important question is, who started the major conflict? Who made the decision to invade? Whether than constitutes "starting a war" or not is pure semantics. Call it what you like, we started something when we invaded, and the something that we started is what I object to.
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
What were they doing by shooting at our planes? Violating the letter of the law without doing any real appreciable harm. Is it worth 100,000 deaths, or even 1,000, to enforce the law in a situation like that?
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
Uh no because you are *not* China and China generally never invaded a country before attempting a diplomatic solution first. Korean war? Diplomatic efforts were made first, Truman and MacArthur ignored them, Tibet had a diplomatic framework for about 5 years, Vietname had actually invaded Cambodia which was an ally to China, ignoring the justifications the Vietnamese had there was a clear casus beli for an intervention. Sino-Indian war? Years of negotiations before Nehru unilaterally attempted to shift the border through military means. Generally China puts a *lot* of thought into its international actions, balancing the geopolitical needs versus the diplomatic fallout it would entail. *none* of this was considered by the Bush Administration, they went for token complacency with Britain, ignored France and Russia and went in guns blazing to advance American geopolitical interests in the region.

There is *zero* reason to suppose the United States was doing this for humanitarian or security reasons for there WERE no reasons that were not in fact fabricated. They flouted the United Nations, ignored the peace process, and unilaterally invaded with dissaproportionate force to solve a non existent regional security concern.

Remember this video I posted? How was the US invasion of iraq, nessasary or proportional to its threat to the United States or its neighbour?

Proportionality should be a guideline of war. 600,000 Iraqi's dead, no weapons of mass destruction found or even evidence that they existed. Your excuse is that they merely *fired* on your forces is reason for a massive coordinated invasion and regime change? Shameful.

Iraqi forces firing on US forces pales in comparison to the threat faced by say Russian turbojet nuclear bombers patrolling just outside US airspace, yet I don't see the US invading Russia.

The United States commited crimes against peace, this is a fact of international law. It is of course no wonder that the United States pulled out from the International Court of Justice. The fact of the matter is that a responsible and accountable administration would NOT have invaded Iraq in the first place, the invasion was a dissaproportionate crime against humanity.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
quote:
Proportionality should be a guideline of war. 600,000 Iraqi's dead, no weapons of mass destruction found or even evidence that they existed. Your excuse is that they merely *fired* on your forces is reason for a massive coordinated invasion and regime change? Shameful.
If you're not willing to discuss this fairly, Blayne, I'm not going to discuss it with you. I make that claim of dishonesty or sloppiness on your part for good reason: you've clearly read my posts in this thread, and that's nothing like what I said. I didn't say the reason to invade was because they shot at our planes. You know I didn't, or you simply weren't paying attention. Take this as a victory, if you like-I know my own thoughts on this subject, and what I've said as well.

Destineer, wanted to say not ignoring you-have to respond later, though.
 
Posted by JonHecht (Member # 9712) on :
 
I just wanted to say that this is one of the more interesting and enjoyable threads to read in a long time. Other threads have certainly had such potential based on their topics (particularly Kim Jong Il and the NDAA threads) but end up turning in to people just saying a line or two of their thoughts and ignoring everything anyone else says. While I admit that I've been guilty of that, it is a major reason that I mostly lurk nowadays.

I would jump in but I'm not old enough to have a sufficiently informed opinion to justify any assertions. Most of the information I have from the time of the initial invasion is foggy, heavily biased, or most likely anachronistic.

Sorry for that detour; I just wanted to thank you guys and try to encourage more threads filled with developed reasonable arguments.
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
I don't really discuss the invasion anymore. Not that I'm unwilling to. It's just that if the subject comes up in person, I hand them two things:

Blind into Baghdad

quote:
On April 9 U.S. forces took Baghdad. On April 14 the Pentagon announced that most of the fighting was over. On May 1 President Bush declared that combat operations were at an end. By then looting had gone on in Baghdad for several weeks. "When the United States entered Baghdad on April 9, it entered a city largely undamaged by a carefully executed military campaign," Peter Galbraith, a former U.S. ambassador to Croatia, told a congressional committee in June. "However, in the three weeks following the U.S. takeover, unchecked looting effectively gutted every important public institution in the city—with the notable exception of the oil ministry." On April 11, when asked why U.S. soldiers were not stopping the looting, Donald Rumsfeld said, "Freedom's untidy, and free people are free to make mistakes and commit crimes and do bad things. They're also free to live their lives and do wonderful things, and that's what's going to happen here."

This was a moment, as when he tore up the TPFDD, that Rumsfeld crossed a line. His embrace of "uncertainty" became a reckless evasion of responsibility. He had only disdain for "predictions," yes, and no one could have forecast every circumstance of postwar Baghdad. But virtually everyone who had thought about the issue had warned about the risk of looting. U.S. soldiers could have prevented it—and would have, if so instructed.

The looting spread, destroying the infrastructure that had survived the war and creating the expectation of future chaos. "There is this kind of magic moment, which you can't imagine until you see it," an American civilian who was in Baghdad during the looting told me. "People are used to someone being in charge, and when they realize no one is, the fabric rips."

On May 6 the Administration announced that Bremer would be the new U.S. administrator in Iraq. Two weeks into that job Bremer disbanded the Iraqi army and other parts of the Baathist security structure.

If the failure to stop the looting was a major sin of omission, sending the Iraqi soldiers home was, in the view of nearly everyone except those who made the decision, a catastrophic error of commission. There were two arguments for taking this step. First, the army had "already disbanded itself," as Douglas Feith put it to me—soldiers had melted away, with their weapons. Second, the army had been an integral part of the Sunni-dominated Baathist security structure. Leaving it intact would be the wrong symbol for the new Iraq—especially for the Shiites, whom the army had oppressed. "These actions are part of a robust campaign to show the Iraqi people that the Saddam regime is gone, and will never return," a statement from Bremer's office said.

The case against wholesale dissolution of the army, rather than a selective purge at the top, was that it created an instant enemy class: hundreds of thousands of men who still had their weapons but no longer had a paycheck or a place to go each day. Manpower that could have helped on security patrols became part of the security threat. Studies from the Army War College, the Future of Iraq project, and the Center for Strategic and International Studies, to name a few, had all considered exactly this problem and suggested ways of removing the noxious leadership while retaining the ordinary troops. They had all warned strongly against disbanding the Iraqi army. The Army War College, for example, said in its report, "To tear apart the Army in the war's aftermath could lead to the destruction of one of the only forces for unity within the society."

"This is not something that was dreamed up by somebody at the last minute," Walter Slocombe—who held Feith's job, undersecretary of defense for policy, during the Clinton Administration, and who is now a security adviser on Bremer's team—told Peter Slevin, of The Washington Post, last November. He said that he had discussed the plan with Wolfowitz at least once and with Feith several times, including the day before the order was given. "The critical point," he told Slevin, "was that nobody argued that we shouldn't do this." No one, that is, the Administration listened to.

Here is the hardest question: How could the Administration have thought that it was safe to proceed in blithe indifference to the warnings of nearly everyone with operational experience in modern military occupations? Saying that the Administration considered this a truly urgent "war of necessity" doesn't explain the indifference. Even if it feared that Iraq might give terrorists fearsome weapons at any moment, it could still have thought more carefully about the day after the war. World War II was a war of absolute necessity, and the United States still found time for detailed occupation planning.

The President must have known that however bright the scenarios, the reality of Iraq eighteen months after the war would affect his re-election. The political risk was enormous and obvious. Administration officials must have believed not only that the war was necessary but also that a successful occupation would not require any more forethought than they gave it.

It will be years before we fully understand how intelligent people convinced themselves of this.

Then follow up with the much more ... forward Great Iraq Swindle.

quote:
It was an awful idea, perhaps the worst America has ever tried on foreign soil. But if you were in on it, it was great work while it lasted. Since time immemorial, the distribution of government largesse had followed a staid, paper-laden procedure in which the federal government would post the details of a contract in periodicals like Commerce Business Daily or, more ­recently, on the FedBizOpps Web site. Competitive bids were solicited and contracts were awarded in accordance with the labyrinthine print of the U.S. Code, a straightforward system that worked well enough before the Bush years that, as one lawyer puts it, you could "count the number of cases of criminal fraud on the fingers of one hand."

There were exceptions to the rule, of course -- emergencies that required immediate awards, contracts where there was only one available source of materials or labor, classified deals that involved national security. What no one knew at the beginning of the war was that the Bush administration had essentially decided to treat the entire Iraqi theater as an exception to the rules. All you had to do was get to Iraq and the game was on.

But getting there wasn't easy. To travel to Iraq, would-be contractors needed permission from the Bush administration, which was far from blind in its appraisal of applicants. In a much-ballyhooed example of favoritism, the White House originally installed a clown named Jim O'Beirne at the relevant evaluation desk in the Department of Defense. O'Beirne proved to be a classic Bush villain, a moron's moron who judged applicants not on their Arabic skills or their relevant expertise but on their Republican bona fides; he sent a twenty-four-year-old who had never worked in finance to manage the reopening of the Iraqi stock exchange, and appointed a recent graduate of an evangelical university for home-schooled kids who had no accounting experience to manage Iraq's $13 billion budget. James K. Haveman, who had served as Michigan's community-health director under a GOP governor, was put in charge of rehabilitating Iraq's health-care system and decided that what this war-ravaged, malnourished, sanitation-deficient country most urgently needed was . . . an anti-smoking campaign.

Town-selectmen types like Haveman weren't the only people who got passes to enter Iraq in the first few years. The administration also greenlighted brash, modern-day forty-niners like Scott Custer and Mike Battles, a pair of ex-Army officers and bottom-rank Republican pols (Battles had run for Congress in Rhode Island and had been a Fox News commentator) who had decided to form a security company called Custer Battles and make it big in Iraq. "Battles knew some people from his congres­sional run, and that's how they got there," says Alan Grayson, an attorney who led a whistle-blower lawsuit against the pair for defrauding the government.

Before coming to Iraq, Custer Battles hadn't done even a million dollars in business. The company's own Web site brags that Battles had to borrow cab fare from Jordan to Iraq and arrived in Baghdad with less than $500 in his pocket. But he had good timing, arriving just as a security contract for Baghdad International Airport was being "put up" for bid. The company site raves that Custer spent "three sleepless nights" penning an offer that impressed the CPA enough to hand the partners $2 million in cash, which Battles promptly stuffed into a duffel bag and drove to deposit in a Lebanese bank.

I tell them that if they want to have this discussion with me, after years of watching the great and powerful force of wanton, partisan delusion at play for us as liberators in a just war, then they need to read the entirety of both of these articles. Not just the clips I have placed above. The whole thing. When they say they have, I ask some fairly neutral questions to gauge whether or not they have actually read and understood the articles.

So far as of yet, once they have, there's no more to really discuss.

It's just a well-worn and warmed over feeling of jaded outrage, with just a tinge of that ill feeling that comes with the reminder that there's many people who cannot for the life of them dare to comprehend why, ultimately, I do not excuse this invasion. Why none of us should. Why it was a central argument demonstrating the dangers of the neocons — of, in fact, what most american conservatives have become — and the flaming incompetence of the Bush administration.

There's a reason why there's so little talk about the end of the war. So few people want to be holding up or talking about the "mission accomplished" flag at this point, because they know what it means.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
Investment
 
Posted by TomDavidson (Member # 124) on :
 
I have little to say in this thread that I have not been saying for over a decade, increasingly stridently. It makes me physically ill to have this conversation anymore; worse, it nauseates me that it's still necessary to have this conversation with some people.

I realize that this is key to the success of the Beltway spin machine -- that the people who have always been consistently right simply get tired of having to argue that point over and over again -- but I just can't do it anymore.
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
At the same time, Sam, as good as those articles are... they leave it open that maybe, if the war had been executed honestly and intelligently, it would have been a good thing.

I want to deny that as well.
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
I meant to post about atrocities.

quote:
Atrocities were most certainly inevitable-they were already happening, had been for years, with no end in sight. You're speaking as though the options were between 'no atrocities' and 'atrocities'. That's just flat-out wrong.
Let's stipulate that 'atrocities' means something like violent-type war crimes. My impression is that Hussein's violent campaigns against the Kurds and Shiites were basically over by '03. The only atrocities being committed in Iraq at that time in appreciable numbers had to do with torture in the prison system. (I could be wrong about this in some respect, since I haven't looked into it closely.)

Another consideration is: if we chose not to invade, America would not itself be to blame for atrocities. It's one thing for another country to torture people, etc. The moral price of doing it ourselves is something we should be more reluctant to pay, I think.
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by TomDavidson:
I have little to say in this thread that I have not been saying for over a decade, increasingly stridently. It makes me physically ill to have this conversation anymore; worse, it nauseates me that it's still necessary to have this conversation with some people.

I know the feeling, but at the same time, self-righteousness is a helluva drug. This is an issue that I know I'm right about, and a lot of people on the other side secretly know it in their hearts as well.

And it is important, because the way things are going, they'll do it again someday.
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Destineer:
At the same time, Sam, as good as those articles are... they leave it open that maybe, if the war had been executed honestly and intelligently, it would have been a good thing.

I want to deny that as well.

They do leave open the fact that the honest and intelligent liberation of countries from horrid tyrants can definitely be a good thing. They also remind us that the motivations and attitudes of those who drove us into the Iraq war void any possibility that the war happened or was decided upon for any just reason.

I'm not an isolationist in this regard. I'd be more than happy to use our military for the "greater good," or whatever one wants to call it, on the international scale. We have done it before. We could certainly do it again. You could look at plenty of things we have done as worthwhile templates for this sort of thing. They have all without fail been overshadowed and rendered nearly forgettable with how we conducted ourselves militarily and policy-wise after 9-11, utterly squandering what was originally a font of solidarity and goodwill across most of the world.

Now, when people think about the U.S. military, they think of "mission accomplished," "last throes," bush, cheney, abu ghraib, guantanamo, waterboarding, cowboy diplomacy. Workable causes like Panama 1989 are all but forgotten. We despoiled a possible tool for good in the world.

Which, when you think about it, makes it so that the fact that these sorts of things can be done justly and correctly ultimately renders Bush's wars worse in retrospective, more reprehensible because of what more it took away for some time; possibly still. And, because, despite the desperate attempt to forget, ignore, or whitewash the fact that committing to the Iraq war caused Al Qaeda's anti-american strategy to succeed, that's exactly what happened.

quote:
I have little to say in this thread that I have not been saying for over a decade, increasingly stridently. It makes me physically ill to have this conversation anymore; worse, it nauseates me that it's still necessary to have this conversation with some people.
This. In fact, reading through those threads and getting a full hit right in the face of all those hideous things we want to forget, like how strident pro-war partisanship led so frequently and easily towards the defense and support of american torture programs.

This is why it's so much nicer to have internet discussions about, say, how japanese swords are blatantly inferior for combat, or practically anything else. It doesn't relate to having to waft through a nauseating, delusional illness of the 2000's American zeitgeist.
 
Posted by Bokonon (Member # 480) on :
 
I'm usually embarrassed about old posts (heck, I was in my 20s when i wrote that! [Wink] ), but I actually liked this one. And Storm Saxon's response here.

I know, apropos of nothing. but I thought I put it pretty well.

-Bok
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
quote:
Proportionality should be a guideline of war. 600,000 Iraqi's dead, no weapons of mass destruction found or even evidence that they existed. Your excuse is that they merely *fired* on your forces is reason for a massive coordinated invasion and regime change? Shameful.
If you're not willing to discuss this fairly, Blayne, I'm not going to discuss it with you. I make that claim of dishonesty or sloppiness on your part for good reason: you've clearly read my posts in this thread, and that's nothing like what I said. I didn't say the reason to invade was because they shot at our planes. You know I didn't, or you simply weren't paying attention. Take this as a victory, if you like-I know my own thoughts on this subject, and what I've said as well.

Destineer, wanted to say not ignoring you-have to respond later, though.

You brought up China, which was a complete non-sequitor, there can be no reason other than that you are so lacking in a substantiative reply to the most basic fact that the war was dissaproportionately out of proportion to the supposed casus beli that it doesn't matter what you believe the cause ultimately was.

What does it matter if you say "the US didn't start it" or that there was a "low level, low intensity conflict" before it began, it is a rationalization because ultimately proportionality should be a guideline, invasion was not the proportional response. Because in truth there WAS no moral or ethical justification, to justify the invasion there is none, zero, zilch, nadda. They did bad things? What about the other 80 countries that do bad things? They fired at you? What about those nuclear tipped MIRV capable ICBM's pointed at 20 American cities from China? 100 cities from Russian Topol-M's? You don't even have *my* rationalized appeal to international law because you did NOT have the approval of the United Nations as you did in 1991.

Without the fabrications, without the scare mongering about WMD's, without the 9/11 scare mongering, there would have been no support for the war and it would never have happened.

The United States committed crimes against peace, the very crimes that several people were hanged for at Nuremburg for.
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
quote:
You brought up China, which was a complete non-sequitor, there can be no reason other than that you are so lacking in a substantiative reply to the most basic fact that the war was dissaproportionately out of proportion to the supposed casus beli that it doesn't matter what you believe the cause ultimately was.
Stop making pseudoproofs 'showing' or 'proving' things about substance or lack of substance on the part of others. You're rarely ever right about them.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Family stuff is cropping up in predictable ways given the time of year, so I'll have to hold off responding to your thoughts on the subject according to your own conditions, Samprimary-I'm about halfway through your links. As it is this post was written throughout the day. Fascinating reading sk far. And, ummmm, props, I suppose, for so bluntly quantifying your usual slightly smug playful superiority this time?

-----

Kmbboots,

By all means, seize on one-word self-righteous replies founded in the substantive posts other people make (Samprimary, in this case) rather than actually replying to the objections and criticisms I've raised to you specifically.

------

Destineer,

quote:
Sorry if the signals appeared mixed. My position is that the UN inspections were not 100% reliable, since no complicated information-gathering effort can be 100% reliable. But they were reliable enough that we should have reduced our estimate of the Iraq threat well below any reasonable threshold that might justify an invasion.
I suspect we'll be at an impasse here, as with your other estimates of the chances at the time. I felt then, and still do now, that while inspections were pointing strongly towards Saddam having actually disarmed, they didn't point near as much as you suggest, even though within their scope they appeared decisive. You acknowledged yourself that it was not as though they could travel where they liked, inspect as they willed, and questioned as they would without notice.

Of course as it turns out, they *were* right about Saddam's armaments, and we bear responsibility for being wrong about that. It's on us-you aren't suddenly not wrong if you had good reasons to think what you (by 'you' I mean the USA) thought before, well, you found out you were wrong.

quote:
Further, as it turned out the inspectors demonstrated a good record of success compared to US intelligence. Their preliminary findings turned out to be right, while the CIA was abysmally wrong. I think we can conclude that the people who listened to US intelligence weighed the evidence wrongly.
Well, yes, obviously. That's not quite the question, though.

quote:
When you talked about guaranteeing, I took you to mean proving something with certainty. That's obviously impossible, so it must not be the requirement that the law placed on Iraq. In that case, in this weaker sense of 'guarantee,' I think the UN inspections would have guaranteed disarmament after a couple of months of further work.
Didn't mean to suggest 'guarantee' in some scientific way, but rather to an acceptable level of assurance in terms of foreign relations. Obviously that level is subjective, but one reason I mentioned it, and I'll repeat myself here, is that while we couldn't guarantee they were disarmed absolutely, Saddam had a legal obligation to reassure us that he constantly, until the very end, went to great lengths to avoid. Likewise when you discuss the Cold War, that seems to me equally invalid a comparison-we hadn't beaten the USSR in an aggressive war of their choosing, and they didn't subsequently make many agreements on the subject of WMD. There *was* a lot of sneakiness between us on amounts, types, development, all sorts of things, but I don't feel it's quite comparable. Saddam didn't have the, hmm, standing? to get all weasely on us like we did with the USSR, and they with us.

quote:
Also, even if (horror of horrors) Iraq did develop a nuke, consider the odds of it actually getting into terrorist hands. That hasn't happened with Pakistan's weapons, despite the fact that Pakistan's culture is far more closely aligned with Islamic fundamentalist terrorism than Iraq's. I would say the odds of Iraq passing on a nuke or other WMD to terrorists, assuming they had one, were less than 5%.
It seems more than a little strange to me to hear Pakistan's nukes and their leadership implied as being an example of *safety*. How long have they had nukes? Less than a single generation, by a wide margin. Must we wait until the if/when of a WMD obtained from Pakistan is used on us or our allies before we can then reasonably say, "Ok, nukes in the hands of hostile, nutty, evil-by-any-standards dictators who despise us is an acceptable risk," and say that *before* they get them? To just accept the acquisition as tolerable because, hey, even the loons in Pakistan haven't nuked us in the years they've had 'em. I mean, how on Earth do any of us say with real certainty, "We know what Pakistan will do in five years with their nukes, or what Saddam would've done, or Iran?" These aren't stable nations with more-or-less rational, predictable governments such as the USA, USSR (and its descendants), PRC, UK, France, India, or even Israel (and allow me to say I am often disturbed at their having them, because of the recurring power of fanatics, even though I wouldn't bet on their being used).

quote:
Well, they weren't actually killing any of us.

The important question is, who started the major conflict? Who made the decision to invade? Whether than constitutes "starting a war" or not is pure semantics. Call it what you like, we started something when we invaded, and the something that we started is what I object to.

That's what I said-they weren't killing enough of us;) Apparently it isn't enough to *try* to kill us, or our allies (Israeli civilians, and anybody unlucky enough to want a slice of pizza on the wrong day, for an obvious example)-they must kill enough of us to be considered *really* provocative. What's the number? One pilot? Had they shot down ten planes, but we rescued all the pilots, would that count as a provocation?

I think you're absolutely right about us starting *something*, though, and bearing responsibility for it. But we didn't *start* that war, we escalated it. Call it semantics if you will. As for them 'violating the letter of the law', I really must object. They didn't commit *technicalities*-I think we can both agree the spirit of that law was *not*, "Shoot at us a whole lot so long as you don't hit us-not through lack of trying, though!

Also, a broader point: you're taking each of these reasons of mine, focusing on them singly, and asking, "Was this worth it?" and then piling on the entire context of bad consequences. I feel this neglects, well, much of the context. I would not for example have said, if the only thing they'd done was to fire on our planes that we should have invaded, to say nothing of invading so sloppily. But when they attack our lawfully behaving military, when they violate international laws that are enforced by us, when they destabilize one of the most important regions on Earth, when they enact genocide and brutality on their own people, *together* I think that merits a military response.

Not the response we actually *made*, though, and that's a very different discussion on which I think we'd agree on a lot more.

quote:
Let's stipulate that 'atrocities' means something like violent-type war crimes. My impression is that Hussein's violent campaigns against the Kurds and Shiites were basically over by '03. The only atrocities being committed in Iraq at that time in appreciable numbers had to do with torture in the prison system. (I could be wrong about this in some respect, since I haven't looked into it closely.)
I don't grant the assumption, but for the sake of argument I'll go along: how was it the atrocities were stopped? What mechanism did we use to put a stop to it? Invasion, sanctions, and no-fly zones. We won the invasion (Gulf War I), and then they did their level best to evade the sanctions and attack the planes.

----

Blayne,

I even tossed a winky in there to illustrate my mention of China was not intended to be some bitter insult, but rather a suggestion to take a more nuanced view, dropping the absolutist statements. Not only are you still unwilling to discuss this honestly with me, you won't even drop the absolutist language.

China's nukes? What a profoundly stupid argument. Your suggestion is that because we treat one nation that can within hours kill *millions of our citizens*, if we don't treat another nation that can't in the same way there's some sort of hypocrisy? There was *no* justification of *any* kind? You're worse than boots. We didn't try a diplomatic solution? It would be one thing if you said we didn't try enough, or we didn't have good enough reasons, etc, but you don't say that, do you?

I'm not even going to touch the nonsense about Chinese non-aggression without diplomacy except to note it.

You can stop frothing at the mouth in outrage on the subject and actually discuss it, or not. Up to you. I'll happily point out when you get silly if you don't, though. Again, declare it a victory if you like.

------

And on that subject, a note about the distinct tone of weary self-righteousness. Well, it's not actually a *tone*, it's been specifically mentioned by at least three people. I'd take it as a kindness if you, at least insofar as you're talking to me, leave talk about supporting torture and sloppy invasions and cronyism and so on and so forth out of it. I never supported torture, before during or after the invasion-I always thought if was stupid, ineffective, dangerous, and against our principles. I and many others who I think align along some of my lines on this subject very quickly were angry at the way the occupation was being managed. As have our relations with Iraq for *decades*, in fact. So insofar as y'all are just retrospecting, that's one thing. But when you're talking to me, please don't assume (Destineer, thanks kindly for not doing this, btw) that just because I thought then and think now that an invasion was justified and even necessary, that that means I approve of how it was handled.

-------

It's a big holiday weekend, and a big thread, so I wouldn't be at all surprised if I missed something. If someone thinks I have, please lemme know at least once before reacting as though I'm hiding from it.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:

even tossed a winky in there to illustrate my mention of China was not intended to be some bitter insult, but rather a suggestion to take a more nuanced view, dropping the absolutist statements. Not only are you still unwilling to discuss this honestly with me, you won't even drop the absolutist language.

How can there be nuance or middle ground between "war crimes" and "not war crimes", that you use the golden means fallacy suggests that you know the position is ultimately indefensible.

quote:

China's nukes? What a profoundly stupid argument. Your suggestion is that because we treat one nation that can within hours kill *millions of our citizens*, if we don't treat another nation that can't in the same way there's some sort of hypocrisy? There was *no* justification of *any* kind? You're worse than boots. We didn't try a diplomatic solution? It would be one thing if you said we didn't try enough, or we didn't have good enough reasons, etc, but you don't say that, do you?

I'm pretty sure I said that or are there reading comprehension issues? IE: The whole portion of my post regarding proportionality, that invading iraq was out of proportion to whatever casus beli's it may have presented. A point you refuse to engage or address. There is room for a nuance that there may have been options for the United States, but it is clear that there is no justification for invasion. A fabricated case doesn't mean that there was a good case.

quote:

I'm not even going to touch the nonsense about Chinese non-aggression without diplomacy except to note it.

Why do you bring it up and why are you unwilling to back up your points? Drive by sniping and refusing to back up and substantiate is pretty low of you. Regardless, mentioning China is just a irrelevant non-sequitor, if you wanted nuance then you could discuss nuance directly and not be byzantine about it.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
quote:
I'm pretty sure I said that or are there reading comprehension issues? IE: The whole portion of my post regarding proportionality, that invading iraq was out of proportion to whatever casus beli's it may have presented. A point you refuse to engage or address. There is room for a nuance that there may have been options for the United States, but it is clear that there is no justification for invasion. A fabricated case doesn't mean that there was a good case.

You actually made a lot of points, not just about proportionality. One of those points was to mention our different behavior towards nations with nukes pointed at us. Apparently you still don't get it: *we treat nations with nukes pointed at us differently than those without*. That is 100% rational. Your mention of it was simply absurd.

I know you're not actually that foolish, hence my refusal to discuss this with you until you stop ranting. Or, hey, keep it up. I'm having fun with this, too.
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
Rakeesh, I suspect you're right that we're at an impasse about whether the apparent threat from Iraq was sufficient. But here's a question about that. Since in your opinion the threat from Iraq's weapons was high enough (with their belligerent behavior and domestic oppression included) to justify a US invasion, I imagine the same must hold for Iran.

We have excellent evidence of Iran's nuclear program, and it's also not a great country overall. So you must be 100% in favor of going in, right? I mean, if Iraq was even on our threat radar with the meager amount of evidence against them we had back then, Iran must be a sure thing.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Actually, the legal justifications aren't quite the same though they do also exist. Iran is simply lying its collective ass off about proliferation, you won't really find anyone serious who believes they aren't, it's true. And they have made supposedly binding promises that they're breaking, also true. But they didn't make these promises after losing an aggressive war they started and being brought to the peace table by force. So not *quite* the same. I also think the level of human rights abuse, while still simply awful in Iran today, is not *quite* as bad as Iraq in 2003.

Also, the evidence we had then was 'meager'? Well against just *any* state, sure. But Iraq was on parole. And Saddam worked *really hard* to keep the world on edge, uncertain, about his disarmament, wouldn't you also agree? I feel that this is one of those half-truths that is so often believed about Iraq, that the evidence was 'meager' because it wasn't overwhelming.

Anyway, to answer your question, I do feel we have justification to intervene in Iran with military force. I don't feel we should because I don't think we could, on our own, and the rest of the world is largely content to wait and let things continue to simmer, or else directly profit. And (heaven help me) before anyone makes mention of it, yes, this sort of thing is one of the bigger problems I have with the so often inept and stupid way the Iraq war was conducted.
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
I don't know, I feel like the legal justifications are the same as before, namely none. As I said before, the only legal reason for going into Iraq was to enforce UN law, and the UN had decided that an invasion was not an appropriate way to do that. The circumstances about the previous war certainly provide a disanalogy, but I don't see how they bear one way or another on the legality of the US attack.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
The UN has also decided on multiple occasions that the appropriate response to genocide is to do...what, exactly? I'm just pointing this out to illustrate that it's hardly as though the UN is a consistent, reliable enforcement body that we should've relied upon to enforce its own rules (and of course, to enforce those rules itself, without relying, whenever it *did* decide to enforce its own rules, on an overwhelmingly American military presence).

You also don't note the process by which the UN arrived at that decision, Destineer. Did it decide to take that 'course' by arriving at that conclusion based on objective debate free from influence?

Of course not. Now, your key point is right: the UN had made a decision. I just feel it needs some context.
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
Oh, look. Have we even been gone a week?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-16283562
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
I'm actually willing to grant that starting an "illegal" war is sometimes the right decision.

But if going into Iran now is the wrong decision, and going into Iraq back then was right, it's not because the latter war was "legal" while the former war wouldn't be.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
quote:
I'm pretty sure I said that or are there reading comprehension issues? IE: The whole portion of my post regarding proportionality, that invading iraq was out of proportion to whatever casus beli's it may have presented. A point you refuse to engage or address. There is room for a nuance that there may have been options for the United States, but it is clear that there is no justification for invasion. A fabricated case doesn't mean that there was a good case.

You actually made a lot of points, not just about proportionality. One of those points was to mention our different behavior towards nations with nukes pointed at us. Apparently you still don't get it: *we treat nations with nukes pointed at us differently than those without*. That is 100% rational. Your mention of it was simply absurd.

I know you're not actually that foolish, hence my refusal to discuss this with you until you stop ranting. Or, hey, keep it up. I'm having fun with this, too.

So yes there are reading comprehension issues as I certainly didn't say it that way, I bring up the point specifically to point out your absurdity of stating that "Iraq is a threat ergo Iraq must be invaded" that you are being absolutely pedantic and unwilling to engage in discussion due to ad hominem I think is abundantly clear to everyone.

You are not being honest.

quote:

Also, the evidence we had then was 'meager'? Well against just *any* state, sure. But Iraq was on parole. And Saddam worked *really hard* to keep the world on edge, uncertain, about his disarmament, wouldn't you also agree? I feel that this is one of those half-truths that is so often believed about Iraq, that the evidence was 'meager' because it wasn't overwhelming.

Wow a nation reluctant to forgo much of its sovereign rights and engaging in face saving measures while ultimately abiding by the spirit if not the word of its "parole" color my surprised.

This still is a rationalization and still doesn't justify unilateral invasion and crimes against peace, the rationality of irrationality is a legitimate negotiating tactic. You had weapons inspectors and ample resources to make Iraq comply without needing to resort to invasion and regime change of a country that did not want regime change.

quote:


Anyway, to answer your question, I do feel we have justification to intervene in Iran with military force. I don't feel we should because I don't think we could, on our own, and the rest of the world is largely content to wait and let things continue to simmer, or else directly profit. And (heaven help me) before anyone makes mention of it, yes, this sort of thing is one of the bigger problems I have with the so often inept and stupid way the Iraq war was conducted.

So it's the rest of the world's fault now that the United States screwed the pooch so hard that the pooch had to lock itself in the bathroom with soothing cream? You are trying to have your cake and eat it here and still operating from the 100% assumption that the Iraq war was justified when it isn't, which provides you the neat juggling act of balancing "the world's fault" and "if only implementation wasn't bungled" and neatly sidestep the issue of the war's inherent illegality.

quote:

I don't know, I feel like the legal justifications are the same as before, namely none. As I said before, the only legal reason for going into Iraq was to enforce UN law, and the UN had decided that an invasion was not an appropriate way to do that. The circumstances about the previous war certainly provide a disanalogy, but I don't see how they bear one way or another on the legality of the US attack.

I would say Iran possesses a somewhat stronger case for legality, namely that it is probably in violation of its agreements with the NPT and the IAEA but of course it is hard to have any credibility in trying to build such a case when the United States shot itself in the foot for conducting an illegal war of aggression.

quote:

The UN has also decided on multiple occasions that the appropriate response to genocide is to do...what, exactly? I'm just pointing this out to illustrate that it's hardly as though the UN is a consistent, reliable enforcement body that we should've relied upon to enforce its own rules (and of course, to enforce those rules itself, without relying, whenever it *did* decide to enforce its own rules, on an overwhelmingly American military presence).

Smear tactics against the reliability of the UN to justify unilateralism and to ignore world opinion. Because ultimately what can't this excuse be used for? Remember Nicaragua vs. United States when the ICJ ruled that the United States committed crimes against peace by placing naval mines in a Nicaraguan port? The US response was to pull out of the ICJ.

quote:

You also don't note the process by which the UN arrived at that decision, Destineer. Did it decide to take that 'course' by arriving at that conclusion based on objective debate free from influence?

Of course not. Now, your key point is right: the UN had made a decision. I just feel it needs some context.

The influence of oh hey, US invasion isn't the proportional response oh boy. The United States has a charter obligation to respect the soveriegnty of other nations, to not engage in acts of aggression or rely on the threat of aggression and to make the greatest effort to resolve any dispute peacefully.

The United States it is abundantly clear and self evident that the United States did not make a good faith effort to resolve the Iraq matter peacefully, that the entire shebang was based around fabricating a justification to invade according to the special interests of the Bush Administration. War was not the method of last resort but the first resort after a lip service effort at negotiation.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
I don't grant that it was an illegal war simply because the UN was waiting. That was never the only legal justification (though the Bush Administration was deeply foolish and negligent not to beg, borrow, bribe and coerce its support).

That said, as I described the situation re: Iran and the rest of the world is different than was Iraq. But my opposition to a military intervention (beyond perhaps a destruction of nuclear capability) is largely because I don't think we could intervene successfully, or even non-catastrophically.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
I remember now where I said, "Iraq is a threat, therefore it must be invaded. Furthermore, that that is the only justification we need to invade anyone!" Totally said all of that Blayne, as well as implying it heavily. Of course that's not only the obvious falsehood you've attributed to me, nor the only strange, inconsistent point you've made.

But I've kept going because I hoped perhaps you'd admit to *some* silliness here, but it seems unlikely. I won't be talking to you further in this thread (except perhaps to make fun of you) anymore until you do.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
If you want to keep fingers in your ear and keep screaming "NYAH NO NO I CANT HEAR YOU" go right ahead but ultimately it is your outrageous and catastrophic opinions you are trying to defend here, and if you don't bother defend them what sort of message are you trying to get across? Again, whining about my tone is an ad hominem and ignores the basic content and thrust of my arguments, which you've done virtually nothing to address or engage, preferring instead to cut and run.

There isn't any sillyness but the 100% serious allegation that the United States committed war crimes and crimes against peace under the standards and precedents set at Nuremburg and continues to flout international law as it sees fit.

The United States is a founding member and a signatory of the United Nations Charter of which explicitly forbids the very acts of aggression it committed against Iraq. That you put it in realpolitik cynical terminology of "bribe beg and steal" pretty much sums up your own contempt to international laws and norms for whenever they impede the glorious united states in doing whatever it is they want wherever they want, according to the filmiest justifications ever fabricated.

Insisting that the war was only "incompetently run" ignores the very and most basic premise that we contest, that the war is in fact not just.

Again, proportionality should be a guideline to war, how was the US response proportional to Iraq's supposed crimes? Where was the ICJ? (Oh right, the US isn't a part of its framework it withdrew when it became inconvenient) Where is the ICC? Where was the exhaustive search for options and alternatives to invasion?

There was none, the war is illegal and from that fact everything attached to the war becomes tainted.

Also again to address the "parole" argument, international law makes it very clear that nations are only akin to individuals but otherwise do not have the same standards applied to them as applied to individuals. After all the United States was not Iraq's parole agent, the UNSC was. Further enhancing the war's illegality because its vigilante justice outside your jurisdiction to carry the analogy further.

You are of course free to be the intellectual and moral coward you wish to be that's your choice. 600,000 Iraqi's are dead because of the actions of the United States and the Bush Administration, if you want to make light of the issue and not treat it with the seriousness it deserves again that is your prerogative but don't expect anyone to treat you as anything other than an inhuman morally and ethically bankrupt monster.

Substantiate or concede. Don't take the passive aggressive route of "take this if a victory if you want..."

On the topic of silliness, maybe this will get the point across to you: At 1:30.

[ December 26, 2011, 08:45 PM: Message edited by: Blayne Bradley ]
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
It's fascinating how realpolitik is so reprehensible when spoken of in defense of America, but completely understandable when used in defense of your two pets, China and Russia, Blayne. Feel free to insist you don't do that, and I'll leave it to those who are listening and know you to judge.

Also, I wasn't complaining about your tone, though it *is* hysterically angry, I made very specific criticisms about your arguments. People are generally used to you periodically flipping out on politics, so I'd be silly to complain of your tone now.

I've also *totally* made light of civilian deaths in Iraq, frequently excusing the Bush Administrations many major blunders as simply not a big deal. Man, eff those civilians! I just wanna parking lot the whole country!

To be very clear here, this is me making fun of you, Blayne. You're right, I am totally a sociopathic coward and you're the triumphant...I don't know, prophet or something.

On an actual serious note, I didn't mean the bit about beg, borrow, etc literally, I only meant we should've bludgeoned and cajoled and convinced-diplomatically and legally and even economically-the West to meaningfully contribute. But if I DID mean it literally, how awful would it have been to say? Do you imagine the UN isn't rife with all of those already? Ask a Rwandan, ask an Afghani at pretty much anytime over the last 40 years, ask a Saudi woman, ask a person in Tibet, ask a Palestinian (or even an Israeli). See what kind of answer you'll get.

That said, back to busting your balls!

-----

Is anyone else having frequent trouble using HR? I've lost three replies over the last two days, ugh.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
How can there be any tone *other* than anger? Your country screwed up so spectacularly that 600,000 are dead, and you just don't give a crap so long as you can white knight your country and rationalize it away.

You are completely lacking in reading comprehension as you keep misreading or otherwise misinterpreting my words, for example, I didn't say realpolitik is reprehensible, only that the US embarked in it and that by doing so, by doing so for the selfish reasons of national interest, it discredits virtually ALL the arguments that the United States was "just" in its illegal invasion of Iraq. So stop shifting the goal posts.

You keep not getting this somehow, like some kind of willful exercise in blatant ignorance and denial.

Again more non-sequitors and trivial tangents, excuse mongering and rationalizations completely lacking in substance shifting the conversation away from your white knighting of a failed policy and a failed baseless and illegal invasion that you consistently refuse to engage or answer to attacking the opposition rather than the address points of substance.

Maybe you should stop pedantic nitpicking the largest international organization for its flaws while trivializing it's undoubtable successes and focus on the the issues at hand rather than you know, consistently derailing the topic to get away from you know, not having to defend your arguments.
 
Posted by Lyrhawn (Member # 7039) on :
 
Some of the blame for those dead goes to Iraq itself. It's a country designed to fly apart at the seams without a strong bonding agent. Saddam was that bonding agent, and he only governed effectively when he was killing off scores of potential violent forces. When we destroyed the bonding agent, the country immediately fell apart.

Do we bear the blame for breaking the bond? Yes, of course we do. We should have had a bonding agent in place ready to go.

Do we bear all the blame for the destruction that followed? No. You take some heat for putting a gun on a table and walking away. But when an adult picks up the gun and shoots someone else, you don't say it isn't murder because someone gave him the gun. Sectarian violence claimed many of those lives.

Having said that, I'm glad Iraq is over, I was never, ever in favor of the war, and I think we have a lot to answer for.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Like you've said before, Blayne, I just don't give a crap about civilian deaths-in fact I'm *happy* about them, I'm sorry there weren't *more*! Why, I certainly haven't expressed contempt for the way the Bush Administration waged the war in this very thread and dozens of times elsewhere!

Man, I just hate me some Iraqi civilians. It's probably because they're usually so *brown*, and as a fat self-glorying American I just hate 'em!

ETA: Again, Blayne, take refuge is fantasy however you like, this isn't a case of you posing damning arguments and observations, and me getting all blustery arrogant American and just refusing to answer because your powerful truth makes me realize a guilty conscience. Nothing like that. I'm willing and indeed eager to discuss this, as I have with Destineer and others.

I'm just not willing to engage with you, because of the straightforward dishonest or careless way in which you're discussing it. Instead, I'm having a good time watching you go nuts-just now I had some fun watching you declare I just don't care about the civvies, and I think my country is a white knight in this affair. If it were someone else saying it, I'd be suspicious of irony.
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
I think Blayne has made some very good points that you should address.

quote:
There isn't any sillyness but the 100% serious allegation that the United States committed war crimes and crimes against peace under the standards and precedents set at Nuremburg and continues to flout international law as it sees fit.
Indeed. We seem to have forgotten how many Germans we found guilty of the crime of "waging aggressive war."

quote:
Also again to address the "parole" argument, international law makes it very clear that nations are only akin to individuals but otherwise do not have the same standards applied to them as applied to individuals. After all the United States was not Iraq's parole agent, the UNSC was. Further enhancing the war's illegality because its vigilante justice outside your jurisdiction to carry the analogy further.

 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Lyrhawn:
Some of the blame for those dead goes to Iraq itself. It's a country designed to fly apart at the seams without a strong bonding agent. Saddam was that bonding agent, and he only governed effectively when he was killing off scores of potential violent forces. When we destroyed the bonding agent, the country immediately fell apart.

Do we bear the blame for breaking the bond? Yes, of course we do. We should have had a bonding agent in place ready to go.

Do we bear all the blame for the destruction that followed? No. You take some heat for putting a gun on a table and walking away. But when an adult picks up the gun and shoots someone else, you don't say it isn't murder because someone gave him the gun. Sectarian violence claimed many of those lives.

Having said that, I'm glad Iraq is over, I was never, ever in favor of the war, and I think we have a lot to answer for.

This is not historically accurate, Iraq had a functioning government pre-Saddam and had a functioning government since it gained Independence from the British Trusteeship. It had a rocky history with coup's and what not but what developing country today hasn't?

quote:

Like you've said before, Blayne, I just don't give a crap about civilian deaths-in fact I'm *happy* about them, I'm sorry there weren't *more*! Why, I certainly haven't expressed contempt for the way the Bush Administration waged the war in this very thread and dozens of times elsewhere!

Man, I just hate me some Iraqi civilians. It's probably because they're usually so *brown*, and as a fat self-glorying American I just hate 'em!

ETA: Again, Blayne, take refuge is fantasy however you like, this isn't a case of you posing damning arguments and observations, and me getting all blustery arrogant American and just refusing to answer because your powerful truth makes me realize a guilty conscience. Nothing like that. I'm willing and indeed eager to discuss this, as I have with Destineer and others.

I'm just not willing to engage with you, because of the straightforward dishonest or careless way in which you're discussing it. Instead, I'm having a good time watching you go nuts-just now I had some fun watching you declare I just don't care about the civvies, and I think my country is a white knight in this affair. If it were someone else saying it, I'd be suspicious of irony.

You are the one that relied on fallacies as your opening statement, you are the one that relied on a false equivalence "well china did this or that" as a deflection tactic to avoid have to be accountable for your argument and avoid substantiating it. We are not addressing China here, we are addressing the United States, and whether its actions constitute war crimes under the precedents set at Nuremburg. An allegation you have thus far ignored and instead brazingly pushed on with the assumption that the war was somehow "just" and that only the "implementation" was bad. As if we just only need to invade a few more countries and we might get it right "this time".
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:


Kmbboots,

By all means, seize on one-word self-righteous replies founded in the substantive posts other people make (Samprimary, in this case) rather than actually replying to the objections and criticisms I've raised to you specifically.


One word posdts are so much easier from my phone. It wasn't all that tricky. I had originally mentioned investment. You said you didn't know what I meant by clarification. I clarified and then noted when Samprimary gave an example of people with an investment in going to war.

You mentioned the anti-war movement's naivety. You also talk about regretting the civilian deaths. Do you really think that the invasion could have been accomplished without those deaths and various other atrocities? What makes you think so?
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Really, Destineer? That's all you have to say? 'He made some good points?' He didn't, say, tell some insulting lies about my own statements?

As for Germans after WWII, quite true. Why the Nuremberg trials are held so highly is curious to me, though, considering what happened to so many of the convicted defendants. I have to wonder, though, aggressive war like the Nazis? We're still in Iraq, after all, we took and held much of its territory and deported or enslaved or murdered their inhabitants, yes?

Please. If we're really going to bring up Nuremberg, we're gonna do it all the way. No cherrypicking.

As for the point about the UNSC...yeah. That fair-minded august body that was, as a group, totally doing its part to enforce *it's own rules* in Iraq prior to the invasion, yes? That group which everyone expected to shoulder collectively the burden *when*-as Democrats and Republicans agreed-military intervention was required? The UNSC that is so justly famed for thwarting tyrants and protecting the innocent? That UNSC?

I don't say these things to suggest America's invasion was legal by UN standards. I bring these things up to ask the question, "How many things are *legal* by those same standards? Half-assed,population-crushing ineffective sanctions were legal. Well known violations of those sanctions by businesses and even politicians among the UNSC was if not legal at least known.

Now, as for war crimes, yes in fact I think many Administration members are guilty of some. Mostly centered around their negligence that led to so many civilian deaths (not that I care about those at all, Destineer, as the good-point-making Blayne has said; and it is really frustrating that your comments on him are only 'he's making some good points'; how about I claim you don't care about Iraqi civilians at all, because you were happy to see them suffer under Saddam, would that be a 'good point'?)

But 'waging aggressive war'? Good grief!
---

Ohh, ohh, Blayne-hey, if Taiwan fired on a PRC plane in PRC airspace, would that count as provocation for military response? Just curious-it's not as though we don't know your answer already.
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
My attitude these days is, if you're not in a mood to let a few disses drop and get on with arguing the substance of an issue, it's not a good day to be on Hatrack.

The charge of waging aggressive war was taken very seriously at Nuremburg. 'Aggressive' didn't mean bloody, it meant offensive. Starting a war was the crime.

These were standards that the US accepted and imposed on other nations back then (although to say we'd obeyed them ourselves in the past is a big stretch). If you think those standards don't apply to us now, we must've been wrong to impose them on the Germans back then, right?

The way "war crimes" are defined is indeed farcical, although I would identify the farce quite differently than you. It's a "war crime" to use a laser to blind the other guy's soldiers. What a joke. What a comparatively minor, harmless offense compared with actually starting an unnecessary war in the first place.

In a regular court, if you attack someone who you believe is a threat, on the basis of slim evidence, you don't get off on self-defense.

"But the evidence wasn't so slim," say the war's defenders. Poppycock. The evidence wasn't good enough to convince anyone else, except Spain and the ruling faction of the UK government. The fact that the evidence didn't convince our allies, at a time of unprecedented international support for the US, should be enough for a rational person (or nation) to start questioning whether the evidence was really very good at all. In fact it was very weak, and it's only through rationalizing, overly forgiving hindsight that anyone thinks otherwise.
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
quote:
You are the one that relied on fallacies as your opening statement, you are the one that relied on a false equivalence "well china did this or that" as a deflection tactic to avoid have to be accountable for your argument and avoid substantiating it.
Blayne, I'm going to be more direct. Shut up. Stop telling people like Rakeesh how they're obviously moving heaven or earth to not substantiate their argument, or explaining how someone obviously has no standing for their position and are just trying to avoid being "accountable" for it.

The first step towards pretty much anyone being able to take you seriously in debates (especially in your extremely rocky reputation for debating international issues) is to quit acting like this when you're usually always wrong and blustery and useless, otherwise people will just continue to know that you can't rationally be engaged on these matters. It's annoying and you're being ridiculous, stop it.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Samprimary:
quote:
You are the one that relied on fallacies as your opening statement, you are the one that relied on a false equivalence "well china did this or that" as a deflection tactic to avoid have to be accountable for your argument and avoid substantiating it.
Blayne, I'm going to be more direct. Shut up. Stop telling people like Rakeesh how they're obviously moving heaven or earth to not substantiate their argument, or explaining how someone obviously has no standing for their position and are just trying to avoid being "accountable" for it.

The first step towards pretty much anyone being able to take you seriously in debates (especially in your extremely rocky reputation for debating international issues) is to quit acting like this when you're usually always wrong and blustery and useless, otherwise people will just continue to know that you can't rationally be engaged on these matters. It's annoying and you're being ridiculous, stop it.

Make me internet tough guy.

He has yet to answer a single argument raised, he has used only deflection tactics, again who is he trying to ultimately convince? What kind of image is he trying to project? What kind of stake does he have? It can't be very much given his unwillingness to answer simple questions. Either he can substantiate or he can concede.

quote:

As for Germans after WWII, quite true. Why the Nuremberg trials are held so highly is curious to me, though, considering what happened to so many of the convicted defendants. I have to wonder, though, aggressive war like the Nazis? We're still in Iraq, after all, we took and held much of its territory and deported or enslaved or murdered their inhabitants, yes?

The Apartheid Fallacy, clearly if the United States doesn't exactly in some kind of glorified checkbox do every Nazi atrocity committed during the Second World War clearly then they aren't war crimes!

I am going to copy and paste Principle VI of the Nuremburg Principles:

quote:

Really, Destineer? That's all you have to say? 'He made some good points?' He didn't, say, tell some insulting lies about my own statements?

You gonna back any of that up? Didn't think so.

quote:

Principle VI states,

"The crimes hereinafter set out are punishable as crimes under international law:
(a) Crimes against peace:
(i) Planning, preparation, initiation or waging of a war of aggression or a war in violation of international treaties, agreements or assurances;
(ii) Participation in a common plan or conspiracy for the accomplishment of any of the acts mentioned under (i).
(b) War crimes:
Violations of the laws or customs of war which include, but are not limited to, murder, ill-treatment or deportation of slave labor or for any other purpose of the civilian population of or in occupied territory; murder or ill-treatment of prisoners of war or persons on the Seas, killing of hostages, plunder of public or private property, wanton destruction of cities, towns, or villages, or devastation not justified by military necessity.
(c) Crimes against humanity:
Murder, extermination, enslavement, deportation and other inhumane acts done against any civilian population, or persecutions on political, racial, or religious grounds, when such acts are done or such persecutions are carried on in execution of or in connection with any crime against peace or any war crime."

Notice that these are somewhat broad legal categories to which undoubtedly the United States actions in Iraq, to which the actions of PMC's like Blackwater would be under the principle of command responsibility become the US's responsibility.

quote:

As for the point about the UNSC...yeah. That fair-minded august body that was, as a group, totally doing its part to enforce *it's own rules* in Iraq prior to the invasion, yes? That group which everyone expected to shoulder collectively the burden *when*-as Democrats and Republicans agreed-military intervention was required? The UNSC that is so justly famed for thwarting tyrants and protecting the innocent? That UNSC?

Right sarcastic cynicism is totally a valid substitute for valid argumentation, you continue to rationalize delegitimizing international norms and customs to support the unilateral actions of the United States; what the legislative body happened to agree upon are irrelevant here because we are dealing with state actors not domestic politics.

This is the same United Nations Security Council that was supportive in the invasion of Afghanistan, intervention in Libya, and the 1991 Gulf War. All situations where the case was significantly more clear cut, with significantly more valid legal basis and a far greater degree of multinational consensus.

The United States failed in its efforts to present a convincing legal case that iraq was in possession of WMD's or a threat to the peace because that evidence was ultimately not there. If it were there precedent seems to point out that the UNSC is more than willing to be supportive of the United States.

quote:

I don't say these things to suggest America's invasion was legal by UN standards. I bring these things up to ask the question, "How many things are *legal* by those same standards? Half-assed,population-crushing ineffective sanctions were legal. Well known violations of those sanctions by businesses and even politicians among the UNSC was if not legal at least known.

How does this validate the invasion of Iraq? That the process is flawed so it justifies a flawed invasion? What about all the other times it worked? Would unilateralism truly be the better alternative to even at worst systemic graft? The evidence doesn't say so.

quote:

Now, as for war crimes, yes in fact I think many Administration members are guilty of some. Mostly centered around their negligence that led to so many civilian deaths (not that I care about those at all, Destineer, as the good-point-making Blayne has said; and it is really frustrating that your comments on him are only 'he's making some good points'; how about I claim you don't care about Iraqi civilians at all, because you were happy to see them suffer under Saddam, would that be a 'good point'?)

You are making light of the utter atrocity the civilian Iraqi deaths and the destruction of their infrastructure ultimately will do in the long term and the near disintegration of a once proud nation and people. You are making light of it with the insistence that "it is only the implementation that is flawed" while ignoring that the reasons of national self interest that propelled the motivations for the war could never have allowed for a just invasion and reconstruction.

You would not be in the position of being "frustrated" if you answered by arguments instead of irrelevant false equivilence non-sequitors.

quote:

But 'waging aggressive war'? Good grief!

I think I am very much not the minority opinion especially among non-americans when it comes to this in our believe that under international law and custom the invasion of Iraq is a crime against peace under the Nuremburg Principles your pedantic nitpicking be damned.

quote:

Ohh, ohh, Blayne-hey, if Taiwan fired on a PRC plane in PRC airspace, would that count as provocation for military response? Just curious-it's not as though we don't know your answer already.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hOCYcgOnWUM

Clearly you have not read my previous posts, which makes sense considering your stubborn refusal to substantiate or concede.

quote:

The way "war crimes" are defined is indeed farcical, although I would identify the farce quite differently than you. It's a "war crime" to use a laser to blind the other guy's soldiers. What a joke. What a comparatively minor, harmless offense compared with actually starting an unnecessary war in the first place.

It doesn't quite work that way, the Hague and Geneva Conventions don't explicitly outlaw laser dazzlers, it is only a war crime to act in an unhonorable fashion to an egregious and systemic degree and substantial evidence that laser dazzlers are inhumane. A much more clear cut case is anti personnel mines which for example the German Bouncing Betty's weren't lethal in many instances and could cause grievous and inhumane harm, but because of a lack of treaties and their defencive nature I do not believe the Germans were ever charged with war crimes over the use of bouncing betty's.

The Ottawa Treaty that currently forbids APM's isn't signed by the United States, China or Russia; signatories are obligated to destroy theirs stockpiles of anti personnel mines except for a few for training and research purposes. As a multinational treaty breaking the treaty could be considered a war crime, as for example the Germans breaking the london naval treaty and conducting unrestricted submarine warfare broke treaties they had previously signed, thus Karl Donitz was indited for war crimes on this basis but found not-guilty only because the Allies also broke the same treaty.

There is a I know it when I see it standard for conducting war in a just fashion, it isn't perfect but it isn't too hard to tell the difference if the effort is put into investigating it. Blackwater almost certainly engaged in war crimes under the Nuremburg Principles which by the principle of command responsibility makes it the responsibility of US Commanders on the field, US Supreme Command in Iraqi Theater and by the logical extension of the US itself and the Administration.
 
Posted by Parkour (Member # 12078) on :
 
I don't understand why any of you ever bother to respond to blayne bradley. He will never change and he will always act like this, and always be deluded about it. Give it up.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Parkour:
I don't understand why any of you ever bother to respond to blayne bradley. He will never change and he will always act like this, and always be deluded about it. Give it up.

Coming from someone with absolutely no stake in the thread? Absolutely unastonishing.

Maybe if you had actually participating in the thread this would be worth the paper it isn't printed on but it is just kinda pathetic dog piling.

If you have something substantiative to discuss, discuss it and let the jury of the peers be the judge otherwise it is just an echo chamber in which the Crown has forsaken the field and the honorable opposition holds the center by default through forfeiture.

In short grow some thick skin people.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Heh, wait, dogpiling Among the five people talking here, in this thread, one is partially supportive, one is you, and three are antagonistic. Dogpiling. Right!
 
Posted by Parkour (Member # 12078) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Blayne Bradley:
quote:
Originally posted by Parkour:
I don't understand why any of you ever bother to respond to blayne bradley. He will never change and he will always act like this, and always be deluded about it. Give it up.

If you have something substantiative to discuss, discuss it and let the jury of the peers be the judge
Ok, substantive discussion: you repeatedly prove that you are not worth taking seriously in these discussions and you flip out and do not help that case, and the way you are acting here reinforces that fact.

And you should quit but you won't because you lack the personal maturity. And that's sad and it would be better if it weren't so but by now I am just tired of watching you derail international discussions in a rude and frustrating way.

Ok "jury of peers", take a position,am I essentially right or essentially wrong. Vote now for me or blayne.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
My vote. Blayne is rude and over the top but right. You are rude and have contributed nothing but egging Blayne on.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
quote:

One word posdts are so much easier from my phone. It wasn't all that tricky. I had originally mentioned investment. You said you didn't know what I meant by clarification. I clarified and then noted when Samprimary gave an example of people with an investment in going to war.

You mentioned the anti-war movement's naivety. You also talk about regretting the civilian deaths. Do you really think that the invasion could have been accomplished without those deaths and various other atrocities? What makes you think so?

Alright, if it was from your phone, then I reacted badly. Sorry about that.

Yes, I do think the invasion could've been accomplished without as many deaths as have followed, absolutely. Do you really disagree with that? Given that you (and I, to be clear) agree that the Bush Administration horrifically mismanaged the conduct of the war...how can you not think it could've been done better with respect to civilian death? That seems to be a given, implied in your point. Unless your point is that, somehow, any invasion at all was by definition going to absolutely be mismanaged as a question of fact-that it would have been impossible for the Bush Administration to have made better decisions.

As for naivete, yes, I stand by that, to the extent that the anti-war movement in general seems to oppose any military intervention, pre-emptive or otherwise, anywhere. It was opposed by many in the first Persian Gulf War, as well as being opposed by many-though thankfully this didn't amount to much politically-in the invasion of Afghanistan. It seems naive because the movement, so far as it can be grouped together, doesn't appear to favor any military response anywhere to things that have actually happened.

They may reluctantly admit that it is justified in past instances, or in hypotheticals, but when the time actually comes when some region-threatening leader somewhere is starting up an aggressive war, almost invariably from the anti-war movement comes outcries-not without justification-of past American mismanagement or even awful, criminal behavior that contributed, but very little on what to actually do now. So often the rhetoric goes that because we have just plain screwed up or even (not uncommonly) been villainous in our behavior, we must do nothing now, regardless of the future. It doesn't matter how awful things are in a given country, or how much worse sanctions are making them without leading to the ouster of the leader. It doesn't matter what will possibly happen if a given leader is just left in power for decades-the only thing that seems to matter is that America and the West are not without blame, and until we are blameless we aren't right in doing anything.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
Holy crap I have never seen such astonishing strawmaning outside of right wing crackpot forums.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Holy crap, and I'm totally a rightwing crackpot! As for my last post, I certainly didn't take care to repeatedly use words like seems and take special note that I am well aware that such a wide group cannot really be pigeonholed all together.

Speaking of strawmen, though, Blayne, let's talk about how you noticed me saying more than once I don't care about civlian deaths, hmm? Or how the attacks made by Iraq on our military before the war were enough, in and of themselves, to warrant invasion? Or how I totally said that we're required to invade everywhere there are bad leaders, and didn't at all mention that I felt there were multiple reasons in this particular case that together were sufficient?

I could go on, but doubtless you'd get your usual hysterical self and insist with that self-pitying whine you do so well that I haven't actually made any arguments, that you're being dogpiled, etc. etc. I mean anyway it's practically guaranteed-I mentioned China, and then Samprimary spoke directly to you. So let's hear it! You're due, man, really let it flow, open the faucet all the way.

(And before you go about complaining of personal attacks, Blayne, bear in mind you've called me a liar, a fool, a lover of war criminals, and suggested I am apathetic to the deaths of hundreds of thousands-all of these you've done more than once. Just try and bear that in mind when you really start the whining in earnest, m'kay?)
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
quote:
(And before you go about complaining of personal attacks, Blayne, bear in mind you've called me a liar, a fool, a lover of war criminals, and suggested I am apathetic to the deaths of hundreds of thousands-all of these you've done more than once. Just try and bear that in mind when you really start the whining in earnest, m'kay?)
or jonesing out for the claim of being the victim of strawmen, or telling other people to 'grow thicker skin'
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Heh, I admit I missed the irony of that one entirely.

(Haven't forgotten you, Samprimary. HR ate two posts of mine to you and it kinda made me really frustrated to retype much of the same words again. Good old steady administration `round here.)
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Samprimary:
quote:
(And before you go about complaining of personal attacks, Blayne, bear in mind you've called me a liar, a fool, a lover of war criminals, and suggested I am apathetic to the deaths of hundreds of thousands-all of these you've done more than once. Just try and bear that in mind when you really start the whining in earnest, m'kay?)
or jonesing out for the claim of being the victim of strawmen, or telling other people to 'grow thicker skin'
Totally give him a free pass regardless of what he says or does so long as it lets you have a free chance at me.

quote:

As some people seem to be a little unclear as to what constitutes dogpiling, here is a quick and dirty guide to it. Dogpiling is, in general, the act of multiple posters simultaneously engaging a single opponent. While I admit that the line between dogpiling and having an open debate is blurry, there is one.

Generally, when you already see one or two people debating a single poster, please refrain from doing so as well unless you have a new argument to make. Even then, when a mod has put out a general warning against dogpiling, one should seriously consider whether another post is warranted.

The rules regarding dogpiling from SDN.net, essentially what new argument have you made hrrm? Or Parkour?

quote:

Holy crap, and I'm totally a rightwing crackpot! As for my last post, I certainly didn't take care to repeatedly use words like seems and take special note that I am well aware that such a wide group cannot really be pigeonholed all together.

Speaking of strawmen, though, Blayne, let's talk about how you noticed me saying more than once I don't care about civlian deaths, hmm? Or how the attacks made by Iraq on our military before the war were enough, in and of themselves, to warrant invasion? Or how I totally said that we're required to invade everywhere there are bad leaders, and didn't at all mention that I felt there were multiple reasons in this particular case that together were sufficient?

I could go on, but doubtless you'd get your usual hysterical self and insist with that self-pitying whine you do so well that I haven't actually made any arguments, that you're being dogpiled, etc. etc. I mean anyway it's practically guaranteed-I mentioned China, and then Samprimary spoke directly to you. So let's hear it! You're due, man, really let it flow, open the faucet all the way.

(And before you go about complaining of personal attacks, Blayne, bear in mind you've called me a liar, a fool, a lover of war criminals, and suggested I am apathetic to the deaths of hundreds of thousands-all of these you've done more than once. Just try and bear that in mind when you really start the whining in earnest, m'kay?)

Your lack of reading comprehension is entirely a problem of your own making. You *choose* to white knight the war criminal actions of the United States, you *choose* to consistently pull out false equivalence after false equivalence, you *choose* to also engage in the most blatant strawman arguments that I have quite literally only seen from right wing crackpots and you continue to make light of the issues by your condescending and dismissive attitude towards the very serious and substantiative arguments that the United States is guilty of war crimes which you dismissed and white knighted away with the patently ridiculous argument of insinuating the freaking Nuremburg Trials as somehow illegitimate or otherwise somehow not relevant to the United States, you *choose* to instead of responding with substantiative debate instead *choose* to play deflection tactics or to focus on delegitimizing the importance of international law, the international community, and the United Nations as not being in a position of authority over the actions of the United States, that the United States is above the law whenever the law is inconvenient to the United States. You also *choose* to misread or not read at all my posts after posts otherwise you would already know the answers to some of my questions and cease the irrelevant bitching over whether or not I said you said that the United States only claimed so or so casis beli, that isn't the goddamn point the goddamn point is that none of any of the reasons ever provided that are factual constitute enough of a threat or a breach to or of the Mandate of the United Nations to make a unilateral invasion of Iraq legitimate rendering the invasion not proportional to the threat or actions of Iraq.

I only specified being fired upon because you weren't specific, so I have an example of an Iraqi action that may warrant a response but otherwise doesn't warrant invasion as an example so cease your pedantic shrill whining and focus on the points of substance, substantiate or concede.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Dude, seriously, how often are you going to say 'whiteknighted' as though it were actually a word? Or, heh, is this more tvtropes lingo?

Here's the way you're lying about what I've been saying, Blayne: I put forward several reasons why I felt the decision to invade, when taken as a group, was acceptable. When you responded to me, you spoke repeatedly as though I were saying that they were each, individually, much much more than enough to justify the invasion and further that if they weren't, individually, much much more than enough, it was unambiguously evil and awful.

Well, I mean that's just one of the ways you've lied repeatedly about what I said (though I guess on Hatrack we should just be prepared to take some shots, right Destineer?). You insisted I was saying that because there are problems with the UN and the Nuremburg Trials (and by the way, my problem wasn't that we didn't prosecute everyone, it was rather that once we'd prosecuted lots of people, more than a few were let off after only a few years; so much for the moral superiority of Nuremburg was what I was getting at), that we should be permitted to disregard them entirely.

I mean, I could go on here. False equivalence? Please. I tried talking about this directly with you early on, and I gave you multiple opportunities to either pay closer attention to what I was saying-I'm happy to be disagreed with-or stop lying about it, but you chose instead to get even more holier-than-thou. First you say I'm ignoring the way the Bush Administration conducted the war, even though from the very start I said I hated the stupid and wasteful ways they behaved. Then when I pointed out I said that, you said I was 'minimizing' it. I could point out why calling me a right-wing crackpot is stupid and dishonest, such as opposition to torture, much of the Patriot Act, extraordinary rendition, but I'm sure that wouldn't count somehow. Good grief, I specifically said I felt members of the Bush Administration-up to the top-were guilty of war crimes in their execution of the war.

I think the decision to invade was morally acceptable, therefore I'm a right-wing crackpot. Your reasoning is pretty transparent here, Blayne. I'm fine with being thought of that way-I have little doubt that many or even most in this thread, as they indirectly said earlier on (cannot believe anyone would be so blind as to...varieties of posts), but you have to show it. Or else I'm going to laugh at you for whining and being stupid.

Speaking of which: ha!

[ December 28, 2011, 12:53 PM: Message edited by: Rakeesh ]
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
Rakeesh, given the threat that Iraq actually was to us - how many US civilians they reasonably could have killed before we stopped them - how many Iraqi civilians were we justified in killing? Given the damage they could reasonably do to our infrastructure, how much damage were we justified in doing to theirs?

What makes you think that a full scale invasion ever would have been limited to that? You have said that it was so much worse than it needed to be (which also was no surprise to anyone paying attention) but how bad do you think it should have been given the real threat to us?

You don't have to be a right-wing crackpot - and, for the record, I don't think that you are - to have been and remain emotionally invested in believing our country to be just and right in our actions. Recognizing that we were the bad guys hurts those of us who love this country. Believing our leaders that feckless or greedy is terrifying and exhausting. I think, though, that it is our duty.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
If you don't know a word rather than be ignorant just google it.

http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=white%20knighting

quote:

Here's the way you're lying about what I've been saying, Blayne: I put forward several reasons why I felt the decision to invade, when taken as a group, was acceptable. When you responded to me, you spoke repeatedly as though I were saying that they were each, individually, much much more than enough to justify the invasion and further that if they weren't, individually, much much more than enough, it was unambiguously evil and awful.

Than you have an overly literal sense of tunnel vision, it should be very clear from context that even as a group they are insufficient because even as a group it is still not the proportional response (my key argument from originates all other arguments) because it didn't happen "all at once", and I had never said "individually" insufficient, I said "none of them", "combined" could be left unsaid because its patently obvious you are inferring to over two decades of supposed bad behavior and also include what are in all due respect are valid negotiating tactics by sovereign nations; there's an entire paradigm in international relations theory that says that UNCERTAINTY BRINGS STABILITY and as such Iraq by keeping other nations off balance and on their toes was actually committing the rational course of action to protect themselves from unlawful invasion.

I'll also point out that there is in fact a specific fallacy for what you've been attempting for at least three separate posts "Tu quoque" fallacy where you tried to claim my points are invalid because of supposed hypocrisy making it a red herring.

quote:

Well, I mean that's just one of the ways you've lied repeatedly about what I said (though I guess on Hatrack we should just be prepared to take some shots, right Destineer?). You insisted I was saying that because there are problems with the UN and the Nuremburg Trials (and by the way, my problem wasn't that we didn't prosecute everyone, it was rather that once we'd prosecuted lots of people, more than a few were let off after only a few years; so much for the moral superiority of Nuremburg was what I was getting at), that we should be permitted to disregard them entirely.

The hell does this even mean? You *want* nothing better than a show trial? Did you *want* Stalin's suggestion of having 10,000 German officers shot without due process? Dude, it was a trial, it wasn't entirely fair and quite a few examples of victors justice (the Yamashita trial to gain precedent for command responsibility for instance) but what you say here is barely understandable and what can be understood is patently ridiculous. Essentially that the Nuremburg trials should *not* at all be used as a standard in which to judge US actions because there were *some* flaws with the process? Puhlease.


HEY GUYS! We should *totally* not convict a rapist because in the past some dudes were let off on a technicality and some other dudes were found guilty when later DNA evidence exonerated them! The SYSTEM IS FLAWED SO IT SHOULDNT BE USED!

Oh, there's a term for it: "Poisoning the well" knock it off.

quote:

I mean, I could go on here. False equivalence? Please. I tried talking about this directly with you early on, and I gave you multiple opportunities to either pay closer attention to what I was saying-I'm happy to be disagreed with-or stop lying about it, but you chose instead to get even more holier-than-thou. First you say I'm ignoring the way the Bush Administration conducted the war, even though from the very start I said I hated the stupid and wasteful ways they behaved. Then when I pointed out I said that, you said I was 'minimizing' it. I could point out why calling me a right-wing crackpot is stupid and dishonest, such as opposition to torture, much of the Patriot Act, extraordinary rendition, but I'm sure that wouldn't count somehow. Good grief, I specifically said I felt members of the Bush Administration-up to the top-were guilty of war crimes in their execution of the war.

Dude you gave none, I said one thing, you said another thing, then you threw a hissy fit because of *tone* and because I supposedly lacked *nuance* (hey look, golden means fallacy that there's a "middle ground" that I have to abide by because of your say-so) when I said the reasonable argument that the United States for its conduct in iraq committed war crimes, you broke off from the argument right then and there because you didn't like what you were hearing, grow up.

Secondly what are you with the continued strawmaning? I say something and you construe it in the most uncharitable way possible? Again grow up, I wasn't making a guilt by association argument, I was arguing that you were making a strawman, a form of argumentation I've seen right wing crackpots use the exact same way, throw in "Unamerican/american hating/blah blah" and it would fit right in so you shouldn't be relying on strawmen for your arguments.

IE: The key problem and my problem is that it is a massive strawman that you can't even prove! That I often see it from right wing crackpots is emphasis that you should tread carefully, a warning shot if you will.

And by false equivalence I damn well mean "well they do it too/they aren't moral either/they are a part of the problem" blah blah "so we should be able to do it" and otherwise not set an example.

Your modus operandi should NOT be to quote "nation's do not survive by setting an example for others but by making example of others".

Which has pretty much been your MO throughout this "conversation" is to just deflect blame or responsibility, "they wouldn't do it so we had to" and ignore whether or not you actually had to, which is me and Destineer's complaint, the war was not necessary.

Also my point at least, and I think to an extant Destineer's is that it's pointless hypotheticalizing to simply chalk the whole war's disastrous outcome to being "bad implementation" it's virtually an insult to the people who've died because it ignores that the culpability goes beyond the Bush Administration's negligence but to the very fact that they were even willing to go to war in the first place making it a crime against peace.

quote:

I think the decision to invade was morally acceptable, therefore I'm a right-wing crackpot. Your reasoning is pretty transparent here, Blayne. I'm fine with being thought of that way-I have little doubt that many or even most in this thread, as they indirectly said earlier on (cannot believe anyone would be so blind as to...varieties of posts), but you have to show it. Or else I'm going to laugh at you for whining and being stupid.

Again with the strawmaning, you are again misconstruing my posts, as I never said that.


I am not accusing you of being a right wing crackpot, I am accusing you of my country right or wrong jingoism.
 
Posted by TomDavidson (Member # 124) on :
 
Gah. My brain. My brain is bleeding.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Now I'm a jingoist? Good grief, that's such an expansive club now! I didn't realize it included people like me who object fundamentally to quite a lot of 'security' policies and feel we've screwed up badly, past or present, with respect to the rest of the world.

Heh, this is fun. I'm piling up awfulness as we go, and I had no idea! Now I'm a jingoist as well as not caring about hundreds of thousands of deaths. Good grief, Blayne, you are just being stupid as hell here. How on Earth can you seriously suggest I'm saying 'my country right or wrong' given what I've repeatedly said here in this thread, recently? I know you've seen it.

quote:

HEY GUYS! We should *totally* not convict a rapist because in the past some dudes were let off on a technicality and some other dudes were found guilty when later DNA evidence exonerated them! The SYSTEM IS FLAWED SO IT SHOULDNT BE USED!

Hee. You'll kindly point to where I said it shouldn't be used, rather than pointing out that the Nuremburg Trials just weren't as sacrosanct as you appear to be suggesting-as well as the UN. Hell, I even said specifically I think we should have gotten consensus. But I don't think they're valid or useful or something. Man! How do I hold all these contradictory positions without my head just exploding, anyway? Maybe it's a diet rich in protein, for strong cranial bones.

------

kmbboots,

quote:
Rakeesh, given the threat that Iraq actually was to us - how many US civilians they reasonably could have killed before we stopped them - how many Iraqi civilians were we justified in killing? Given the damage they could reasonably do to our infrastructure, how much damage were we justified in doing to theirs?
I've said repeatedly that 'direct threat to the USA' was not the only basis for invasion, please bear that in mind. Now, my answer to your questions are, "I don't know." I really can't put a number on it, a precise number-the best I can come up with is that the morality of things would be based on a comparison between the best, most rational estimate of deaths that would have resulted had he been left in power-and, by the way, this doesn't just include deaths by sanctions-compared to those that the invasion helped to cause. As those two numbers come more and more near to balance, much less deficit in the wrong direction, the war becomes incrementally more unjust.

quote:

What makes you think that a full scale invasion ever would have been limited to that? You have said that it was so much worse than it needed to be (which also was no surprise to anyone paying attention) but how bad do you think it should have been given the real threat to us?

The threat to us was never the sole consideration, and for someone concerned with civilian deaths that seems to me a peculiar stance to take. And I'll note that you've dodged my point, which was to say that since you agreed the war was so badly bungled, doesn't that mean by definition it could have been done better? That its mismanagement wasn't a foregone conclusion?

But let's also bear something in mind: had your counsel on dealings with Iraq been heeded, just how much 'not a threat' would Saddam have been? This is a serious question, if you're going to assert your accuracy and moral superiority on the subject. Sanctions, actual assertive ongoing inspections, enforced no-flight zones, targeted air strikes when necessary, etc. Perhaps I'm wrong, but I'm having a really hard time imagining you supporting that sort of thing.

quote:

You don't have to be a right-wing crackpot - and, for the record, I don't think that you are - to have been and remain emotionally invested in believing our country to be just and right in our actions. Recognizing that we were the bad guys hurts those of us who love this country. Believing our leaders that feckless or greedy is terrifying and exhausting. I think, though, that it is our duty.

Thanks for that. It would be more relevant if I didn't, y'know, frequently and openly acknowledge how terribly we've been wrong in so many things, though. I suppose it is possible that I've got some emotional whiteknighting (and I looked it up before mocking you in the regular dictionary, not the urban one, Blayne) apologist impulse on this matter, but not all sorts of other matters. Or it could be that emotional investment isn't now and wasn't then an iumportant part of my reasoning.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
Of course the war was badly bungled. Could it have been done better? Maybe. But people who knew enough to do it better probably would have known enough not to do it.

I talk about the threat aspect because I am not sure what else could justify a full scale invasion. I was against the sanctions - those generally just make a despot more powerful within the country - but supported ongoing inspections (forever, if necessary). I think that the air strikes in Libya (for example) while causing some civilian deaths, have probably saved more. I could have seen something like that in Iraq. I had no serious problem with the no-fly zone.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
quote:
I talk about the threat aspect because I am not sure what else could justify a full scale invasion. I was against the sanctions - those generally just make a despot more powerful within the country - but supported ongoing inspections (forever, if necessary). I think that the air strikes in Libya (for example) while causing some civilian deaths, have probably saved more. I could have seen something like that in Iraq. I had no serious problem with the no-fly zone.
How then would you propose to keep Saddam's military machine weakened so he wasn't actually a threat to his neighbors? Or would we just be bound to periodically smashing his military over and over again, until he (as he obviously would have done) decentralized his armaments?

As for inspections, would you have supported inspections that included the inspectors being permitted to go anywhere in the country, interview anyone they wanted, alone, all of that without advanced warning? Because that is not even close to the kinds of inspections that we actually had. Oh, and inspections where Saddam didn't have a say in who did the inspecting.

As for the no-fly zone, you say you had no serious problem with it. That means you had some problem with it? How much and why? I admit that the idea of someone objecting to the no-fly zones, given the reasons they were enacted, seems even stranger to me than I think my position seems to you.
 
Posted by Lyrhawn (Member # 7039) on :
 
We had a chance to go the Libya route when the Kurds rebelled in the nineties and we stood by and watched saddam slaughter them, after we told them to rebel. The no-fly was the least we could do after that. The war could have been handled much better, but it was never, ever going to be the easy transition to democracy that many assumed. There was no natural consensus candidate to replace saddam, and even now we have a fragile political alliance on the verge of falling apart. Even well-managed, it was always going to be a mess.
 
Posted by JonHecht (Member # 9712) on :
 
I retract what I said earlier about this being a good thread.

Blayne, you seriously need to stop insulting people. Please. If you don't want people to insult you back, you need to stop doing it first. Maybe you're fine being insulted, but I know that you're not fine not being taken seriously. You won't be taken seriously until you act more mature and stop it. You may be making decent points--it doesn't matter. Presentation is just as important as substance. (It also might help if you stop making tv trope references such as "white knight", but that's a less important point).

Rakeesh, you need to act more mature as well. Do you really think the best way to respond to ad hominem attacks is to acknowledge them? If you just ignore them and deal with the substantive claims, then either he'll stop making them or everyone will see that he looks like an arse. Responding to them does nothing good and maybe some harm.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
quote:
I talk about the threat aspect because I am not sure what else could justify a full scale invasion. I was against the sanctions - those generally just make a despot more powerful within the country - but supported ongoing inspections (forever, if necessary). I think that the air strikes in Libya (for example) while causing some civilian deaths, have probably saved more. I could have seen something like that in Iraq. I had no serious problem with the no-fly zone.
How then would you propose to keep Saddam's military machine weakened so he wasn't actually a threat to his neighbors? Or would we just be bound to periodically smashing his military over and over again, until he (as he obviously would have done) decentralized his armaments?


Sanctions didn't really do as much to weaken Saddam as to weaken possible resistance to Saddam. Periodically smashing his military over and over again - should it have become a threat - would have been far preferable to what we ended up doing.
quote:

As for inspections, would you have supported inspections that included the inspectors being permitted to go anywhere in the country, interview anyone they wanted, alone, all of that without advanced warning? Because that is not even close to the kinds of inspections that we actually had. Oh, and inspections where Saddam didn't have a say in who did the inspecting.

I am not sure what you mean by this question. I supported inspections. I also supported paying attention to the inspectors.
quote:


As for the no-fly zone, you say you had no serious problem with it. That means you had some problem with it? How much and why? I admit that the idea of someone objecting to the no-fly zones, given the reasons they were enacted, seems even stranger to me than I think my position seems to you.

Beyond the scrutiny that any military requires, I didn't have a problem with maintaining no-fly zones. I hesitate to say "no problems" because you tend to glom onto absolutes.

[ December 28, 2011, 04:34 PM: Message edited by: kmbboots ]
 
Posted by Lyrhawn (Member # 7039) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
quote:
I talk about the threat aspect because I am not sure what else could justify a full scale invasion. I was against the sanctions - those generally just make a despot more powerful within the country - but supported ongoing inspections (forever, if necessary). I think that the air strikes in Libya (for example) while causing some civilian deaths, have probably saved more. I could have seen something like that in Iraq. I had no serious problem with the no-fly zone.
How then would you propose to keep Saddam's military machine weakened so he wasn't actually a threat to his neighbors? Or would we just be bound to periodically smashing his military over and over again, until he (as he obviously would have done) decentralized his armaments?

As for inspections, would you have supported inspections that included the inspectors being permitted to go anywhere in the country, interview anyone they wanted, alone, all of that without advanced warning? Because that is not even close to the kinds of inspections that we actually had. Oh, and inspections where Saddam didn't have a say in who did the inspecting.

As for the no-fly zone, you say you had no serious problem with it. That means you had some problem with it? How much and why? I admit that the idea of someone objecting to the no-fly zones, given the reasons they were enacted, seems even stranger to me than I think my position seems to you.

What military machine?
 
Posted by vegimo (Member # 12618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by JonHecht:
(It also might help if you stop making tv trope references such as "white knight", but that's a less important point).

What would seriously help (coming from this lurker) would be a reduction in the "bad argument" tropes. It sometimes seems like there is a laminated logical fallacy list being used as a primary reference. Ensuring that every response includes a pigeonholed categorization becomes very ineffective.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Lyrhawn,

The one that Saddam would surely have attempted to at least strengthen if he were unhindered. As for the Kurds, that was the big reason I never had any problem with the no-fly zone either. We made a promise and broke it. Among the reasons was because it would've been wrong, somehow, to militarily intervene.

I also agree it was always going to be messy. I didn't mean to say 'no mess' when I said 'could've been much better'.

------

quote:
Sanctions didn't really do as much to weaken Saddam as to weaken possible resistance to Saddam. Periodically smashing his military over and over again - should it have become a threat - would have been far preferable to what we ended up doing.
And you would've supported, wholeheartedly, this repeated smashing and targeted air strikes? Really?

quote:
I am not sure what you mean by this question. I supported inspections. I also supported paying attention to the inspectors.
Well, few people seemed much concerned with paying attention to the inspectors during the very frequent violations and BS Saddam was pulling during the interval between the two wars. Suddenly, when an invasion was imminent, then people clamored to pay attention to the inspectors. As for what I meant by inspections, I meant the kind of inspections where Iraq had no say whatsoever in how they were done or who was doing them, and would not be permitted any continual hedging and lying about them.

quote:
Beyond the scrutiny that any military requires, I didn't have a problem with maintaining no-fly zones. I hesitate to say "no problems" because you tend to glom onto absolutes.
*rolleyes* Right. Well, when they're used in application to a real-world situation that is far from absolute, yeah, I do. Anyway, it sounded like you would've had a problem with no-fly zones. I'm glad to see at least that much involvement you would've been willing to, not just tolerate, but endorse.
 
Posted by advice for robots (Member # 2544) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by vegimo:
quote:
Originally posted by JonHecht:
(It also might help if you stop making tv trope references such as "white knight", but that's a less important point).

What would seriously help (coming from this lurker) would be a reduction in the "bad argument" tropes. It sometimes seems like there is a laminated logical fallacy list being used as a primary reference. Ensuring that every response includes a pigeonholed categorization becomes very ineffective.
If it can be pigeonholed, it can be dismissed.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
It was a foolish promise to make to the Kurds. Unless we are going to back an independent Kurdistan and royally piss off the Turks, we have no business telling them to rebel or promising anything.

How does noting that repeated smashing of Saddam's military should it become a threat is better than an invasion costing hundreds of thousands of lives equal "wholeheartedly support"? Do you really think that those are the same? But, yes. If Saddam's military (such as it was) were to have become an actual threat, I would have agreed that targeted air strikes were necessary.

Sure. Saddam was a pain in the ass to the inspectors. So what?

"No problem with" is not "endorse". Are you deliberately taking my statements much farther than they should be read?

When you say that the invasion could have been much better, how would you have done it? How many casualties would you have expected if we had done it your way?
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by JonHecht:
I retract what I said earlier about this being a good thread.

Blayne, you seriously need to stop insulting people. Please. If you don't want people to insult you back, you need to stop doing it first. Maybe you're fine being insulted, but I know that you're not fine not being taken seriously. You won't be taken seriously until you act more mature and stop it. You may be making decent points--it doesn't matter. Presentation is just as important as substance. (It also might help if you stop making tv trope references such as "white knight", but that's a less important point).

Rakeesh, you need to act more mature as well. Do you really think the best way to respond to ad hominem attacks is to acknowledge them? If you just ignore them and deal with the substantive claims, then either he'll stop making them or everyone will see that he looks like an arse. Responding to them does nothing good and maybe some harm.

Christ dude, white knighting isn't a tv tropes reference anymore than Mary Sue is. Something can be a trope and not a direct reference to a popculture reference site in the same way mentioning a parallelepiped isn't a direct reference to wikipedia because it happens to have an article on it.

Also I am being abrasive, not the same thing as being insulting.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:

Hee. You'll kindly point to where I said it shouldn't be used, rather than pointing out that the Nuremburg Trials just weren't as sacrosanct as you appear to be suggesting-as well as the UN. Hell, I even said specifically I think we should have gotten consensus. But I don't think they're valid or useful or something. Man! How do I hold all these contradictory positions without my head just exploding, anyway? Maybe it's a diet rich in protein, for strong cranial bones.

Yeah I'm with kmboots here, you keep glomping onto generalized absolutes as if they have any kind of meaning or relevance to the topic at hand. I certainly am not holding it "sacrosanct" I don't even hold the law of the land sacrosanct, but at the end of the day the law is the law and the law is very clear on what constitutes war crimes, we have very clear precedent, and very clear process for it and a court system to handle it. That something has flaws is no reason to out of hand dismiss it.

quote:

Now I'm a jingoist? Good grief, that's such an expansive club now! I didn't realize it included people like me who object fundamentally to quite a lot of 'security' policies and feel we've screwed up badly, past or present, with respect to the rest of the world.

You support the unilateral invasion of Iraq on faulty, slim or otherwise fabricated evidence jingoism somewhat fits, the "no, our country didn't commit war crimes" you've been insisting on is dubious and jingoistic.

That there are some policies you claim to disagree with doesn't change that you support the use of military force regardless of the opposition if you feel the necessity outweighs the international communities protests.

quote:

Heh, this is fun. I'm piling up awfulness as we go, and I had no idea! Now I'm a jingoist as well as not caring about hundreds of thousands of deaths. Good grief, Blayne, you are just being stupid as hell here. How on Earth can you seriously suggest I'm saying 'my country right or wrong' given what I've repeatedly said here in this thread, recently? I know you've seen it.

So you say, but you don't seem to agree that atrocities are inherent to war, even a just one. How many German POW's did we shoot? What about the millions we ended up deporting? The Morgenthau Plan? Firebombings of Japan and Dresden, even that it is a just war doesn't change that atrocities can and very likely will be committed.

quote:

How then would you propose to keep Saddam's military machine weakened so he wasn't actually a threat to his neighbors? Or would we just be bound to periodically smashing his military over and over again, until he (as he obviously would have done) decentralized his armaments?

Deterrence and containment, we strengthened Saudi Arabia and Iran as need be to contain Saddam. We could have let regional organizations handle it while providing support.

quote:

As for inspections, would you have supported inspections that included the inspectors being permitted to go anywhere in the country, interview anyone they wanted, alone, all of that without advanced warning? Because that is not even close to the kinds of inspections that we actually had. Oh, and inspections where Saddam didn't have a say in who did the inspecting.

The proportional response to non compliance has a lot of wiggle room, Clinton was willing to fire a cruise missile up Saddams ass if need be. "Battleready" by former CnC Tony Zioni has info on this.

quote:

As for the no-fly zone, you say you had no serious problem with it. That means you had some problem with it? How much and why? I admit that the idea of someone objecting to the no-fly zones, given the reasons they were enacted, seems even stranger to me than I think my position seems to you.

Almost any option was preferable to invasion.

quote:

And you would've supported, wholeheartedly, this repeated smashing and targeted air strikes? Really?

If he kept being a threat to his neighbours in an obvious way that the UN agreed and had consensus was a threat to the peace sure and it likely would be cheaper in the long run.

quote:

Well, few people seemed much concerned with paying attention to the inspectors during the very frequent violations and BS Saddam was pulling during the interval between the two wars. Suddenly, when an invasion was imminent, then people clamored to pay attention to the inspectors. As for what I meant by inspections, I meant the kind of inspections where Iraq had no say whatsoever in how they were done or who was doing them, and would not be permitted any continual hedging and lying about them.

I do not believe this is even remotely the UN standard for any country.

quote:

*rolleyes* Right. Well, when they're used in application to a real-world situation that is far from absolute, yeah, I do. Anyway, it sounded like you would've had a problem with no-fly zones. I'm glad to see at least that much involvement you would've been willing to, not just tolerate, but endorse.

The problem is that the process leading up to invasion was fraught with deception, propaganda, misdirection, lies, ignoring the Security Council and the UN, ignoring the inspectors and didn't satisfy any of the requirements to satisfy the very high standards we should have before willing to commit to an invasion and reconstruction of a foreign country.

I have little doubt of any reasonable persons willingness to support the war, up to and including invasion, if the requirements and the standards for invasion had been met in an honest and direct fashion without the lies and misconceptions.
 
Posted by Mucus (Member # 9735) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Destineer:
quote:
Heh, I saw your post before the edit and was ready to jump. But even with the edit, allow me to point out that you're saying Iraq cannot be said to have started the war, because even though they were illegally shooting at us daily, they weren't killing enough of us?
Well, they weren't actually killing any of us.
Quick note.

Just remembered something, the no-fly zone wasn't actually authorized by the UN. The no-fly zones were in fact begun by the US, Britain, and France without UN authorization and confrontations in the "no-fly" zones probably wouldn't have violated any UN resolutions. i.e. Iraq wasn't in fact illegally shooting at the planes

quote:
The reason the Bush Administration won't take the latest firefight to the Security Council is that most of the Council doesn't share Washington's interpretation of the resolution as it applies to the "no-fly" zone. UN Secretary General Kofi Annan has made clear that the international body does not view "no-fly" zone confrontations as a violation of the resolution. "Let me say that I don't think the Council will say that this is in contravention of the resolution that was recently passed," Annan told reporters Tuesday during a visit to Kosovo.
quote:
The problem is, the flyers aren't enforcing a Council resolution. The U.S., Britain and France began in 1991 denying Iraq the right to fly in parts of its own airspace as a way of implementing UN resolutions urging protection for the Kurds in northern Iraq and the Shiites in the south from the wrath of Saddam. But the "no-fly" zone was never specifically mandated by the UN Security Council, and was rejected from the outset by Iraq as a violation of its sovereignty. Iraq's objections were backed by Russia and China, and in 1996 France withdrew its participation.
http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,391985,00.html#ixzz1hsZLpb00

Iraq couldn't really be considered to have started the war, at least not by shooting planes flying over Iraq, just like we wouldn't normally consider the US to have "started" a war if it shot down a North Korean plane flying without authorization above the US.
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Blayne Bradley:
Totally give him a free pass regardless of what he says or does so long as it lets you have a free chance at me.

Weren't you just accusing other people of trying to deflect valid criticism? Why do you follow up those sorts of accusations with a classic, 100%, full-on perfect example of deflection?

You are not helping your position. You're just doing more of what people are telling you to stop doing, with good reason.

quote:
Also I am being abrasive, not the same thing as being insulting.
Calling people pedantic, dishonest, absurd, whiners, an 'intellectual and moral coward,' accusing a standpoint of being inhuman morally and ethically bankrupt, a 'willful exercise in blatant ignorance and denial,' saying stuff like this:

quote:
If you want to keep fingers in your ear and keep screaming "NYAH NO NO I CANT HEAR YOU" go right ahead but ultimately it is your outrageous and catastrophic opinions you are trying to defend here, and if you don't bother defend them what sort of message are you trying to get across?
.. and your response to this perfectly valid criticism is to say that you're not being insulting, you're just being abrasive? Do you know why that's not even remotely a defense of your behavior?

Is it any defense of your interpretation of my behavior if I say the same thing?

No.

Also, let's go back and reiterate:

quote:
You also *choose* to misread or not read at all my posts
Remember what I said originally? Stop making pseudoproofs 'showing' or 'proving' things about substance or lack of substance on the part of others. You're rarely ever right about them.

You're not right here. Not about his motive, his intent, his reasoning, or the substance of his position. You're just dragging this thread down into your typical poor behavior and unjustified, overly-righteous tone.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
quote:
It was a foolish promise to make to the Kurds. Unless we are going to back an independent Kurdistan and royally piss off the Turks, we have no business telling them to rebel or promising anything.
I agree actually, at least insofar as we were never going to keep that promise-in spite of the Kurds being, what is is, second or even first oppressed, dispossessed, often brutalized minority in the Middle East, ahead even of Palestinians?

But once the promise was made, we had an obligation to at least make some effort to keeping it. But anyway, that seems to be a change of the subject a bit. I was asking the question related to support for the no-fly zones.

quote:
\How does noting that repeated smashing of Saddam's military should it become a threat is better than an invasion costing hundreds of thousands of lives equal "wholeheartedly support"? Do you really think that those are the same? But, yes. If Saddam's military (such as it was) were to have become an actual threat, I would have agreed that targeted air strikes were necessary.
Because it's great to be anti-war, but the time for that is well before, for example, Saddam is in the process of attempting to wipe out the Kurds. Once things like that start happening, morally speaking, the anti-war position becomes much less moral in my opinion. That's why I'm asking what you would have supported, when. One of the reasons, anyway.

quote:
Sure. Saddam was a pain in the ass to the inspectors. So what?

"No problem with" is not "endorse". Are you deliberately taking my statements much farther than they should be read?

So what? Really? You remember what those inspections were for, yes? Why they were implemented? He was not allowed to do that, and yet he did, for years, with hardly a comment from much of the world.

As for endorse, I wasn't saying you said you'd endorse-I was asking if you would. Again, an effort to discover what you would have supported actually doing-'don't invade!' is not a plan of action-and to what extent.

quote:

When you say that the invasion could have been much better, how would you have done it? How many casualties would you have expected if we had done it your way?

Put broadly, I would have done it with a primary goal that we were actually committed to of serious nation building. That is, in fact, what I felt would be at least attempted prior to the invasion, hoping and believing that the less-than-necessary talk about it beforehand by politicians and the press was to appeal to both the anti-war movement and the 'eff the Middle East' right. As for how many casualties, I really don't know. I'm not in a position to make a real estimate of that, I think you know. I would be very surprised if it were the same or more deaths than has occurred, though, which seems to be a key of your position here.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Samprimary:
Blah blah words blah blah words blah blah blah

You are still not contributing to this thread, if you have a problem take it up with a moderator.

Otherwise, make me.
 
Posted by Dan_Frank (Member # 8488) on :
 
Very mature, Blayne.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:

Because it's great to be anti-war, but the time for that is well before, for example, Saddam is in the process of attempting to wipe out the Kurds. Once things like that start happening, morally speaking, the anti-war position becomes much less moral in my opinion. That's why I'm asking what you would have supported, when. One of the reasons, anyway.

This is again a strawman, who opposed utilizing military force to stop Saddam from gassing the Kurds? Why are the movements for one war the same for the other? Are there reasons automatically the same or hold the same weight?

Also I do not believe it fair, since there was a catch-22 placed on them, supposing there was an anti war movement that is what you suggest, they must have very likely opposed making promises you can't keep, that the US went and did so anyways and unsurprisingly was unable to hold onto it doesn't invalidate their opposite or i think honestly for that matter invalidates their continued opposition, they are just sticking to their original principles as opposition.

On the other hand, we don't really know what the supposed anti war movement actually opposed or supported in regards to the Kurds or what sort of options they may have supported on humanitarian grounds.

But I do not believe that is it fair to say they become less moral because of circumstances beyond their political control.

quote:

So what? Really? You remember what those inspections were for, yes? Why they were implemented? He was not allowed to do that, and yet he did, for years, with hardly a comment from much of the world.

As for endorse, I wasn't saying you said you'd endorse-I was asking if you would. Again, an effort to discover what you would have supported actually doing-'don't invade!' is not a plan of action-and to what extent.

Saying not invading is a constraint, it should have been up to a competent and intelligent administration to come up with a policy to maintain peace in the middle east without resorting to invasion. Cruise missile and air strikes are one of many options the United States had to enforce the right of way for inspectors to make sure Iraq's WMD program was inoperable.

Like what happened during the Clinton years, Saddam said no, you threatened with with cruise missiles and he blinked first.

You trying to switch the burden of proof onto us, we do not need to be the ones to come up with a viable strategy, it is not our jobs or our profession, we only need to show that the invasion was unnecessary, immoral, and illegal. Which we have amply done so, "can you do any better arguments" are a waste of time.

quote:

Put broadly, I would have done it with a primary goal that we were actually committed to of serious nation building. That is, in fact, what I felt would be at least attempted prior to the invasion, hoping and believing that the less-than-necessary talk about it beforehand by politicians and the press was to appeal to both the anti-war movement and the 'eff the Middle East' right. As for how many casualties, I really don't know. I'm not in a position to make a real estimate of that, I think you know. I would be very surprised if it were the same or more deaths than has occurred, though, which seems to be a key of your position here.

Again a huge problem with this that it is contingent on the invasion being legal and moral and otherwise not a warcrime. Any invasion that couldn't pass muster, that cannot convincingly persuade the world of the inherent threat of Iraq was never going to succeed in nation building because the interests in going in where not for the best interests of the Iraqi people. An administration that would have based its policy on facts and what was legal to international law and custom would not have went in.
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Blayne Bradley:
quote:
Originally posted by Samprimary:
Blah blah words blah blah words blah blah blah

You are still not contributing to this thread, if you have a problem take it up with a moderator.

Otherwise, make me.

You're not so impervious to behaving maturely that you demand to be forced into it, are you? You just want to broadcast that you eminently refuse to act like an adult unless forced?

Because, if so, you're not offering a counterargument excusing your behavior. Just a deflection and a concession of your immaturity. Thanks for that surrender, by the way, but it doesn't help anything.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
So we're back to this? The idea that the world wasn't convinced Saddam was a threat? Heh.

'The world' couldn't be concvinced (with good reason, as it turns out) that Saddam was an imminent threat of possessing WMD, it's true. In no small part at all to Saddam himself. But by no means did the world think there wasn't an inherent threat in Iraq under Saddam. In fact, the world largely agreed he was a threat that was going to demand dealing with sooner rather than later. But hey, if all we had to do was convince the UNSC that it was necessary for it then to be moral. Well!

Doing almost nothing in Rwanda was moral then, wasn't it? I mean just for the most famous example. Hee. But no, seriously, let's go on about the white knights in the UNSC, shall we Blayne? God, your view of international relations is just so weird when you get all hysterical and angry like this.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Samprimary:
quote:
Originally posted by Blayne Bradley:
quote:
Originally posted by Samprimary:
Blah blah words blah blah words blah blah blah

You are still not contributing to this thread, if you have a problem take it up with a moderator.

Otherwise, make me.

You're not so impervious to behaving maturely that you demand to be forced into it, are you? You just want to broadcast that you eminently refuse to act like an adult unless forced?

Because, if so, you're not offering a counterargument excusing your behavior. Just a deflection and a concession of your immaturity. Thanks for that surrender, by the way, but it doesn't help anything.

Do you ever get tired of talking? You're the one who said "shut up" it's not even your thread nor have you participated in it, drive by posting a newspaper article or similar and otherwise not sticking around is not contributing.

If you have a problem discuss it with a moderator.
quote:

So we're back to this? The idea that the world wasn't convinced Saddam was a threat? Heh.

We never left.

quote:

'The world' couldn't be convinced (with good reason, as it turns out)

Shouldn't this mean that the decision to go in was immoral?

quote:

. But by no means did the world think there wasn't an inherent threat in Iraq under Saddam. In fact, the world largely agreed he was a threat that was going to demand dealing with sooner rather than later.

You are going to have to substantiate this, why Saddam? Why not Mugabe? Or Kim Jongil? Or any of the other dozen tinpot banana republic dictators wandering around?

In fact looking at it from an organizational and legal point of view I cannot possibly think that it is even remotely possible for the "world" or even the Security Council to have thought so. One of the founding principles of the United Nations is respect for sovereignty and one of the principles nations agree to when they ratify the United Nations charter is the non-interference of the UN in domestic sovereignty.

There is very little evidence to suspect that Iraq was to be "dealt with" in some permament fashion, at best plans for continued containment and deterrence.

quote:

But hey, if all we had to do was convince the UNSC that it was necessary for it then to be moral. Well!

It's more than a matter of being moral, but also a question of being a part of the mandate of the UNSC which typically only deals with security and procedural concerns. They would need to be convinced that is was necessary to act to maintain the peace and stability.

quote:

Doing almost nothing in Rwanda was moral then, wasn't it? I mean just for the most famous example. Hee. But no, seriously, let's go on about the white knights in the UNSC, shall we Blayne? God, your view of international relations is just so weird when you get all hysterical and angry like this.

So defending an organization from unjustified baseless and unsubstantiated cherry picking is white knighting is it? Please look it up once again, you seem to have mistaken the definition.

But again I'll throw my counter analogy back at you, clearly because the justice system has made mistakes in the past, no further criminals should be charged through it and instead we should allow for vigilantism, honor killings and an eye for an eye to return as common practice because FLAWS.

You are repeating the same argument over and over, that there was one failed effort arguably by the United Nations isn't proof of a systemic inability of the United Nations to do its job.

You seem to be insistent on refusing to substantially discuss the issues, please substantiate or concede.
 
Posted by Lyrhawn (Member # 7039) on :
 
Rakeesh -

quote:
Put broadly, I would have done it with a primary goal that we were actually committed to of serious nation building. That is, in fact, what I felt would be at least attempted prior to the invasion
Honest question: What gave you that impression?

Remember Bush during the campaigns said flat out that he didn't think America should be involved with nation building, and Rumsfeld said in the run-up to the war that the war could pay for itself and that we'd be in in a matter of weeks, months at most. Nation building implies a couple of things: That the nation is broke and needs building, and that it's a long drawn out process. The Bush team was never planning on that sort of drawn out process, they just wanted to lop the head off the snake, install a pro-American political figure, and get a functioning democracy to support that figure from the thankful crowds waving American flags. Nothing about the pre-war expectations that came from the White House suggested to me that they were in for the long haul. That's not at all how it was sold.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Well initially I just took it as a given, really, going hand in hand not just with actual sane regime change, but dovetailing with the idea that we would actually do things long-term in nations where terrorists would be fostered. Thematically it seemed to fit. I frankly just believed they were campaigning when they said that it would only be a few weeks. When they kept talking like that as the months began to stack up, and almost at once after the invasion when it became clear they really didn't have much in the way of planning ready for things that were realistically predictable, then I was deeply surprised and worried that maybe that nonsense wasn't just pandering to the economy-focused American politicial scene.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
What made you think that Iraqis wanted us to rebuild their nation in our image? Or that we had a right to do it?
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
*snort* They sure as hell didn't want what they had, and Saddam gave us the right (in my opinion) to wreak some serious changes there. A right that we squandered terribly, of course.

What makes you think Iraqis didn't want a regime change? And, by the way, we weren't planning to remake it in our image-that was never going to happen even if the negligent fantasies of the Bush Administration panned out as 'planned'. Even a government loosely modeled after ours would only be in 'our image' until Iraqis themselves started actually using it, given the radical social, religious, and politicial differences between us.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
Who didn't want what they had? How did you know that? We have seen what Arab countries can do when they don't like their leadership. Were Iraqis trying to overthrow Saddam themselves? And even if they didn't want what they had, who says they wanted what we had? And at such a huge cost to them? How did one person give us the right to "wreak" anything on a whole country?
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Wait a second. I didn't expect to hear this argument in this thread: that the Iraqis were content with what they had. Are you nuts, kmbboots? The only sentences in that post that weren't reprehensible or absurd were the last two.

Do you really think that because the Arab Spring happened just this past year, that the people throughout the reason were content with their leadership? If you've actually thought that through, it is an awful belief. People who are content with their governments don't have those same governments brutally oppressing and killing them and prohibiting free speech-and those governments aren't doing all those things before they have started to do anything unusual. Do you see what I mean? Throughout the region, not excepting Iraq, governments would prohibit free speech, prohibit free elections, prohibit assembly, and suppress with violence and torture and murder anyone who disputed that, and it was so commonplace that the world largely didn't think anything of it-not excluding the UN and yes, the anti-war movement-until they really ratcheted up the brutality.

So that's how I know they didn't like their leadership, kmbboots. Because their leadership would kill them if they complained too often, not uncommonly after raping their wives and killing their sons. Were the Iraqis trying to overthrow Saddam themselves? Is that a serious question? Y'know, as outraged and baffled as you and some others are at me for the stance I'm taking here, I feel at least as strongly about the questions you've just asked.

You can justly and ethically claim that they might not have, or definitely didn't, want Saddam gone at such a cost. Goodness knows there is plenty of case to be made for that! But to suggest they didn't really want Saddam gone, or to ask, "How did we know?" is just awful. Guess we couldn't really say, for example, that Russians were unhappy with Soviet leadership. All those people in Rwanda, well how do we know they were unhappy with their government? Man, those ladies getting stoned to death in Iran, well they don't actually want a different government do they? Shame on you for asking such 'questions'.

Also strange is the idea that the Arab Spring can be completely disconnected from the ouster of Saddam Hussein. Please note that I'm not saying it can be laid at our feet-that's silly. But the notion that neighboring Arabs just didn't notice, "Hey, they're actually approaching real elections going on over there, and the strongman dictator is dead and gone," is also baffling.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
Actually I know a few people who've been to Iraq during Saddam's regime, it wasn't anywhere near as bad as people believe, it wasn't totalitarian. Also there is very little to suggest that Arab Spring is connected to Iraq as I don't think the people in those countries are particularly appreciative of US invading Iraq in the first place.

quote:

*snort* They sure as hell didn't want what they had, and Saddam gave us the right (in my opinion) to wreak some serious changes there.

They did no such thing, we've been over this.

quote:

Do you really think that because the Arab Spring happened just this past year, that the people throughout the reason were content with their leadership? If you've actually thought that through, it is an awful belief. People who are content with their governments don't have those same governments brutally oppressing and killing them and prohibiting free speech-and those governments aren't doing all those things before they have started to do anything unusual. Do you see what I mean? Throughout the region, not excepting Iraq, governments would prohibit free speech, prohibit free elections, prohibit assembly, and suppress with violence and torture and murder anyone who disputed that, and it was so commonplace that the world largely didn't think anything of it-not excluding the UN and yes, the anti-war movement-until they really ratcheted up the brutality.

Being a dictatorship or an unpleasant place to live isn't a valid reason for regime change, sovereignty is the highest law of the world.

quote:

So that's how I know they didn't like their leadership, kmbboots. Because their leadership would kill them if they complained too often, not uncommonly after raping their wives and killing their sons. Were the Iraqis trying to overthrow Saddam themselves? Is that a serious question? Y'know, as outraged and baffled as you and some others are at me for the stance I'm taking here, I feel at least as strongly about the questions you've just asked.

Strange how this didn't stop things in Egypt, Libya or Tunisia.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
Some - perhaps even most - Iraqis may have been unhappy with Saddam. Some, certainly the Ba'athists were not so unhappy. The Suuni minority had it not so bad. The oppressed Shi'a majority was pretty unhappy, but they tend to want to live in a theocracy. How are women going to fare under them? They had it better, as a group under Saddam then they would in the kind of Iraq most Shi'a want. And Christians? There may not be a Christian population in Iraq soon because of the persecutions we let loose in Iraq.

It is so much more complicated than this one man was oppressing a whole country who would all be better off is we just got rid of him. If that had been the case, we could have vanished as soon as Saddam was captured and we would have been greeted as liberators as Rumsfeld promised. As that didn't happen, I do think that asking how we know what "Iraqis wanted" is perfectly legitimate and hardly rates a "snort".
 
Posted by Mucus (Member # 9735) on :
 
Rakeesh: Usually, in the coverage of protesters from Egypt, the protesters if they have anything to say about the US, wouldn't be "thank goodness, the Americans brought democracy to Iraq, we should try that," but rather "shame on the US for propping up Hosni Mubarak to help Israel."

The Arab Spring may very well have happened earlier if the US was less enthusiastic about demonstrating how democracies can still back dictators, torture, hire mercenaries, etc.

I also think you dismiss too quickly the valid question as to how representative dissidents are. That question is not invalidated by the fact that there are some dissidents that are treated very poorly. It may be the case that the majority did back Saddam, it may be the case that the majority did not. But that's a rather statistics-based question that isn't dealt with too well by looking at a few chosen individuals. I don't think the majority of Americans would be particularly happy if a foreign power blew up Obama based on the testimony of Americans that he has had tortured and ordered the targeted killings of for example. I'm not saying that the proportions of happy/unhappy are similar, just pointing out that the methodology here is pretty flawed as a way of judging the sentiment of an entire population.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
So, wait, let me see if I'm understanding this-evidence that Saddam's regime wasn't so bad is that not enough people spoke up? Oh, God.

And Blayne, your thoughts on oppressive, authoritarian or even totalitarian regimes are well known around these parts. You've got a pretty bankrupt position on this, and the fact that you feel so sure about it makes you, on these topics anyway, that much more laughable.
 
Posted by Mucus (Member # 9735) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
So, wait, let me see if I'm understanding this-evidence that Saddam's regime wasn't so bad is that not enough people spoke up?

Usually evidence works the other way.
The default position is, "we don't know" and we need evidence before we can say that something is regarded poorly or not poorly. Polling dissidents is better than nothing, but as a way to get an idea about how a population in general feels is very flawed.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
I agree with your default position. After considering that position, you have to ask, "How can I find out?" and if you *can't* because dissent is illegal from the start, and those who do dissent are often jailed, tortured, disappeared, or murdered...the question answers itself. Ugh.
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
quote:
After considering that position, you have to ask, "How can I find out?" and if you *can't* because dissent is illegal from the start, and those who do dissent are often jailed, tortured, disappeared, or murdered...the question answers itself.
Not so. There are a lot of countries meeting your description where the human rights situation isn't anywhere near bad enough to justify military intervention. China and Russia (supposing for argument's sake that their militaries weren't strong enough to resist a US invasion), Saudi Arabia and Vietnam are all examples.
 
Posted by Mucus (Member # 9735) on :
 
Rakeesh: Well, it doesn't necessarily have to be "ugh." Sometimes recognising the limits of knowledge and more importantly, what knowledge may be unreliable can be pretty useful.

For example, if some more thought was put into why Curveball might have motives for lying for example
quote:
As Curveball watched Powell make the US case to invade Iraq, he was hiding an admission that he has not made until now: that nearly every word he had told his interrogators from Germany's secret service, the BND, was a lie.

Everything he had said about the inner workings of Saddam Hussein's biological weapons programme was a flight of fantasy - one that, he now claims was aimed at ousting the Iraqi dictator. Janabi, a chemical engineering graduate who had worked in the Iraqi industry, says he looked on in shock as Powell's presentation revealed that the Bush administration's hawkish decisionmakers had swallowed the lot.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/feb/15/curveball-iraqi-fantasist-cia-saddam
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
So, wait, let me see if I'm understanding this-evidence that Saddam's regime wasn't so bad is that not enough people spoke up? Oh, God.

I'm pretty sure that no one is saying that.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Mucus:
Rakeesh: Usually, in the coverage of protesters from Egypt, the protesters if they have anything to say about the US, wouldn't be "thank goodness, the Americans brought democracy to Iraq, we should try that," but rather "shame on the US for propping up Hosni Mubarak to help Israel."

The Arab Spring may very well have happened earlier if the US was less enthusiastic about demonstrating how democracies can still back dictators, torture, hire mercenaries, etc.

You mean like we backed Saddam in the first place? And the Shah of Iran - we are still fighting backlash from that.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
And Blayne, your thoughts on oppressive, authoritarian or even totalitarian regimes are well known around these parts. You've got a pretty bankrupt position on this, and the fact that you feel so sure about it makes you, on these topics anyway, that much more laughable.

Hey look, another fallacy, three; ad hominem, Tu quoque and strawman since you are not substantiating what my "position" is "around these parts" it's an appeal to a generalization in which it ignores relevance to the topic at hand.

Because suppose worst case I have some reputation that says I support dictatorships, how does that weigh in at all on the current argument? How does it change the validity of my argument?

So you could continue your onerous deflection tactics or you could answer the question, or concede.
 
Posted by BlackBlade (Member # 8376) on :
 
Blayne:
quote:
Because suppose worst case I have some reputation that says I support dictatorships, how does that weigh in at all on the current argument? How does it change the validity of my argument?
If I support ice cream consumption is it reasonable to assume that if two posters here got into an argument about whether ice cream should be offered in school cafeterias as a "dairy product" as part of a government regulation on what students eat, that I would probably have a bias in the affirmative?
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
It's funny how people are saying to me, "We didn't say that!" and then pointing out how silly it is to link the Arab Spring and the Iraq War, given what I *actually said* about any connection between the two.
-----

Destineer,

I agree. Are people just not hearing me when I say, repeatedly, that the human rights situation alone isn't enough?

Russia and China are off the table from the get go in any event, human rights situation or not, because of the deterrence they have, though it never ceases to be funny to me when people bring them, and NK, up when they start talking about, "But what about all these others..."

------

Kmbboots, that may not be what you wish to say, but it is most definitely what you're saying. You even asked how we would know they didn't want Saddam? You even said, and here's a delightful example of anti-war sentiment taken to an awful extreme, "...the Shia majority were 'pretty unhappy'."

This is just nuts, and it's despicable reasoning. If someone said to you, "Stage a protest and you'll be disappeared, where rape, torture, and murder is not unlikely," would you expect people to wait to hear from you specifically, "Here's a lengthy speech about why I dislike the Saddam government..." or would you expect people to think, "Hmm. Maybe she's unhappy because when she tries to say she's unhappy, she vanishes."

It's fascinating how the anti-war movement, or at least many members, cannot content themselves with saying, "The war is wrong. It's awful, criminal in fact. We shouldn't have done it." That's a principled, reasoned stance and I can and do totally respect it. But like any other polarizing issue, talk about it long enough, and the opposition to one side leads to greater permissiveness to the other side.

Yeah, maybe life under Saddam wasn't as bad as all that, kmbboots. However can we know, anyway? You know, they might not even be very unhappy with it. And yet, from your side of things will often come the sly or overt insinuations of racism via war on brown people-those very same people you're suggesting might actually regard a brutal dictatorship as acceptable, rather than something to be tolerated over a painful, violent death. But, hey, can't get a Gallup poll so we don't *know*.

Another fascinating thing: "We really, really need to listen to the UN!" I wonder, oh I wonder, what they had to say about Iraq's human rights situation prior to the invasion. That's what I'm talking about when I point out the flaws of the UN. Not to say we should never listen, or abandon it, but to point out, hey, y'all aint such hot stuff on listening to it either.

Here's how you know, it's very easy. You know when the people with the guns and money make sure you can't say you *are* unhappy if you are unhappy. You know then because if there weren't a whole lot of people really unhappy, they wouldn't have to make the possible penalty so awful! If it wasn't a huge thing, the penalty for dissent would've been hard labor or major fines or surrendering property or something.

That, Mucus, is why it has to be 'ugh'. You can safely say the knowledge is one thing when one party has and acts on a vested interest in making sure you don't hear about it.

---
Hey Blayne, could you keep doing that 'substantiate or concede' thing in bold, please? I'm running a little wager as to how many times you'll say it, and that makes it easier to spot.
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Blayne Bradley:
Do you ever get tired of talking? You're the one who said "shut up" it's not even your thread nor have you participated in it, drive by posting a newspaper article or similar and otherwise not sticking around is not contributing.

If you have a problem discuss it with a moderator.

The reason why you end up just having to get told to shut up is because you act like this and make claims like this which have absolutely nothing to do with other people's actual "contribution" or lack of thereof.

The claim that I have not participated in this thread is you being completely bankrupt. This post ups the ante on your last one, and is the largest and most flagrant deflection by you yet.

So, again. Thanks for effectively giving up the ghost on this one, and leaving only your frustration and your half-hearted, hypocritical insults in its place, like "do you ever get tired of talking?" If you'd like to round up a moderator to 'arbitrate' this, since you seem intent on hiding behind that excuse, go right ahead.
 
Posted by Mucus (Member # 9735) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
If it wasn't a huge thing, the penalty for dissent would've been hard labor or major fines or surrendering property or something.

I'm glad we've moved on from polling dissidents.

But again, this is poor logic. Measuring the prevalence of a behaviour by how badly it is punished is very prone to error. For example, Canada doesn't have the death penalty for murder but Japan does. Does that mean that Japan has a higher homicide rate? Well, no. It's actually half the Canadian rate.

quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
... "We really, really need to listen to the UN!" I wonder, oh I wonder, what they had to say about Iraq's human rights situation prior to the invasion.

Well, what did they say?

If its helpful, why not just quote it rather than hinge your arguments on these strange pieces of reasoning? As I said a couple of posts back, I don't necessarily disagree with the idea that the majority of Iraqis were unhappy. I do have a problem with the arguments that you've presented.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
Rakeesh, not everyone in Iraq was of one mind about Saddam Hussein or necessarily better off with the government they have now. Even Saddam couldn't torture everyone all by himself. You can't paint them all with the same brush. If you could, the country wouldn't have been (and remain) in such turmoil once he was gone. Nor does being miserable under Saddam - and nowhere have I suggest that many if not most were miserable - mean that they want a western style democracy or that we haven't just traded who was being oppressed. If that is what they wanted, why did they keep shooting at us? If everyone was so delighted to be freed from an evil dictator (and he was evil) why did they keep fighting us?

And we chose for them. If they did regard a brutal dictatorship as something to be tolerated over a painful, violent death, well we gave hundreds of thousands of them a violent painful death.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
You're changing the subject (and have, consistently) to 'has the invasion turned out well'. Which is weird because I have said before this thread that it hasn't, to put it lightly. Just now you said-I can keep quoting you, if you like-that it was 'pretty bad' for the majority, but we don't really know for sure that it was all *that* bad, because they would've rebelled.

As though there wasnt a government way of dealing with that. As though your reasoning on this doesn't lead directly to qualifying all sorts of awful regimes as 'pretty nad'. Because they haven't had a successful revolt. It's not that bad until they overthrow it. But please, let's talk some more about concern for Iraqis, shall we?

----

Mucus, the comparison doesn't follow. What sorts of things does Japan have a death penalty for (I didn't know they did). Is speech one of them?

http://www.un.org/terrorism/pdfs/2/G0215272.pdf page 80. I'll be deeply surprised if anything there is much in the way of news. Took about fifteen seconds to find, and nothing surprised me, and I'm extremely skeptical if it surprises you or kmbboots or even Blayne, whose tolerance of murderous tyrannies is shall we say high when they have the right enemies.
 
Posted by Mucus (Member # 9735) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
Mucus, the comparison doesn't follow.

I think you're going to have to explain why. It seems to me you're asserting that you can measure the rate of dissent in Iraq by how harshly it was punished. It stands to reason that if that were true, one should be able to measure other things the same way.

quote:
What sorts of things does Japan have a death penalty for
As I said above, a homicide rate refers to murder.

quote:
http://www.un.org/terrorism/pdfs/2/G0215272.pdf page 80.
That doesn't seem to say anything about what we're discussing though, which is how much of the Iraqis population was unhappy or how much of the Iraqis population was willing to undergo invasion in order to stop it.

quote:
I'm extremely skeptical if it surprises you or kmbboots ... whose tolerance of murderous tyrannies is shall we say high
That seems pretty rude.

We're currently discussing the failure of the war in Iraq, a war which was instigated in large part by poor intelligence gathering and a total failure to properly judge the Iraq population ("we'll be greeted as liberators" and all that). In that context it seems critical to properly assess the quality of intelligence and the mood of the Iraqi population rather than hand-wave it like you seem to be doing.

Perhaps for old times sake, you're enjoying a "if you're not with us, you're against us" Bush-style dig, implying that people that disagree with you must be friendly to the enemy. But I would remind you, that's a big part of what got you/America in this mess in the first place.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
No, I'm not discussing the failure of the war in Iraq. I'm not sure how that could be made more clear, given how many times I've acknowledged it. Around here, for years, and in this thread.

As for the comparison, it doesn't stand to reason if dissent against the government and homicide are radically different issues. You *asked* for an example of how awful the human rights situation was in Iraq, and I gave you one, from a source we're supposed to listen to. Strangely the subject has changed.
 
Posted by Dan_Frank (Member # 8488) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Mucus:
quote:
I'm extremely skeptical if it surprises you or kmbboots ... whose tolerance of murderous tyrannies is shall we say high
That seems pretty rude.

We're currently discussing the failure of the war in Iraq, a war which was instigated in large part by poor intelligence gathering and a total failure to properly judge the Iraq population ("we'll be greeted as liberators" and all that). In that context it seems critical to properly assess the quality of intelligence and the mood of the Iraqi population rather than hand-wave it like you seem to be doing.

Perhaps for old times sake, you're enjoying a "if you're not with us, you're against us" Bush-style dig, implying that people that disagree with you must be friendly to the enemy. But I would remind you, that's a big part of what got you/America in this mess in the first place.

That is a priceless hack job you did on that quote. Almost as good as a movie trailer quoting a negative review and changing "Hillariously bad and an action-packed, overproduced mess" into "Hilariously... action-packed!"

The part you excised was where he brought up Blayne, and the part about tolerance for murderous tyrannies was obviously directed solely at Blayne and a reference to his slavish devotion to China.

I really hope you're just really, really oblivious, and that you didn't intentionally warp what he said to make him seem more insulting.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
I've largely accepted that Blayne's style of conversation here is generally OK because, as someone said, "He's rude, but he's right."
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
We better make note of that in the TOS then; I'm indemnified and justified forever no matter how I act! Thanks, whoever said that!
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
I think you have to be discussing certain topics, where disagreement in and of itself puts you past 'man, that's some out-there politics' and into beyond the pale territory.
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
As fun as it is to joke about, this is territory that demolishes threads. Whoever said that was pretty much totally wrong!
 
Posted by Lyrhawn (Member # 7039) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
Well initially I just took it as a given, really, going hand in hand not just with actual sane regime change, but dovetailing with the idea that we would actually do things long-term in nations where terrorists would be fostered. Thematically it seemed to fit. I frankly just believed they were campaigning when they said that it would only be a few weeks. When they kept talking like that as the months began to stack up, and almost at once after the invasion when it became clear they really didn't have much in the way of planning ready for things that were realistically predictable, then I was deeply surprised and worried that maybe that nonsense wasn't just pandering to the economy-focused American politicial scene.

Huh, an interesting but not totally unrealistic expectation on your part. I assumed the exact opposite from the beginning. I think one of two things: 1. They had no idea what they were doing from the start, and honestly thought things were going to be a lot easier, and when they didn't turn out that way, they had no backup plan. 2. They knew exactly what they were doing, knew it wasn't going to be as easy as they proposed, and expected it to fall apart in an attempt to sucker the country into a longer protracted war.

I lean towards one, because much as I dislike the Bush Administration, I still find it hard to assign that much incompetence and that much...I don't know what the word is, inhumanity, to them, to believe that they would want to cause that much destruction or be okay with it, just for political purposes. Maybe it's naive on my part, but I'd need a lot more evidence to do it.

On the other hand, there's evidence from the 90s of people like Cheney saying that any attack on Iraq would force us into a decade-long quagmire, so why they felt they'd be able to slip in, install a puppet and get out is beyond me, but that's clearly what they were going with, and they clearly didn't do their homework on it.

So I don't really know what to think. I don't blame you for assuming a sort of underhanded political maneuver to basically sucker the public into a war that they had planned out ahead of time. Who wants to assume that they were really that incompetent? But after Vietnam, giving the government the benefit of the doubt is a bigger leap of faith in my estimation. Especially given all the doubletalk they were doing before the actual invasion commenced.

Perhaps our different opinions come from some underlying difference in trust levels of the Bush Administration. I was okay with the pressure Bush was putting on Saddam to force inspectors into the country, and the threat of force was successful in giving inspectors much broader access to sites than they'd had before. I think more work and more pressure would have yielded better results, and a smarter invasion might have as well. But there was no way we were ever going to do this right. Even today we're forcing the Kurds to be part of Iraq when they basically have an autonomous state in everything but name. And we'll do nothing to back them up when they start fighting with the Iraqi government over oil profits as western companies begin to drill for oil in massive, massive finds in Kurdish territory in the north. Even now our legacy in that region inspires little to be proud of. If we're really installing democracy in the region, I think we should have let go of our inner imperialist cartographer and let them have the power of self-determination for the first time in centuries.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Dan_Frank:
quote:
Originally posted by Mucus:
quote:
I'm extremely skeptical if it surprises you or kmbboots ... whose tolerance of murderous tyrannies is shall we say high
That seems pretty rude.

We're currently discussing the failure of the war in Iraq, a war which was instigated in large part by poor intelligence gathering and a total failure to properly judge the Iraq population ("we'll be greeted as liberators" and all that). In that context it seems critical to properly assess the quality of intelligence and the mood of the Iraqi population rather than hand-wave it like you seem to be doing.

Perhaps for old times sake, you're enjoying a "if you're not with us, you're against us" Bush-style dig, implying that people that disagree with you must be friendly to the enemy. But I would remind you, that's a big part of what got you/America in this mess in the first place.

That is a priceless hack job you did on that quote. Almost as good as a movie trailer quoting a negative review and changing "Hillariously bad and an action-packed, overproduced mess" into "Hilariously... action-packed!"

The part you excised was where he brought up Blayne, and the part about tolerance for murderous tyrannies was obviously directed solely at Blayne and a reference to his slavish devotion to China.

I really hope you're just really, really oblivious, and that you didn't intentionally warp what he said to make him seem more insulting.

Why do you feel it is should be accepted or relevant to the conversation at large? It is an ad hominem/poisoning the well that side steps and deflects the burden of actually have to discuss the topic at hand.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Samprimary:
As fun as it is to joke about, this is territory that demolishes threads. Whoever said that was pretty much totally wrong!

And not at all a distortion of what I actually wrote. [Roll Eyes]
 
Posted by Parkour (Member # 12078) on :
 
Well, what you wrote didn't really answer my question at all, either.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
You were quoted, kmbboots, and you can hardly complain it was out of context because there was almost no context save you making a false equivalence.

------

As for you, Blayne, you're hardly one to complain of derailing the conversation, given the dishonest and hysterical way you've been trying to talk with (at) me about this from the start. But hey, get all victim s'more, would? [Smile]
 
Posted by Mucus (Member # 9735) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Dan_Frank:
The part you excised was where he brought up Blayne, and the part about tolerance for murderous tyrannies was obviously directed solely at Blayne and a reference to his slavish devotion to China.

Well, I'm not disputing it in the case of Blayne because it's actually true in his case. But I read it in the sense that he was painting kmbboots and myself with the same brush.
 
Posted by Mucus (Member # 9735) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
You *asked* for an example of how awful the human rights situation was in Iraq ...

Well, no. I didn't.

From my POV, first I disputed that dissidents are a good way of measuring the mood of a population. Second, I disputed that measuring the punishments given to dissent are a good way of measuring how often a dissent occurs. You brought up the UN and implied that I wasn't listening to the UN, so I asked you "Well, what did they say?" which probably wasn't clear enough in retrospect.
 
Posted by Hobbes (Member # 433) on :
 
I'm a little fuzzy on what's being argued about here. I was interested in this thread personally: I was one who supported the Iraq war during the lead-up. Looking back I'd like to pretend that I was on the cutting edge of hipster technology and was just for the war ironically but sadly that was not the case. Yet, I feel there's a good chance I'd be singing a different tune if the post-war activities has been up to snuff.

I was gone on my mission from 2005 to 2007 so I missed a lot of the events that really defined the post-invasion Iraq, I'm a little hazy on some of the details. My impression was always that the whole "Mission Accomplished" debacle was an accurate representation of the Bush adminstration plan. Basically that they really had accomplished all their goals and plans and done so quickly and efficiently. Just that their goals and plans ended with invasion. I think the best reporting I saw on it was the ~2009 (maybe end of 2008?) Frontline which certainly did give that impression. A major let-down for me. Not that it wasn't criminal in its own way but lying about things like evidence of WMD had a lot less imapct on my support of the war than the discovery that there was no realistic plan to deal with Iraq after it was invaded.

Anyway, I'd like to comment further here, but I really can't quite follow what the discussion is about at this point...

Hobbes [Smile]
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
So...you weren't asking me about what the UN had to say with respect to the human rights situation in Iraq, just after I was talking about how awful the UN said that situation in Iraq was?

As for the tolerance quote, I was speaking to Blayne about having a high tolerance for that, not you or kmbboots. I thought that was clear, but I can see how you might not have.

And as for comparisons between punishments, the only way that is a valid comparison is if criminalizing dissent can be considered similar to criminalizing homicide, and the punishment isn't the only way of measuring government response but more importantly rate of enforcement. For example, I'll bet that in both Canada and Japan pretty much every single time a dead body turns up, officials working for the government look into it pretty hard.

Something pretty similar could have been said of dissent in Iraq. It's a given. It's laughable that it's even up for serious discussion. As I said, totally reasonable to think the invasion shouldn't have been done, even knowing what we did then. Lots of room there.

To suggest that things weren't all that bad, and even that Iraqis weren't especially unhappy with their government? You can't find a serious person who will take up that argument, outside of debate purposes.
 
Posted by Mucus (Member # 9735) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
To suggest that things weren't all that bad, and even that Iraqis weren't especially unhappy with their government? You can't find a serious person who will take up that argument, outside of debate purposes.

I can't agree with that especially when you're pretty much just declaring it by fiat without any real supporting evidence. The misjudgement of the mood of the Iraqi people goes to the core of the failure in Iraq ("we'll be greeted as liberators" and all that) so hand-waving it is simply unacceptable.

As I've said about three times already, maybe the Iraqi people were unhappy, maybe they weren't, but you're simply not making a convincing case.

I've seen people vastly misjudge the mood of a foreign population too often to simply take that by faith.

quote:
So...you weren't asking me about what the UN had to say with respect to the human rights situation in Iraq, just after I was talking about how awful the UN said that situation in Iraq was?
Well, more specifically, I was asking what did the UN have to say about what Iraqis felt about the human rights situation and whether it was serious enough to warrant a) revolution and/or b) foreign invasion.

quote:
As for the tolerance quote, I was speaking to Blayne about having a high tolerance for that, not you or kmbboots. I thought that was clear, but I can see how you might not have.
Sorry, I definitely interpreted it the wrong way.

quote:
Something pretty similar could have been said of dissent in Iraq.
I'm not really following the line of argument ending here. Are you saying that the comparison is invalid because the Iraqi government didn't try to investigate dissent as harshly as other governments investigate homicide? I'm not really sure that's true and it seems counter-intuitive to the portrayal that you've been trying to make actually.
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
quote:
I'm a little fuzzy on what's being argued about here. I was interested in this thread personally: I was one who supported the Iraq war during the lead-up.
My position here has been that the war was a mistake in every sense. The reasons for invading were insufficient by any reasonable measure. So supporting the war was wrong, even for those who believed it would be carried out more capably than it actually was.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
I'm not claiming that because the Iraqi government systematically brutalized its people, the Iraqis themselves were unhappy with it and would've just loved Americans to come in and blow stuff up. I'm only claiming the first two-that's *all* I've been claiming. I'm not sure how you got the idea I was taking that a step further.

Though I do think it's worth wondering how Iraqis would've felt about Americans coming in and blowing stuff up, had we not been determined to do a half-assed hands-in-our-ears-lalalalala job. If we had listened to those elements of our government mentioned in Samprimary's links (this weekend, this weekend Samp) that spent so much brainsweat saying, "Ok, for this to possibly work, we need..."

As for dissent, I was explaining why comparing punishments alone isn't enough, and I thought it was clear Iraq was pretty good about investigating or preempting dissent.

Whether it was serious enough to warrant revolution? Seriously, man, a bunch of Iraqis tried to have one, remember? Didn't work out so well. And I reject this implied notion that people can only be said to be bitterly discontented with their government if they openly revolt or openly call for an invasion.

I'll put the question I put to kmbboots to you: if your government said to you, "Mucus, you're only going to have sham elections, you're not going to have a free press, and if you try to dissent outside of the state-run media, even non-violently, you'll be lucky if a cop or a soldier doesn't sideswipe you with a rifle butt-but it's not unlikely we'll be kidnapping you, and keeping you for a good long while or maybe torturing and then killing you." If your government said that to you, and then someone far away pointed out that they couldn't *know* you loathed your government...wouldn't you just want to tear your frigging hair out and ask, "How would you find out?! I get killed for telling you!"

It's the same way we knew people kind of liked to leave East Berlin without ever polling them: *they had to put up a huge guarded wall and no-man's land to keep people in*.
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
quote:
I'm not claiming that because the Iraqi government systematically brutalized its people, the Iraqis themselves were unhappy with it and would've just loved Americans to come in and blow stuff up. I'm only claiming the first two-that's *all* I've been claiming. I'm not sure how you got the idea I was taking that a step further.
But isn't the latter claim the one you would need to establish in order to (partly?) justify the 2003 American plan of going in and blowing stuff up?

quote:
Are people just not hearing me when I say, repeatedly, that the human rights situation alone isn't enough?
I understand the view, but you have to grant that it's a difficult one to argue against except in a piecemeal way. The "WMDs" by themselves weren't enough, the human rights weren't enough, the history wasn't enough by itself, but somehow each of these gives us a little bit of reason to invade Iraq, and together these little reasons add up to be enough to tip the scale and make invasion the right choice.

It's a very tough view to argue against. If the weight/importance you assign to one of these considerations (weapons, human rights, international lawbreaking) is a little bit off, that by itself could determine whether your view is right or wrong.

I'm not saying that makes your view false, but it does make it a very tough view to evaluate. In general, I don't like the idea of our government starting wars of choice on the basis of that kind of slippery reasoning, because it makes it too easy to trick yourself and others into making a bad decision. If you want to start a fight, your reasons for starting it should clear the bar by a wide margin. The default assumption should, if possible, be peace.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
Rakeesh, I am going to make one more attempt at this. From my phone which is annoying so please bear with me and really try to read what I am writing. I am, for the zillionth time, not saying that the were not that bad. For some Iraqis things were very very bad. But not for everyone. If it had been bad for every single Iraqi except for Saddam, how would he have stayed in power? Someone must have supported him, right? He couldn't kill every dissenter himself? After he was killed, people were still fighting us, right? For some of them, things must not have been that bad, right? Or they all would have been happy that we showed up to free them. Ba'athists had it pretty good; they had positions of power and prestige. All those people count as Iraqis, too. So really bad for some. Less bad for others. That is not the same as not so bad for all. Is that clearer? It doesn't just average out. There are lots of different groups that make up Iraq. Some are better off now. Most even. Plenty are not. The ones whose lot we improved the most are probably Kurds and Shia who aren't fond of each other. And the Shia are not fond of us.

And then there are those who had it really bad under Saddam and who would better offf now except that they are dead or maimed or have lost wives or parents or brothers or siblings. We made that bargain for them. "Here is your freedom, but it will cost you your leg or your sight or your son." Punishment for dissent or not, we should have had some indication that they wanted that deal before we made it for them.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Yes, I'm just misreading you, you're not making mixed and inconsistent arguments or anything. You used words like 'pretty bad', and suggested more than once we couldn't know it was so bad because we were guessing. Anyway.

I'm not taking Ba'athist perspectives on human rights in Iraq into account. The brutalizing oppressers don't get a say. To hell with the Ba'athists if their lot wasn't improved.

As for being happy immediately with the US military, of course they weren't. They didnt trust us, or our commitment, or both. With good reason, as it turned out. But the standards you're using for measuring the happiness of the populace are totally inconsistent. You now acknowledge, specifically, that it was really really bad in Iraq under Saddam (well, you and the UN in fact). But how do we know it was so bad? They weren't constantly rioting and rebelling, there was no frequent public outcry, so on and so forth. They must've been content, or we would've seen direct evidence otherwise.

Right? I've never said every single person with Iraqi citizenship loathed to the death Saddam's regime. I've only ever said that the population, by and large, hated the way their government ran. Why? Because they're a diverse population of human beings. Fearing a slow death by torture or imprisonment *more* than they hated the government isn't the same thing as not loathing the government, and it's got nothing to do with wanting to 'remake them in our image', unless despising violent tyranny is some sort of exclusively European-descended characteristic.
 
Posted by Hobbes (Member # 433) on :
 
quote:
My position here has been that the war was a mistake in every sense. The reasons for invading were insufficient by any reasonable measure. So supporting the war was wrong, even for those who believed it would be carried out more capably than it actually was.
I see (and thanks for explaining [Smile] ). A few questions: does this assume "more capably" means basicilly flawlessly, or do you feel that being bogged down in another desert quagmire was inevitable and thus part of the reason we shouldn't have gone in? If the adminstration's claims had been accurate (from WMDs to the preception of the Iraq people) would that change your position? If not, can you give some examples of things that would make you support an invasion in general (genocide for example)?

[Not trying to be confrontational, all honest questions and open to anyone who wants to answer. It's an attempt to figure out where the disconect is rather an attempt to attack or undermind]

I wish I had a better memory as to what it was I believed was happening in Iraq at the time. I know it wasn't the same as the truth but I know it wasn't all falsehoods either. I posted about this a few times here in some depth but I think that stuff is old enough to have been deleted. [Grumble]

Hobbes [Smile]
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Something to note about genocide, we're legally bound (if we're going to pay heed to the UN) to stop, by force if need be, genocide when and where it happens. It's supposed to be the law. And yet, it has been attempted and in some cases come near to success since we and other nations agreed to that little piece of history, which is one of many reasons I've got less patience than many, and less than some would like, when it's pointed out what the UN does or doesn't sign on for. It's not because I think it should be done away with, it's because I think if we're going to talk about doing things the UN legal way, especially as if that makes things moral or immoral, a more comprehensive look is needed.
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
Thanks, Hobbes.

quote:
A few questions: does this assume "more capably" means basicilly flawlessly, or do you feel that being bogged down in another desert quagmire was inevitable and thus part of the reason we shouldn't have gone in?
The latter (although it was more an urban quagmire than a desert quagmire). As I said a couple pages back, an insurgency was pretty much inevitable. And once we were fighting a no-holds-barred insurgency, basic human psychology ensured that a few of our own troops would eventually get twitchy and take the gloves off themselves. Torture a few Iraqis, rape a couple more. Then we've got the whole country mad at us if they weren't already, which is a recipe for a quagmire.

quote:
If the adminstration's claims had been accurate (from WMDs to the preception of the Iraq people) would that change your position?
In some ways it would, although I can't answer this question without stressing again that the administration's claims were obviously mistaken, and anyone who paid attention to the details of the news should have known that.

I think the admin had to be right about the mood in Iraq for an invasion to be justified. We needed to know it wasn't going to be another Vietnam. Things could actually have gone a lot worse for us in this respect, if we didn't get lucky. If Al Qaeda in Iraq hadn't been so brutal in their own treatment of civilians, for example, the public mood against us would have been even more negative and we might have had a truly popular uprising on our hands.

Now, if they were right about the WMD program (extremely unlikely, as I've said before, given the UN presence in Iraq at that time), that might justify an invasion if we knew we'd be greeted as liberators. It would depend on how they intended to use the weapons. We would need to gather intelligence about their plans.

If they intended to develop weapons in order to use them for deterrence, that would be regrettable but wouldn't justify an invasion. We can't claim that other nations don't have the right to defend themselves (although the US does claim this all the time, as when we label insurgents fighting our occupying forces as "terrorists"). This would be doubly true if their goal was only to develop the capability for producing bombs, and not to actually produce any weapons (as appears to be the case with the Iranian bomb program).

But if they were in fact producing weapons with the intention of using them offensively or providing them to terrorists, then we would have to move to defend ourselves. I think that only goes for nuclear weapons, though. Chemical and biological weapons are really much less effective against civilians than people think. Many countries have had chemical arsenals at various points in history. Chemical weapons are dangerous, but not much more so than conventional explosives if those are targeted at the right spots.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
quote:
In some ways it would, although I can't answer this question without stressing again that the administration's claims were obviously mistaken, and anyone who paid attention to the details of the news should have known that.
They weren't obviously mistaken at the time (WMD claims, that is). Heck, we've even had this discussion in this thread. There was lots of reason-and not just to Americans-to believe Saddam was working to get WMD, or conceal them. There's a reason there wasn't widespread or even a very common outcry of, "Hey, wait, this is nonsense!" and it seems clear that reason is because, at the time, the world generally *wasn't* as sure as all that.

What do you base your claim that bio-weapons are much less dangerous than people think?
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
quote:
They weren't obviously mistaken at the time (WMD claims, that is).
I really strongly disagree with this. Of course it wasn't obvious that the administration's claims were false, but the idea that they had anything approaching good evidence for them was purely a construction of US propaganda.

As Mucus has pointed out, much of their case rested on the questionable testimony of Iraqi dissidents. Rather than think wait, these guys want us to invade anyway, maybe they'll color their testimony to influence us in that direction, they were simply taken at their word. Meanwhile the UN inspectors went in and expressed a high degree of confidence that there were no weapons.

quote:
What do you base your claim that bio-weapons are much less dangerous than people think?
In practice the danger from them is substantially lessened by the fact that extremely expensive and often bulky lab equipment is required to keep the really dangerous bugs alive and to prevent their handlers from getting infected and dying. Terrorists don't generally have access to that equipment, and if they did it would be relatively easy to catch them.

This is all theoretical, but it is somewhat backed up by the empirical fact that no one has ever used biological weapons with much success in even a limited capacity.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
We've spoken before on the limitations of the inspections as they were, in spite of their justified confidence in their findings so far as they went. The case didn't only rest on dissident testimony (though to some it seems human rights violations does *shrug*), but also on years and years of intransigence. It's hardly unnatural to believe he was hiding something, and to think it was likely, given the situation.
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
quote:
The case didn't only rest on dissident testimony (though to some it seems human rights violations does *shrug*), but also on years and years of intransigence.
There was also the "yellowcake purchase," which was known to be fake before the invasion. The evidence that the US case was largely trumped-up was there to see, for those who hadn't already made up their minds.

quote:
It's hardly unnatural to believe he was hiding something, and to think it was likely, given the situation.
Natural though it might be, I think it was a mistake to believe that, given the other explanations available for that intransigence. With Iraq's conventional military crippled and the Iranian enemy right next door, it's easy to see why the Hussein regime would not want to project further weakness.

Looking at the issue dispassionately, I would've said before the inspectors went in:

OK, they could be hiding weapons or they could be trying to hide the fact that they don't have weapons from their powerful enemies in the region. The odds might be 50/50.

Then, after the inspectors found nothing, I'd say the odds that they were hiding their weakness and not their secret weapons stash went up considerably. That's why I thought there was maybe a 10% chance they had weapons, and almost no chance that waiting a few months for the inspectors to do further work would risk any kind of attack.

Like we were discussing before: Pakistan has had actual nukes for years and years without incident. We could afford to wait a few months and see how further inspections panned out. That we did not wait was a crime against peace. To my mind, it's no exaggeration to say that.

[ December 30, 2011, 05:29 PM: Message edited by: Destineer ]
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
Also, the odds were much less than 10% that they had actual nuclear capability, rather than chemical or biological weapons (which, as I said, are not so bad in the big scheme of things).

They didn't have a reactor. They didn't have any good scientists who knew anything about that sort of thing. (Has anyone ever heard of an Iraqi version of AQ Khan?) They didn't have any refining equipment. Iran hasn't been able to hide these things, despite having only periodic and very limited IAEA inspections. The idea that Iraq could hide them from comparatively invasive UN inspections strains credulity.

"Weapons of mass destruction" really don't deserve to be lumped together as a group. One nuclear weapon in the right spot can kill millions. To kill a few thousand with chemical weapons, you have to drop bombs for hours (basically what the Iraqi army did to the Kurds).
 
Posted by Lyrhawn (Member # 7039) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
We've spoken before on the limitations of the inspections as they were, in spite of their justified confidence in their findings so far as they went. The case didn't only rest on dissident testimony (though to some it seems human rights violations does *shrug*), but also on years and years of intransigence. It's hardly unnatural to believe he was hiding something, and to think it was likely, given the situation.

Yet there was no actual evidence that he had what we said he had. His bad attitude and hyperbole weren't good enough reasons for invasion. Our own intelligence organs didn't have anything on him. The actual evidence we were going on was vapor thin, and most of the things we claimed at the UN and other venues were proven wrong before we even invaded.

Plus, when we sent in inspectors, their mission was to find evidence of the destruction of WMDs that never existed. It was an impossible burden of proof designed to give us a pretext for invasion.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:

Hey Blayne, could you keep doing that 'substantiate or concede' thing in bold, please? I'm running a little wager as to how many times you'll say it, and that makes it easier to spot.

Are you going to keep harping on the style of my arguments or are you ever going to deal with the substance of them? The substance of which other posters have also raised.

quote:

The reason why you end up just having to get told to shut up is because you act like this and make claims like this which have absolutely nothing to do with other people's actual "contribution" or lack of thereof.

The claim that I have not participated in this thread is you being completely bankrupt. This post ups the ante on your last one, and is the largest and most flagrant deflection by you yet.

So, again. Thanks for effectively giving up the ghost on this one, and leaving only your frustration and your half-hearted, hypocritical insults in its place, like "do you ever get tired of talking?" If you'd like to round up a moderator to 'arbitrate' this, since you seem intent on hiding behind that excuse, go right ahead.

So you are just petty and spiteful empty shell of an adult then?

Again, how is a single post, from which you have not substantiated or built up upon, or in any way engaged the actual argument of other posters, contributing to the thread? So far you are only in this thread it seems because of a perverse partially sexual obsession. I suspect some combination of bestiality and necrophilia considering how often you beat off to a dead horse.

quote:

As for you, Blayne, you're hardly one to complain of derailing the conversation, given the dishonest and hysterical way you've been trying to talk with (at) me about this from the start. But hey, get all victim s'more, would?

Again more deflection tactics and ad hominem, are you ever going to address the arguments I raised or are you going to keep hiding behind your weak willed rationalizations?

quote:

Well, I'm not disputing it in the case of Blayne because it's actually true in his case. But I read it in the sense that he was painting kmbboots and myself with the same brush.

Mucus please do explain, how this is true. And how even if it is supposedly true, why does it matter to the arguments at hand? Why are you feeding into Rakeesh's proven inability to argue by allowing him to hide behind his fallacious arguments? Him saying that is 1) poisoning the well, 2) an argument through generalization, and 3) ad hominem and completely ignores the actual arguments made.

quote:

As for the tolerance quote, I was speaking to Blayne about having a high tolerance for that, not you or kmbboots. I thought that was clear, but I can see how you might not have.

Considering its ad hominem nature I ignored it for now, but I cannot no longer, you are a filthy liar and this reduces your value as a poster.

[ December 31, 2011, 04:25 PM: Message edited by: Blayne Bradley ]
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Really Blayne, you're in no position to comment on my hygiene! Goodness, tone it down, man!

Heh. Hey, if people from all sorts of political opinions suggest you've got a high tolerance of totalitarian governments, you should not pause to consider the idea and instead reject it outta hand;)
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
quote:
So you are just petty and spiteful empty shell of an adult then?
So, you type this, and then you fill most of the rest of your post with the mantra-like chant of "ad hominem" and "deflection tactic" and you really literally do not have the faculty necessary to determine why this is amazingly silly. Do you think you're scoring points?

quote:
Again, how is a single post, from which you have not substantiated or built up upon, or in any way engaged the actual argument of other posters, contributing to the thread?
A single post, eh? Hey, Blayne. Go back and count the number of posts I presented regarding the subject matter of the thread before I at all addressed you. Go on. Do this. Count them and tell me how many you see.

I'll wait.

quote:
So far you are only in this thread it seems because of a perverse partially sexual obsession. I suspect some combination of bestiality and necrophilia considering how often you beat off to a dead horse.
Looks like you really, really desperately desire that moderator intervention, huh?
 
Posted by Lyrhawn (Member # 7039) on :
 
Come on you guys, knock it off. There's still a good discussion to be had here.
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
Knock what off? Are you going to be the latest to describe calling blayne out for his horrid argumentative behavior as "egging him on?"
 
Posted by JanitorBlade (Member # 12343) on :
 
Regardless of whether or not anybody's remarks meet some sort of apropos criteria, I have to ask that if posters cannot address each other with respect that they refrain from doing so.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
Really Blayne, you're in no position to comment on my hygiene! Goodness, tone it down, man!

Heh. Hey, if people from all sorts of political opinions suggest you've got a high tolerance of totalitarian governments, you should not pause to consider the idea and instead reject it outta hand;)

This is simply a continuation of your habitual argumentation from strawmen, ad hominem and generalizations, I *did* tone it done, some 2-3 posts were in fact much more reserved than the previous ones but you didn't notice or didn't care.

Are you going to bother to substantiate how my tolerance for totalitarian dictatorships is high and how it is relevant to Iraq?
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Samprimary:
Knock what off? Are you going to be the latest to describe calling blayne out for his horrid argumentative behavior as "egging him on?"

I'd prefer to describe it as "wasting everybody's time." But we've had this discussion already.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Heh, Blayne I didn't mean 'tone it down' literally-I was joking. I thought that was clear when I appeared to take your remark as a comment on my cleanliness. Anyway, though, that you characterize a post where you call someone a filthy liar as 'toned down' is kind of the *point* behind why I'm making fun of you rather than 'substantiate or concede' as you so stridently command: you cannot discuss this in a calm, adult, honest way, right from the start. I described how way back in the beginning, and my reasons still stand-your by now constant resort to name calling while simultaneously (and really, it's just WEIRD how hypocritical this is) claiming to be a victim of ad hominem attacks illustrate it.

I really object to the way you have around here of getting hysterical and start tantruming, and then when people call you directly on it you get WORSE, and somehow people interpret that as some sort of mutual thing. I guess it's mostly because people *expect* hysterical childish tantrums from you periodically, and so the responsibility shifts away from you not flipping out to others not to set you off. The onky relief is that it used to be worse.

[ January 01, 2012, 12:51 PM: Message edited by: Rakeesh ]
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
There are several substantive posts up addressing the actual topic of the thread. I'm not sure why you'd rather reply to Blayne than to Lyrhawn and me.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
Heh, Blayne I didn't mean 'tone it down' literally-I was joking. I thought that was clear when I appeared to take your remark as a comment on my cleanliness. Anyway, though, that you characterize a post where you call someone a filthy liar as 'toned down' is kind of the *point* behind why I'm making fun of you rather than 'substantiate or concede' as you so stridently command: you cannot discuss this in a calm, adult, honest way, right from the start. I described how way back in the beginning, and my reasons still stand-your by now constant resort to name calling while simultaneously (and really, it's just WEIRD how hypocritical this is) claiming to be a victim of ad hominem attacks illustrate it.

I really object to the way you have around here of getting hysterical and start tantruming, and then when people call you directly on it you get WORSE, and somehow people interpret that as some sort of mutual thing. I guess it's mostly because people *expect* hysterical childish tantrums from you periodically, and so the responsibility shifts away from you not flipping out to others not to set you off. The onky relief is that it used to be worse.

First of all I called you a liar only after you continued to make snide sideway generalized implications into what positions I may or may not have without providing even a lick of evidence or substantiative comment. Second of all I am the target of ad hominem attacks is a fact, if you feel you've been the target as such then its even worse because you are now pulling a false equivilence argument of "if you do it so can I"; thirdly the claims that you've been the target of ad hominem is plainly ridiculous considering just about every time you complained of such is from only if you egregiously misread the posts in question with absolutist interpretation.

Fourth I demand that you substantiate or concede because you have done neither and continuously refuse to engage with the substantiated points that I have brought up that others have either also raised or otherwise built upon.

So do you withdraw the blanket statement that I have a "high tolerance" for totalitarian governments? If not then I strongly expect you to damn well substantiate it.

This line of reasoning does you no credit, in no way does appealing to the supposed hypocrisy of the opposition free you from the obligation to answer those questions.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Destineer:
There are several substantive posts up addressing the actual topic of the thread. I'm not sure why you'd rather reply to Blayne than to Lyrhawn and me.

*shrug* I will, but I'm rather couple-minutes-at-a-time right now, and I've found that I'm pretty not-good at writing a post that'd normally take 10m over the course of six hours. Ends up all disjointed and hard to follow even for me when I look over it.

Also, winding Blayne up is a bit fun too. One never knows when one will be called a filthy liar while also being accused of personal attacks;)
-------
Blayne, your complaints that I'm not talking about the topic are funny and probably untrue. I'm not talking about it *with you* which is different.

As for totalitarian regimes, naw. I think I'll just make mention of your well known attitudes regarding the USSR, PRC, and now even Iraq under Saddam, as not so bad or even virtuous and maligned.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:

Also, winding Blayne up is a bit fun too. One never knows when one will be called a filthy liar while also being accused of personal attacks;)

So you are a troll then? Can you remove yourself from the thread then if you do not wish to discuss it with the seriousness it is due?

quote:

Blayne, your complaints that I'm not talking about the topic are funny and probably untrue. I'm not talking about it *with you* which is different.

So you are just woefully immature then. "Nyah nya I'm not listening"

quote:

As for totalitarian regimes, naw. I think I'll just make mention of your well known attitudes regarding the USSR, PRC, and now even Iraq under Saddam, as not so bad or even virtuous and maligned.

How are these "well known" how are they "totalitarian" also how is this not a massive strawman? Do you have not an ounce of self respect regarding the topic you are discussing that you would submerge yourself in mediocrity?

Also how, even if true are they relevant to the arguments composed? Surely you should be able to look at the arguments themselves and see, on their own merits if they have particular flaws, resorting instead to blatant ad hominem attacks at this point I believe reacts poorly on your character.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Wait a second, I've ascended to mediocrity from the pits of I'll-washed deceivers and jingoists? Well, that's nice to know! Happy New Year to you, too! [Smile]
 
Posted by Lyrhawn (Member # 7039) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Samprimary:
Knock what off? Are you going to be the latest to describe calling blayne out for his horrid argumentative behavior as "egging him on?"

What Destineer said. By all means, call people on their BS, but do you really find it productive to bring threads to a grinding halt just to exhaust yourselves argumentatively with no productive results over and over again?

It might not feel fair to have to ignore some of his more objectionable posts, but is it worth derailing thread after thread just to feel like you've done your due diligence with calling him out?
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
Testimony by one of the UN weapons inspectors regarding Iraq, not sure if posted.

quote:

Iraq has on the whole cooperated rather well so far with UNMOVIC in this field. The most important point to make is that access has been provided to all sites we have wanted to inspect and with one exception it has been prompt. We have further had great help in building up the infrastructure of our office in Baghdad and the field office in Mosul. Arrangements and services for our plane and our helicopters have been good. The environment has been workable.

Our inspections have included universities, military bases, presidential sites and private residences. Inspections have also taken place on Fridays, the Muslim day of rest, on Christmas day and New Years day. These inspections have been conducted in the same manner as all other inspections.

http://www.un.org/Depts/unmovic/Bx27.htm
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Wait, we're back to listening to the UN now, Blayne? Not long ago you were pointing out how Iraq quote:
quote:
Actually I know a few people who've been to Iraq during Saddam's regime, it wasn't anywhere near as bad as people believe, it wasn't totalitarian.
The UN didn't seem to think it wasn't 'anywhere near as bad' or 'not totalitarian'. It's almost like you're willing to speak as though the UN hasn't spoken when it's inconvenient to your global politics, or something.

It's almost as if that was one of my points for quite some time now: not that we should ignore the UN as we see fit, but by all means we need to *stop* speaking as though a) UN approval equates to morality, and lack or disapproval equates to immorality, b) the UN is itself a just and honorable organization (behold, to use the contemporary and famous example, its mighty and effective intervention in Rwanda) as opposed to an organization with great goals made up of largely self-interested governments, and c) as though we all listen to the UN as a rule, except when bad old 'merica decided to go it alone.

(As for suggesting you have a high tolerance of brutal, totalitarian regimes, well, that quote above illustrates my point well enough I think, Blayne. I eagerly await and not at all doubt I'll be hearing an, "Ok, I can see why you'd say that, Rak."

------

As for ignoring Blayne, there are some people who have the credibility to make that case. Others, at least two in this discussion, don't, not when they say, "He's making some great points," or, "He's rude but right." If we're to ignore him when he behaves like this, we have to actually ignore him. Not just ignore him but then chime in, "Well he makes a good point every now and then!" and later chide people for reacting to him.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:

The UN didn't seem to think it wasn't 'anywhere near as bad' or 'not totalitarian'. It's almost like you're willing to speak as though the UN hasn't spoken when it's inconvenient to your global politics, or something.

I have no idea where you get this.

quote:

It's almost as if that was one of my points for quite some time now: not that we should ignore the UN as we see fit, but by all means we need to *stop* speaking as though a) UN approval equates to morality, and lack or disapproval equates to immorality,

Your point has been entirely by implication indeed to in fact ignore the United Nations, otherwise there is no point to your nitpicking that the United Nations is or is not some paragon of international law and virtue. Because in the end the ICJ and the UNSC *are* the de facto and de jure final voice on what constitutes what is legal or illegal, which by political philosophy is whats moral or immoral.

If you cannot claim the support of the United Nations that US invasion of Iraq was moral then it puts a greater burden of proof on your to prove it is moral.

quote:

b) the UN is itself a just and honorable organization (behold, to use the contemporary and famous example, its mighty and effective intervention in Rwanda) as opposed to an organization with great goals made up of largely self-interested governments, and

Strawman. I certainly never made this claim, as we can see by analogy that it is false, national governments can be just as corrupt with the enforcement of national laws and justice is never flawless but we still follow those laws anyways.

For better or worse the United Nations is the final authority, every nation signed its charter regarding the non use of force to settle international disputes. That the UN Security Council is primarily composed of self interested nations isn't important, just as how the government of any national government can be made out to be comprised of self interested politicians.

quote:

c) as though we all listen to the UN as a rule, except when bad old 'merica decided to go it alone.

This is essentially what happened. The United States has been consistently side lining the United Nations on substantiative policy since the late 1970's when the General Assembly became no longer a willing tool of US foreign policy. See for example the USA pulling out from the ICJ when it ruled against the US in The United States vs. Nicaragua.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:

(As for suggesting you have a high tolerance of brutal, totalitarian regimes, well, that quote above illustrates my point well enough I think, Blayne.

How?

Remember the burden of proof is on yourself to prove that I a) have a high tolerance of totalitarian regimes and b) That it is relevant to the discussion at hand.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Hey, I never said *you* put much stock in the UN, Blayne. The UN reports repeatedly (less than a quarter minute of Google will find many links, or the one I listed above) on the terrible human rights conditions in Iraq, and they do so repeatedly over years...but you know some guys who told you it wasn't so bad, it wasn't totalitarian. As for where I got it, why, I got that from you! Not an especially prestigious source of anything but your own opinions, it's true...

As for adhering to the UN, I *specifically stated* that we should have used what diplomatic, economic, political, and rhetorical means necessary to gain consensus. So when you moan at me that I am saying we should ignore the UN, that is *another* lie you're telling about what I've said. I've lost count now.

And as for a high tolerance, clearly I'm not going to be able to prove that to you, since you've shown a remarkable ability to believe what you want to believe when you want to believe it. We need to respect the UN, the UN didn't want such and such so it was immoral. But when the UN says, "Geeze, Saddam's government is just plain awful," how quickly the tune changes to, "Hey, I know some guys who say it wasn't so bad!"

You say I'm a jingoist, my country right or wrong even though I've said more than once that our execution of the war was terribly bad and negligent, and because of that members of the Bush Administration were likely guilty of war crimes.

You say I'm 'whiteknighting' my country (and goodness, it does you no credit, this use of Internet slang like this) and that I don't care about civilian deaths, in spite of over years now many complaints about the awful injustice and stupidity of it.

Now I don't know if you're a liar or if you're stupid or if you're confused. I don't actually think you're a liar, or that you're stupid, even though you're saying many clearly untrue and stupid things about my remarks on this topic, lver and over again. So I'm left to think you're confused-as with several topics of international politics (and anime, for that matter), if you get heated up about it...well you just don't have to listen anymore. As you clearly aren't listening now.

And since we've been around this racetrack more than once, and since it isn't peachy to be called a jingoist and blithely unconcerned about war crimes and civilian deaths and have people around here generally keep quiet-or even point out that you're making good points, or that you're just 'rude'- because you're you, and you get to throw these ridiculous hysterical self-pitying tantrums sometimes, just because people expect it from you...yeah. What the hell. I'll poke fun at you as I like, and smile at your change-ups, your boldings and your italicization, until I get tired of it.
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
quote:
It might not feel fair to have to ignore some of his more objectionable posts, but is it worth derailing thread after thread just to feel like you've done your due diligence with calling him out?
Is it worth giving him free reign to act exactly the way he does that causes him to be called out in the first place?

Nobody should act the way blayne is acting in this forum.

Your position is inadvertently proposing that because blayne passes a specific threshold of hopelessly bad behavior that it makes it wrong to tell him he shouldn't aggressively misrepresent and insult people. You are allowing yourself to confuse and then ultimately forget who really derailed the thread (blayne) and then blame the people who are telling a derogatory poster that he should not be derogatory. You are allowing Blayne to not only have exhausted you into leaving him alone when he's insulting others and blatantly violating "the TOS," still ostensibly the rules of this forum, but to blame others for his TOS-violating behavior because they're not similarly exhausted into ignoring and tacitly permitting his immaturity just in the hopes of keeping it minimized.

To answer your qusestion though: no, it is not fair to have to ignore his objectionable posts. I do not have to, in fact, so I don't have to worry about that. The fact that it is a repeating cycle does not make it wrong. It means that Blayne should not be allowed to make objectionable posts in the first place.

And if pointing it out every time encourages people to report blayne quickly next time because I am empowered to guarantee this to be the outcome, and/or if it encourages official action to prevent what happens when he is fairly called out on his bad behavior, all the better.
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Destineer:
quote:
Originally posted by Samprimary:
Knock what off? Are you going to be the latest to describe calling blayne out for his horrid argumentative behavior as "egging him on?"

I'd prefer to describe it as "wasting everybody's time." But we've had this discussion already.
Yes, we did! Involving Katharina, of all people. It's an edifyingly vindicating comparison (though I don't think that's what you intended) because she couldn't be ignored for the sake of 'saving threads' either.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:

You say I'm 'whiteknighting' my country (and goodness, it does you no credit, this use of Internet slang like this) and that I don't care about civilian deaths, in spite of over years now many complaints about the awful injustice and stupidity of it.

This isn't reconciliable with the belief that the US should have invaded anyways, only the implementation was bad.

quote:

on the terrible human rights conditions in Iraq

Which isn't a justifiable reason for invasion on its own. Or even in conjunction with the other reasons presented.

quote:

but you know some guys who told you it wasn't so bad, it wasn't totalitarian.

Well it isn't, under nor circumstances can it reasonable be considered totalitarian.

quote:

As for where I got it, why, I got that from you! Not an especially prestigious source of anything but your own opinions, it's true...

What doesn't make sense is how any of this a contradiction with anything I've said.

You presented the case that Iraq had given the US "ample" reason to invade, so of course it is only reasonable to provide counter examples as to why it isn't. I presented the anectdotal evidence that it wasn't bad enough to justify it. I don't recall you putting forth a UN resolution or white paper that posits circa 2003 that it is bad enough to warrant it. That human rights abuses happen is obvious, they are in fact happening right now in Iraq, previous by US soldiers and now by the nominal puppet government we put in Saddam's place.

However saying human rights abuses are exaggerated isn't the same thing as denying they are happening, and the nuance that Iraq isn't a totalitarian regime isn't the same thing as saying it isn't authoritarian. the point is that none of these even if true are sufficient reasons for unilateral US invasion, and since they aren't true doubly so.

quote:

As for adhering to the UN, I *specifically stated* that we should have used what diplomatic, economic, political, and rhetorical means necessary to gain consensus. So when you moan at me that I am saying we should ignore the UN, that is *another* lie you're telling about what I've said. I've lost count now.

It isn't a lie because you speak of the UN's role as a pliant tool of US imperialism instead of being the de jure arbitrator of international law it is supposed to be. You are in essence ignoring the UN's proper role of an independent judicator for the sake of white washing US action.

quote:

And as for a high tolerance, clearly I'm not going to be able to prove that to you, since you've shown a remarkable ability to believe what you want to believe when you want to believe it. We need to respect the UN, the UN didn't want such and such so it was immoral. But when the UN says, "Geeze, Saddam's government is just plain awful," how quickly the tune changes to, "Hey, I know some guys who say it wasn't so bad!"

So says the person who has absolutely resolutely refused to even try? Oh wow, looky here, clearly the actions of the credible debator. Can't argue the facts so bang on the table more loudly.

You brought it up, so I guess this is an admission of defeat since you would rather yet again run and hide then substantiate your position? More drive by posting?

quote:

You say I'm a jingoist, my country right or wrong even though I've said more than once that our execution of the war was terribly bad and negligent, and because of that members of the Bush Administration were likely guilty of war crimes.

It is cognitive dissonance to suggest that any invasion would not have been bungled so long as the reasons were not just. There is ample reasoning to show that any invasion of Iraq would have been an unjust crime against peace, meaning anywar would have been unjust, and unjsut wars are universally nearly always prone to those same war crimes and cronyism.

That is why you are jingoistic, because as long as you feel that the case can be made that the US is in the right then damn the rest of the world.

quote:

You say I'm 'whiteknighting' my country (and goodness, it does you no credit, this use of Internet slang like this) and that I don't care about civilian deaths, in spite of over years now many complaints about the awful injustice and stupidity of it.

Hey look at that, where are we? Oh yes the internet.

quote:

Now I don't know if you're a liar or if you're stupid or if you're confused. I don't actually think you're a liar, or that you're stupid, even though you're saying many clearly untrue and stupid things about my remarks on this topic, lver and over again. So I'm left to think you're confused-as with several topics of international politics (and anime, for that matter), if you get heated up about it...well you just don't have to listen anymore. As you clearly aren't listening now.

And anime? You are just so overwhelmingly petty empty shell of a man aintcha? I cannot believe you would descent into such petty acts of immaturity that you would feel the need to take potshots at my hobbies.

Jeez dude I have never once ever seen you participate in my anime threads so **** off.

quote:

What the hell. I'll poke fun at you as I like, and smile at your change-ups, your boldings and your italicization, until I get tired of it.

I see no need for you to stop, you have already become doggedly determined to be an immature asshole taking potshots at the personal life of other posters why stop here?
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Samprimary:
[QUOTE]

Words wall of text and more worthless words

Will never happen because you are ultimately a part of that problem.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
I wasn't aware disagreement with world consensus equated to jingoism, Blayne. You'll have to show me where in the definition that is said, else I'll cheerfully point out you're once more telling a stupid lie: jingoists don't say, "My country has made an awful, stupid, evil, mistake."

No. What's happened here is that early on you decided that since I didn't think the correct things with respect to invasion, I simply must be a jingoist.

Iraq under Saddam could very, very easily have been called totalitarian. Look up what the UN had to say about its government, and then look up the definition of totalitarianism. It fits. This is why I correctly say you have a high tolerance of brutal, totalitarian regimes if they have the right enemies. I say it because it's simply true, and it's an amusing piece of moral cowardice on your part: you defend governments that regularly enact human rights violations on their own populations that, if your own government even considered perpetrating on you would be an outrageous obscenity. You couldn't safely make criticisms half as passionate of the Iraqi government under Saddam as you regularly do of the USA, but they are 'not totalitarian'. It's 'not that bad'.

I've never understood this kind of moral hypocrisy: it's OK to despise things like Saddam's Iraq, or Stalinism, or Mao for the awful, awful things they did. You can *still* loathe the things we've done too! They're not mutually exclusive. And yet somehow you end up being a reverse jingoist: anti-West, right!

As for anime. Hee! I enjoy anime, actually. Watched dozens and dozens of hours of it. Love the stuff! I wasnt poking fun at you for liking it, I was poking fun at you for your reactions in defense of it. And I'm not making fun of the habits of posters-just you! [Smile]

(How long before I'm a racist Christian Crusader wanting to exterminate Islam, and/or a Red-hating McCarthyite?)
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
That doesn't make any sense, unless you're admitting that you are the problem I'm taking part in.

Uh, okay?
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:

As for anime. Hee! I enjoy anime, actually. Watched dozens and dozens of hours of it. Love the stuff! I wasnt poking fun at you for liking it, I was poking fun at you for your reactions in defense of it. And I'm not making fun of the habits of posters-just you!

It is completely uncalled for and irrelevent to the thread, if you wish to discuss anime and manga and do so in one of the threads I've started or in my general purpose thread at sakeriver, don't bring it up here. It is a hobby very much dear to my heart with hundreds of hours invested and I do not appreciate you taking potshots at it out of context.

quote:

Iraq under Saddam could very, very easily have been called totalitarian.

Iraq had a greater degree of personal economic freedoms that would have been unthinkable under Stalin and a political environment that was nowhere near as oppressive as Hitler's, totalitarian governments exersize a totality of control on all levels of society. As oppressive as Iraq may have been it is an exaggeration to suppose it is totalitarian.

Take it from a political science student, there's a clear difference which even so don't constitute a threat to the peace.

It isn't "moral cowardice" that is a generalization on your part, China is not Iraq, Russia is not Iraq, their actions are not relevent to Iraq, my case by case actions as an "apologist" for whichever country you suppose I 'defended' has no bearing on this discussion.

quote:

I wasn't aware disagreement with world consensus equated to jingoism, Blayne. You'll have to show me where in the definition that is said, else I'll cheerfully point out you're once more telling a stupid lie: jingoists don't say, "My country has made an awful, stupid, evil, mistake."

I'm certain jingoists will make whatever rationalizations they are willing to make to save the core thought of their belief, but you have shown a dogged determined consistency in side lining inconveniences to US influence for the sake of US interests, such as supporting that the US was apparantly "right" to invade while ignoring that any invasion would have resulted in the current result because no invasion was just, you are being pedantic.

Jingoism is a spectrum, I'm certain Republican jingoists are constantly condemning Obama for advancing US interests that they praised under Bush, doesn't make them any less of jingoists.
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
Rakeesh, still waiting on your reply to our other points. Might as well comment on some of these tangents, I suppose...

quote:

As for ignoring Blayne, there are some people who have the credibility to make that case. Others, at least two in this discussion, don't, not when they say, "He's making some great points," or, "He's rude but right." If we're to ignore him when he behaves like this, we have to actually ignore him. Not just ignore him but then chime in, "Well he makes a good point every now and then!" and later chide people for reacting to him.

I disagree. Acknowledge the posts selectively. Answer the good points. Ignore the insults and let them drop.

That's what I've been saying the whole time.

quote:
Yes, we did! Involving Katharina, of all people. It's an edifyingly vindicating comparison (though I don't think that's what you intended) because she couldn't be ignored for the sake of 'saving threads' either.
Not sure why you say that. I have ignored rudeness from Kat for the purpose of pursuing actual reasoned argument, and God didn't somehow descend from on high and force me to pay attention to her.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
It's funny how in your mind, specific repeated statements made that are completely at odds with jingoism can serve as evidence that I'm even more clearly a jingoist. God, what is this, Orwell?

----

You didn't ignore Blayne. But it's easy to say 'ignore the bad, reply to the valid' when we're talking about an extremist angle of your own outlook. I am, to be honest, left wondering if you don't-like him-feel I'm a lying, jingoistic, war-criminal-loving, Iraqi civilian despising jerk like he does, and if you do, why you won't simply say so. To be clear, I think that's pretty unlikely, that you think that, but when your remarks on his outbursts are to say, 'He makes good points' and then to chastise *me* for replying...well.

I'll get back to your (you say 'our') points. You can believe that or not, as you like. But I hope you'll understand why I'm not just racing to get back to discussing it with you on a holiday weekend.

When someone from the extreme on my end of things says nonsense like, "Nuke the Middle East!" or "War on Islam!" or "No Ground Zero Mosque!" or "Make them pay for the war with oil!" I don't say, "Hey, they make some good points-just ignore that hysterical racist bul*#hit they're spouting." No, I throw their words back in their faces and point out what a harm they're doing to their own position, and what a*#=oles they look like.

Maybe you don't want to do that, that's fine, Destineer. I can see why you wouldn't and will admit it very possibly could be a better method. But please don't on the one hand own the guy when he says things you like, and disavow him when he doesn't, then criticize me for not ignoring him too.

[ January 02, 2012, 12:31 AM: Message edited by: Rakeesh ]
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
quote:
Not sure why you say that. I have ignored rudeness from Kat for the purpose of pursuing actual reasoned argument, and God didn't somehow descend from on high and force me to pay attention to her.
Because ignoring rudeness from katharina didn't help the problem of katharina, despite a group of people eventually adopting the habit of just giving katharina a free pass for rudeness most of the time just in the hopes of minimalizing her conflagrations or protecting themselves from her hatred. There is still no problem with people deciding that rules-breaking should be met with calls for the rule-breaking to stop. If it, as you say, 'wastes your time,' then you are still at liberty to ignore it; don't insist in any way that others are wrong not to ignore it as well.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
Maybe its because people think you do it for the sake of personal pleasure from however justified you think you are, from putting other people down?
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
Do what you want, but I don't see the point of spending hours and hours arguing with someone about their bad internet citizenship when you could just whistle the offending posts and proceed to have an actual interesting conversation with someone else. Except if (as you said in the other thread) you enjoy the high of getting sanctimonious.

For me, that high feels pretty empty unless there's an important question at issue. Whether someone is being nice on Hatrack doesn't qualify.

Obviously I can't 'insist' that you do anything except follow the TOS, but you can't blame me for trying to convince you to stop posting in a way that detracts from the things I enjoy about the forum. And I don't see why the 'problem' of katharina or Blayne needs to be anyone's problem but their own.
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
quote:
But it's easy to say 'ignore the bad, reply to the valid' when we're talking about an extremist angle of your own outlook.
If you want to do a search for some of my old conversations with Lisa, you'll see that I follow the same policy with ideological enemies.

quote:
I am, to be honest, left wondering if you don't-like him-feel I'm a lying, jingoistic, war-criminal-loving, Iraqi civilian despising jerk like he does, and if you do, why you won't simply say so. To be clear, I think that's pretty unlikely, that you think that, but when your remarks on his outbursts are to say, 'He makes good points' and then to chastise *me* for replying...well.
Dude, no, I don't think you're evil. I'm just getting bored with the thread and would like to get on with the part of it that I was actually enjoying.
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Destineer:
And I don't see why the 'problem' of katharina or Blayne needs to be anyone's problem but their own.

You don't understand why a poster violating rules and refusing to end this habit should not be anyone else's problem? Even if we exclude moderators? Of course, by the same logic, if the 'problem' of a rules-violating poster can't or shouldn't be anybody else's problem, it is equally invalid that my response be anyone else's 'problem.'

So, that kind of shoots that in the foot!

A community that says that the 'problem' of posters violating rules shouldn't be anyone else's problem has no rules. Just a desperate hope that there's not too many people who refuse to drag the entire place down into the mud. Which, to be fair, is what this place got mentally habituated into for years.

And it's an odd way to phrase the limits of insistence, ... well, because much of what I do is an insistence that people do not act in a way which is flagrantly at odds with the TOS. So if you can insist it, so could I. :>
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
You're quoting that one sentence outside the context of the rest of my post, in which I said exactly how I think TOS violators should be dealt with. Report the violating posts and don't waste any more time on them.

This is nothing more than my recipe for having interesting discussions on this particular forum, given its current adversarial culture and the inevitably high volume of ad hominem noise from certain posters. I've recommended it to you before, and you decided it wasn't for you, which I suppose is your choice to make. Now I'm recommending it to Rakeesh.

Maybe you can provide a contrary point of view by laying out some of the advantages of your own posting approach. Improving other people's adherence to the TOS? Your posts don't seem to be having that effect. Seeing to it that those who've violated the TOS get their just punishment, in the form of a strongly worded admonishing post? If that's what floats your boat, fine, but maybe you can at least understand why those of us who are instead interested in discussing Books, Films, Food and Culture don't see the appeal.

[ January 02, 2012, 01:50 AM: Message edited by: Destineer ]
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
quote:
but maybe you can at least understand why those of us who are instead interested in discussing Books, Films, Food and Culture don't see the appeal.
To answer that question, let's go back to my first post in this thread, and let's pretend that it was the catalyst that gives people the recurring tendency to see people who confront the bad posters as an equal-time 'partner' in derailing the thread.

Why, specifically, should that response to blayne be something you wish had not happened?
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
You know, one day I'm going to lie on my deathbed and consider whether the time I spent on internet forums was worthwhile. When that day comes, I'd like to be able to tell myself that at least I was discussing weighty questions like the morality of the Iraq war, rather than the finer points of how and how not to post.

I've already spent way more time on that topic than I intended, so I'm going to leave it be. I have great respect for your intellect, as I hope you know, but I'm just not interested in talking any further about the issue you want to discuss.

I'll be back when there's more I want to say about the war.

ETA: I meant to say, your first post in this thread was an excellent post.

[ January 02, 2012, 02:42 AM: Message edited by: Destineer ]
 
Posted by Lyrhawn (Member # 7039) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Samprimary:
quote:
It might not feel fair to have to ignore some of his more objectionable posts, but is it worth derailing thread after thread just to feel like you've done your due diligence with calling him out?
Is it worth giving him free reign to act exactly the way he does that causes him to be called out in the first place?

Nobody should act the way blayne is acting in this forum.

Your position is inadvertently proposing that because blayne passes a specific threshold of hopelessly bad behavior that it makes it wrong to tell him he shouldn't aggressively misrepresent and insult people. You are allowing yourself to confuse and then ultimately forget who really derailed the thread (blayne) and then blame the people who are telling a derogatory poster that he should not be derogatory. You are allowing Blayne to not only have exhausted you into leaving him alone when he's insulting others and blatantly violating "the TOS," still ostensibly the rules of this forum, but to blame others for his TOS-violating behavior because they're not similarly exhausted into ignoring and tacitly permitting his immaturity just in the hopes of keeping it minimized.

To answer your qusestion though: no, it is not fair to have to ignore his objectionable posts. I do not have to, in fact, so I don't have to worry about that. The fact that it is a repeating cycle does not make it wrong. It means that Blayne should not be allowed to make objectionable posts in the first place.

And if pointing it out every time encourages people to report blayne quickly next time because I am empowered to guarantee this to be the outcome, and/or if it encourages official action to prevent what happens when he is fairly called out on his bad behavior, all the better.

If these discussions or if reporting led to an actual change in behavior, then I wouldn't be complaining. But clearly it's not working, or he wouldn't continue to do it, and you all wouldn't react the way you do. And obviously you aren't just reporting him for TOS violations and going about your business, you guys are constructing long posts that dissect his posts line by line to point out his errors, and it just leads to an unproductive back and forth.

You answered the wrong question. The question wasn't about ignoring his posts, I already stipulated that it was unfair and sucks. The question was whether taking all this time to do so was really worth clogging up all these threads with incredibly unproductive activity.

Besides, Blayne thrives on attention. Poking the bear is fun from time to time, but if you stop leaving out picnic baskets, he'll stop coming around. You think that by engaging the bad behavior you are in some way thwarting it, but you're only egging him on, something Rakeesh tacitly admitted when he said that goading Blayne can be fun. So if you know this doesn't lead anywhere, why continue doing it? Clearly you guys aren't expecting an actual behavioral change, so unless BlackBlade is willing to take concrete action against Blayne, you're just continually leaving out picnic baskets for him to gorge on.
 
Posted by Dan_Frank (Member # 8488) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Blayne Bradley:
quote:

As for totalitarian regimes, naw. I think I'll just make mention of your well known attitudes regarding the USSR, PRC, and now even Iraq under Saddam, as not so bad or even virtuous and maligned.

How are these "well known" how are they "totalitarian" also how is this not a massive strawman?
I know there's a big discussion over whether or not to respond to Blayne or whatever but I just had to say I did a huge double-take here. Even coming from Blayne, this was shocking.

Blayne were you genuinely asking how someone might characterize the USSR or the PRC as "totalitarian?"

Truly? Really truly? I know you're a huge fan of communism, but this takes a really staggering level of willful blindness even for a staunch communist.
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Lyrhawn:
Besides, Blayne thrives on attention. Poking the bear is fun from time to time, but if you stop leaving out picnic baskets, he'll stop coming around. You think that by engaging the bad behavior you are in some way thwarting it, but you're only egging him on, something Rakeesh tacitly admitted when he said that goading Blayne can be fun. So if you know this doesn't lead anywhere, why continue doing it?

Because this is all totally wrong. I'm not 'only egging him on,' and if challenging his unacceptable behavior counts as 'egging him on,' that is only a further problem of his that will invariably force a challenge. Someone finding it fun to challenge his insulting behavior doesn't change that (but it does help with the diligence of a community to not being permissive of this sort of behavior). Lastly, how can I "know this doesn't lead anywhere" when this forum's last two or three years has been repeated demonstrations of how it not only DOES work, but that it's foolish to expect that 'starving the beast,' in whichever form the maxim comes in, is ever going to happen or work out as ideally planned?

Hatrack had already tried the prevailing "don't feed the trolls/poke the bears/whichever bad creature analogy is being used for this useless advice, and we won't have this problem" mentality, and it failed, and the environment here was extremely grim.

I explained in great detail why it failed. Why something like that would fail then or now, every time, with or without me, because you're not 'removing the picnic baskets' (which, if using Blayne as an example, could be a myriad of discussions on a myriad of topics that aren't going to go away, like China or the United States), you're just living in an environment much more comfortable and unwittingly inviting to bears, resigned to bears stomping all over the picnic grounds, so let's just not respond to them in the hopes of at least getting through this individual sandwich.

Anyway, no more of the animals-in-our-picnic representations. DNFTT is useless. Always has been. I really hope a day will come where people have figured out that it doesn't ever work for communities.

I have sat here and watched the confrontation of this forum's horrid personalities work (and be unavoidable anyway, whether or not it seemed to be coming with the intending 'sacrifice' of threads like this one), either by haranguing the bad posters in question into better behavior or off the forum (because it ceased being as complacent and passive an environment for them to ply their previous established behavior), or by forcing the issue to a head and making higher action have to occur, as many times as necessary to ensure a change in the status quo. I explained in excruciating detail why this place was in such horrid shape, what perpetuated its godawful state, and what would change it. Nothing here has deviated from those assertions, and those who have followed my forum community wisdom closely enough should be able to explain why it's an unavoidable process anyway.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Dan_Frank:
quote:
Originally posted by Blayne Bradley:
quote:

As for totalitarian regimes, naw. I think I'll just make mention of your well known attitudes regarding the USSR, PRC, and now even Iraq under Saddam, as not so bad or even virtuous and maligned.

How are these "well known" how are they "totalitarian" also how is this not a massive strawman?
I know there's a big discussion over whether or not to respond to Blayne or whatever but I just had to say I did a huge double-take here. Even coming from Blayne, this was shocking.

Blayne were you genuinely asking how someone might characterize the USSR or the PRC as "totalitarian?"

Truly? Really truly? I know you're a huge fan of communism, but this takes a really staggering level of willful blindness even for a staunch communist.

First of all the PRC is *not* totalitarian for sure by any reasonable stretch, secondly the USSR is almost never discussed at Hatrack so I would almost never have had a "reputation" for discussing or defending it. Which is the point, that the post is a massive strawman and generalizes my positions for the sake of dismissing any and all argument from me.

Which isn't even getting to the main point is that they are completely irrelevant because no matter what I may have said about the PRC or whatever they have no bearing on our discussions regarding Iraq. If I say something that is wrong he can find a source and challenge me on it, but he hasn't done so.

The comment, or one may more likely characterize it as a "dig" is of complete irrelevance to the topic at hand and unsubstantiatable, my challenges to Rakeesh on the matter prove this.
 
Posted by TomDavidson (Member # 124) on :
 
quote:
First of all the PRC is *not* totalitarian for sure by any reasonable stretch, secondly the USSR is almost never discussed at Hatrack so I would almost never have had a "reputation" for discussing or defending it.
I don't want to engage, here, but I would say that both these assertions are completely false. Namely:

1) The PRC is indeed totalitarian by any reasonable stretch;
2) You do indeed have a reputation for discussing and defending the USSR, and I have no doubt at all that if you were to ask any Hatrack regular which poster would be most likely to run around calling himself "Somebody Somebodivich" and defending Lenin's political decisions, your name would be at the top of the resulting list.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
If we can take a little break from giving Blayne attention, here is one perspective on whether at least these Iraqis are better off now.

http://www.truth-out.org/seven-years-after-sieges-fallujah-struggles/1325615444
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
OK, so! After two holiday weekends, two lost (and then found, hours later) dogs-on two separate days, no less, blegh-a period of post-eating Hatrack outages, and poking fun that may or may not be helping to destroy Hatrack...

Samprimary, since you're the person who I've responded to the least (well, that made it past the 'Add Reply' button anyway), I'll go ahead and head back to page one and try and reply. Anyone else...well, almost anyone else...who, if they're interested, would like me to respond to something, if you could just address it to me directly as a reminder instead of me going over four pages and trying to collate everything?

----------

Samprimary,

Having read your two links over the break (and aside from everything else, thanks for sharing them, they made very interesting reading), I'm not sure if I can reply in the spirit you perhaps think I would have. As I see it, there are several discussions going on here: should we have invaded Iraq at all, should we have invaded as the Bush Administration planned, and has the invasion been a good thing overall? You'll correct me if I'm wrong in that perception, at least with respect to you.

I've been trying to discuss the first question, because to me the second question is a slam dunk (No, we shouldn't have invaded as the Bush Administration 'planned') and the third question I suspect I'm closer to the positions of several of you than you might think (I believe the invasion has probably been an overall good, but that doesn't excuse the ways in which we ensured through sloppiness-at-best it would often be awful; part of this for me is that, unlike it seems many of you, I don't think the status quo pre-bellum if I remember the phrase correctly would necessarily have lasted).

I believe we had the right to invade, in spite of many reasonable arguments why we also shouldn't have done so. For example, morally speaking, if you shoot at us, and we're behaving legally, to me we're allowed to retaliate with our military, if we choose. Open and shut. Once someone has opened fire on us, even if they miss, well they've really just given us the decision over what to do with them. It then becomes a question of pragmatism and efficiency, to me, what we should do afterwards.

I also believe we had the right to invade thanks to years of prevarications, deceptions, posturing, and outright non-cooperation with inspections. Yes, I'm perfectly aware that those were UN inspections and the UN hadn't authorized an invasion. But I think I regard the UN differently than many people here do. I'm far from thinking the UN should be abandoned or scorned, but I'm also quite far from thinking its opinions on an invasion were reached, shall we say, in an objective and disinterested way. Furthermore, I'm also very aware that if/when (and most of the world agreed it would be a 'when') the UN did finally agree to military intervention, American contribution to that effort would have been shall we say disproportionate even if consensus had been reached.

We were even bound, by law, to put a stop to some of the things-genocide-that were going on in Iraq between the two wars. So were, by the way, a lot of nations which did nothing, or nearly nothing-that even continued to do business with Iraq. The UN is often bound by its spirit and its laws to intervene in many places throughout the world, but it doesn't, either from apathy or conflicting interests of one of its Security Council. In fact, you won't find many human rights outrages that have happened over the past generation that didn't merit a much greater UN involvement than they got, whether morally or legally. Again, this isn't to say that means the UN should be scrapped. But looking at these things, what it means to me is that the UN ought not to be regarded as a fair-minded court and arbiter. It's not there yet, and thus it strikes me as strange to treat it as though it is. (The US has, of course, benefitted from this too-I don't mean to say we're victims here.)

Iraq's open support and harboring of terrorists, Palestinian and international, also gave us moral justification to invade if we so chose. Again this is a different question of whether or not we should have invaded, or in what way, but in my mind once you decide to harbor an al Qaeda top dude, and give open support to suicide bombers, well...yeah. No playing the victim for you. You can't have it both ways: don't want military intervention from the US? Don't harbor and support terrorists. Simple.

I'm kind of rambling here, but I want to reiterate something: these things to me spell out a justification to invade-that's all. That doesn't mean I think we should have invaded the way we did, or handled the aftermath the way we did, or that once we had the justification everything that goes wrong gets put onto our enemies. I do, in fact, think the invasion itself and especially its aftermath and our plans for dealing with Iraq afterwards were simply terrible, criminally stupid and negligent, and have harmed our nation's security in many ways. But I can still think all of that and also believe we had a justification to invade. To make a comparison that I don't mean to be equivalent or even near to it, if someone punches me in the face, I have the right to punch them back. I don't have the right to punch `em, kick `em in the balls, and then smear dog poop into the cut under their eye and leave them without any way to get medical assistance.

Now, I'm not sure how much of what you were getting at I've addressed, Samprimary, or even any. But feel free to ask your questions, hell even be less than neutral (and frankly, just between us girls, I am dubious as to how neutral your questioning is, knowing something of your style;)).

-------------

Lyrhawn,

I'm not sure if I'm picking up right where we left off-please let me know if there's something before this you'd like me to address.

quote:
Perhaps our different opinions come from some underlying difference in trust levels of the Bush Administration. I was okay with the pressure Bush was putting on Saddam to force inspectors into the country, and the threat of force was successful in giving inspectors much broader access to sites than they'd had before. I think more work and more pressure would have yielded better results, and a smarter invasion might have as well. But there was no way we were ever going to do this right. Even today we're forcing the Kurds to be part of Iraq when they basically have an autonomous state in everything but name. And we'll do nothing to back them up when they start fighting with the Iraqi government over oil profits as western companies begin to drill for oil in massive, massive finds in Kurdish territory in the north. Even now our legacy in that region inspires little to be proud of. If we're really installing democracy in the region, I think we should have let go of our inner imperialist cartographer and let them have the power of self-determination for the first time in centuries.
I think I would've said, back in 02-03, that I trusted the Bush Administration to screw up but still leave Iraq pretty clearly better off than it was when we went in, to the point where reasonable people couldn't argue that at least. I think I would've said I expected plenty of political shenanigans what with a Cheney VP, but again-made better, both for us and Iraqis, even with the application of our unwieldy, self-interested political machine.

What I would not have said back then was that I believed the plan was more or less, "We've got a narrative for this situation, and goddamned if we ain't sticking to it to hell with the consequences. We're liberators, we're loved, all it takes is a shot of free unsupported democracy to make things super, and we're going to do the incrementally minimum we can do to support it while also sticking to that narrative." As months passed, that increasingly surprised me. The first really big, well-publicized shocker for me was the looting. That was a striking, easy-to-predict event which we were really poorly prepared for. I never credited the Bush Administration with tons of brains and guts and integrity, but I suppose I thought the bar would be quite a bit higher than the really low setting it turned out to be on.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
quote:
Once someone has opened fire on us, even if they miss, well they've really just given us the decision over what to do with them.
I strongly disagree with this. Think through the implications.

quote:
We were even bound, by law, to put a stop to some of the things-genocide-that were going on in Iraq between the two wars.
I probably would have agreed with this if we were having this argument in the late 1980s.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by TomDavidson:
quote:
First of all the PRC is *not* totalitarian for sure by any reasonable stretch, secondly the USSR is almost never discussed at Hatrack so I would almost never have had a "reputation" for discussing or defending it.
I don't want to engage, here, but I would say that both these assertions are completely false. Namely:

1) The PRC is indeed totalitarian by any reasonable stretch;
2) You do indeed have a reputation for discussing and defending the USSR, and I have no doubt at all that if you were to ask any Hatrack regular which poster would be most likely to run around calling himself "Somebody Somebodivich" and defending Lenin's political decisions, your name would be at the top of the resulting list.

The PRC does not meet the key principles to qualify as totalitarian in anything other than colloqial "layman" use of the word to describe "authoritarian country", it is authoritarian, the state controls but doesn't specifically outlaw all forms of dissent, it regulates but doesn't otherwise repress personal economic freedoms, it allows forms of expression, protests that would have been unthinkable in the USSR, that the PRC is authoritarian doesn't make it totalitarian.

The distinction may be academic but there is one and do not begin to pretend there isn't.

As for the USSR please do come up with the most recent in depth discussion where as I am deeply involved in defending the USSR, I would be deeply surprised if the latest wasn't in fact from my previous handle as Sid Meier from more than a few years ago.

Also I express considerable doubt about the fairness of your poor excuse at methodology, since people's memories are hazy and most certainly would come from discussions more than a few years old also I'm certain you confuse a fascination with Russian and slavic culture and thinking the Soviet Union was kind of cool with having an explicit apologist stance on various Soviet issues and policies.

The whole problem here, is that it is very much gut feeling and not based on anything substantial, additionally there is little to know context in which how could it be possible to link apologist context of one discussion in a link with this discussion.

I ask you a direct question, do you honestly give a flying**** what previous discussions I have or have not been in in context of this discussion? Didn't think so.
 
Posted by TomDavidson (Member # 124) on :
 
quote:
I'm certain you confuse a fascination with Russian and slavic culture and thinking the Soviet Union was kind of cool with having an explicit apologist stance on various Soviet issues and policies.
*grin* No, but you did. That said, if you're saying you've outgrown that stance, that's cool by me. [Smile]

quote:
I ask you a direct question, do you honestly give a flying**** what previous discussions I have or have not been in in context of this discussion?
Yes, of course I do. What sort of person wouldn't?
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
quote:
I strongly disagree with this. Think through the implications.

I have. Carefully. Please note I didn't say we are required to retaliate with any kind of military force if we are fired upon. Just that, morally speaking, if our soldiers are fired upon, the people firing have declared war on us. Whether we acknowledge it or not.

As to the second, our obligation doesn't change with the passage of time. We're not less obligated in 2012 than we were in 1980. Our credibility for claiming humanitarian purposes, though, is another story. And anyway, I also brought that up to point out that the world in general is totally fine with disregarding UN law when it suits us, and I'd rather we didn't have any illusions about that.

---------

Hee. The distinction is a question of whether or not the PRC is totally totalitarian or only somewhat totalitarian, with gradual progress towards other things. I feel perfectly comfortable in pointing out that if you lived under such a government, you would call it totalitarian. (Protest all you like! Heh)
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by kmbboots:
quote:
Once someone has opened fire on us, even if they miss, well they've really just given us the decision over what to do with them.
I strongly disagree with this. Think through the implications.

quote:
We were even bound, by law, to put a stop to some of the things-genocide-that were going on in Iraq between the two wars.
I probably would have agreed with this if we were having this argument in the late 1980s.

To #1 actually there are implicit rules called the rules of engagement that determine this, and unwritten rules regarding proportionality. Otherwise you are basically entering nuclear-wank territory of overwhelming reprisal for every and minor slight. They fire on you, you fire back at most and in proportion to the damge or lack there of done or within 1 step above. You don't respond with invasion, again:

Proportionality should be a guideline to war.

To #2 Actually the United States is NOT legally bound, the Charter of the UN and its founding principles don't explititly state that the USA or any member country has to move to stop genocide, what happens is that if a country is doing such then it is raised by petitition from the General Assembly to the UNSC as a security concern, then the UNSC can make a ruling, probably with the advisory opinion or ruling from the ICJ whether it is a war crime and something should be done.

If the UN mandated that the US invade, that would be one thing. But you had no fly zones in place, the killings had stopped well before 2003, Iraq had given full access to inspectors, proportionality had been achieved. Thus, no clear and present need for the UN to give carte blanch authority to the US to invade because there was no security concern.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
quote:
I strongly disagree with this. Think through the implications.

I have. Carefully. Please note I didn't say we are required to retaliate with any kind of military force if we are fired upon. Just that, morally speaking, if our soldiers are fired upon, the people firing have declared war on us. Whether we acknowledge it or not.

As to the second, our obligation doesn't change with the passage of time. We're not less obligated in 2012 than we were in 1980. Our credibility for claiming humanitarian purposes, though, is another story. And anyway, I also brought that up to point out that the world in general is totally fine with disregarding UN law when it suits us, and I'd rather we didn't have any illusions about that.

---------

Hee. The distinction is a question of whether or not the PRC is totally totalitarian or only somewhat totalitarian, with gradual progress towards other things. I feel perfectly comfortable in pointing out that if you lived under such a government, you would call it totalitarian. (Protest all you like! Heh)

There are over 180,000 protests (they are called incidents) per year. The whole "why don't you live there" counter argument though is also fallacious, you sure love your inability to argue a point.

Also it isn't between "totalitarian" and "somewhat totalitarian" it is "authoritarian" and "totalitarian", these are basic PoliSci 101 concepts here, the FIRST thing you are essentially taught.

quote:

Just that, morally speaking, if our soldiers are fired upon, the people firing have declared war on us. Whether we acknowledge it or not.

This right here is what makes you proof positive a jingoist. Your own words, unedited, for all to see: Jingoism "Our country won't stand back for anything by jingo!"
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by TomDavidson:
quote:
I'm certain you confuse a fascination with Russian and slavic culture and thinking the Soviet Union was kind of cool with having an explicit apologist stance on various Soviet issues and policies.
*grin* No, but you did. That said, if you're saying you've outgrown that stance, that's cool by me. [Smile]

quote:
I ask you a direct question, do you honestly give a flying**** what previous discussions I have or have not been in in context of this discussion?
Yes, of course I do. What sort of person wouldn't?

Without such posts up for analysis than I cannot in good conscious agree with such an assessment, any more than never in a civil or criminal trial would the hazy hear say faulty memory of a sorta witness be entered into evidence.

You are also evading the question; how does whatever opinion I've had, in previous unrelated discussion, relate to this discussion?

Do you deny that it is an ad hominem/poisoning the well? That it is being used as an excuse to not engage in substantial discussion?

Do you agree with Rakeesh's assessment, that because in theory I have a "high tolerance" for totalitarian dictatorships my point that Iraq's own human rights record is insufficient reason under international law to warrant invasion in 2003? If so, why?

To my mind it is ad hominem and deflection, I said a falsifiable statement, he should be able to argue the merits of the argument without resorting to ad hominem in an attempt to poison the well.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
quote:
I strongly disagree with this. Think through the implications.

I have. Carefully. Please note I didn't say we are required to retaliate with any kind of military force if we are fired upon. Just that, morally speaking, if our soldiers are fired upon, the people firing have declared war on us. Whether we acknowledge it or not.
Are you saying that any attempt at injury - whether or not the offending party has or even can actually cause injury gives us the right to do anything we want to them? Really? Far beyond what is needed to prevent injury to us?

quote:

As to the second, our obligation doesn't change with the passage of time. We're not less obligated in 2012 than we were in 1980. Our credibility for claiming humanitarian purposes, though, is another story. And anyway, I also brought that up to point out that the world in general is totally fine with disregarding UN law when it suits us, and I'd rather we didn't have any illusions about that.
\

So we should invade Rwanda now? I think that the point of invasion to stop genocide is to stop genocide that is about to or is currently happening, not genocide that has already happened. Saddam's major war crimes happened with our knowledge and tacit if not approval then at least permission. Before the first Gulf War.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
http://www.hrweb.org/legal/genocide.html

quote:
To #2 Actually the United States is NOT legally bound, the Charter of the UN and its founding principles don't explititly state that the USA or any member country has to move to stop genocide, what happens is that if a country is doing such then it is raised by petitition from the General Assembly to the UNSC as a security concern, then the UNSC can make a ruling, probably with the advisory opinion or ruling from the ICJ whether it is a war crime and something should be done.
Technically true, in the intentionally murky language of things like this, they only say stuff like 'shall be punished'. But we signed on to punish it, as did many other members of the UN. And we don't. All the time we don't. We're not doing it right now, in fact, in parts of the world. That's kind of my point. Just wanted to make that clear.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
quote:
This right here is what makes you proof positive a jingoist. Your own words, unedited, for all to see: Jingoism "Our country won't stand back for anything by jingo!"
Hee. And what if I were to say, if our troops fire on anyone else while they (the anyone else in question) can morally claim we've declared war on them too? Still a jingoist, I'm sure! Man, I just love `merica. Eff everyone else!

quote:
There are over 180,000 protests (they are called incidents) per year. The whole "why don't you live there" counter argument though is also fallacious, you sure love your inability to argue a point.

Didn't say that, either (someone loves their inability to argue a point, anyway!). I said that if you lived under a government that had restrictions such as that, well. They wouldn't be 'incidents', let's just say. Here, I'll be more precise: if a government other than China's were to impose such restrictions on you, there wouldn't be all this mincing around on your part about are they aren't they do they don't they.

-----------

quote:
Are you saying that any attempt at injury - whether or not the offending party has or even can actually cause injury gives us the right to do anything we want to them? Really? Far beyond what is needed to prevent injury to us?

Nope. Not any. Please take note of the comparison I made above. But, y'know, just because they were much less powerful than us doesn't mean we have to respond to warlike provocations with military force they can stand a chance against.

quote:
So we should invade Rwanda now? I think that the point of invasion to stop genocide is to stop genocide that is about to or is currently happening, not genocide that has already happened. Saddam's major war crimes happened with our knowledge and tacit if not approval then at least permission. Before the first Gulf War.
Rwanda? Perhaps not now. But we would've been justified in doing so at many points over the past years.

As for Saddam, people do so love to bring that up. As though past complicity means we should do nothing now-or as though (with respect to me, at least) I'm somehow unaware of it.

----------

quote:
Do you agree with Rakeesh's assessment, that because in theory I have a "high tolerance" for totalitarian dictatorships my point that Iraq's own human rights record is insufficient reason under international law to warrant invasion in 2003? If so, why?
This was not, in fact, my assessment.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
Why not now? We are roughly the same amount of time after the Rwanda genocide as we were the Iraq genocide when we invaded. And I bring it up because it makes it pretty darn clear that genocide was only an excuse for invasion (15 years after the fact) when it was convenient. We likely could have stopped it with a word at the time. Saddam needed our support.
 
Posted by Mucus (Member # 9735) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
Hee. The distinction is a question of whether or not the PRC is totally totalitarian or only somewhat totalitarian, with gradual progress towards other things. I feel perfectly comfortable in pointing out that if you lived under such a government, you would call it totalitarian.

Actually, I would have to disagree. Well, we've been through this particular point two years ago in fact so I'll quote myself.

quote:
Originally posted by Mucus:
Wikipedia has a pretty good description of the difference between totalitarianism and authoritarianism.

quote:
According to Karl Lowenstein, "the term ' Authoritarian' denotes a political organization in which the single power holder - an individual person or "dictator", an assembly, a committee, a junta, or a party monopolizes political power. The term " Authoritarian" refers rather to the structure of government than to the structure of society. An Authoritarian regime confines itself to political control of the state.

The governmental techniques of a totalitarian regime are necessarily Authoritarian. But a totalitarian regime does much more. It attempts to mold the private life, soul, and morals of citizens to a dominant ideology. The officially proclaimed ideology penetrates into every nook and cranny of society; its ambition is total.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Totalitarianism#Difference_between_authoritarian_and_totalitarian_states

China is most definitiely authoritarian. It is not totalitarian, that designation is reserved for North Korea or China during Cultural revolution.

Its is fairly obvious to anyone that has actually spent time in China that the lack of a dominant ideology is actually *characteristic* of modern China and one of the main problems going forward. Pragmatism or realpolik is the order of the day and it has been ever since Deng and his parable about white and black cats. And only an authoritarian rather than a totalitarian government can explain the anomaly of Hong Kong and the various Special Economic Zones.

quote:
Originally posted by Ron Lambert:
...
As for China not being totalitarian, just be thankful you don't live there.

In addition to having spent time there, I've had a fair number of relatives, both native and foreign-born which have moved back to China to live for various reasons (or have moved from China recently).

http://www.hatrack.com/cgi-bin/ubbmain/ultimatebb.cgi?ubb=get_topic;f=2;t=054479;p=12&r=nfx#000580

I think one thing that the last few months have demonstrated (Wukan in particular) is actually a point about the decentralised nature of power in China which is aptly summed up by a number of articles by a law professor in Beijing.
quote:
I’ve covered this issue many, many times on this blog. The concept of the totalitarian State, as believed by many foreigners, is one of the top misconceptions about China. Not understanding key federalism issues and the relationship between local and State-level officials can lead to a lot of trouble.
quote:
Everywhere you look (history, economics, business, law, politics), federalism is of paramount importance. It’s probably a slight exaggeration (but only a slight one) to say that what separates a casual China observer from a learned one is in-depth knowledge of how the federal system works here — for example, no IP lawyer worth a damn goes along with the China-as-totalitarian-monolith meme. For the record, although I don’t consider myself a learned China pundit, I do have some talent in spotting bullshitters.
http://www.chinahearsay.com/the-great-recession-and-part-ii-of-the-china-model-debate/
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Mucus,

I'm aware of some of that, being probably as far from being well-informed about China as someone who is merely well-informed would be from being a pundit. So I'll alter things a bit: seems to me the description fits an amalgam of totalitarian and authoritarian styles. But I know what I'd call it if I lived there, and I think I know what you might call it if you lived there and couldn't voice a dissenting opinion in reliable safety.

------------------

quote:
Why not now? We are roughly the same amount of time after the Rwanda genocide as we were the Iraq genocide when we invaded. And I bring it up because it makes it pretty darn clear that genocide was only an excuse for invasion (15 years after the fact) when it was convenient. We likely could have stopped it with a word at the time. Saddam needed our support.
*sigh* Why not now...I'm really not sure how many times I need to answer the same question. I've said at least four times now that the humanitarian reasons weren't the only reasons, or the only reason we should've chosen Iraq to intervene. I'm not sure how I can possibly make it clearer at this point.

Please stop addressing points to me on the theme 'why aren't we invading everywhere there has been a human rights atrocity?'
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
What I am asking is what the point it in invading 15 years after the genocide happened? We were not stopping or preventing genocide. How does 15year old genocide give us a right to invade? You are the one giving this as a reason.

quote:
We were even bound, by law, to put a stop to some of the things-genocide-that were going on in Iraq between the two wars.
You do know that the genocide didn't happen between the two wars, right?
 
Posted by Mucus (Member # 9735) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
I think I know what you might call it if you ... couldn't voice a dissenting opinion in reliable safety.

Kind of a strange point here.
If reality was different and China was totalitarian, well, yes I would probably call it totalitarian. But it isn't .. so I won't?
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
quote:
You do know that the genocide didn't happen between the two wars, right?
Really? There was just the one attempt?
 
Posted by Mucus (Member # 9735) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
quote:
There are over 180,000 protests (they are called incidents) ...

... if you lived under a government that had restrictions such as that, well. They wouldn't be 'incidents', let's just say.
Actually, I might address this too.
I probably would call such incidents incidents even if they did happen in Canada because of the extremely broad definitions in use to get that number.

The full analysis is long, but the end result.
quote:
Since I am a statistician by profession, I get very sensitive and sensitized about numbers and their exact meanings. The number that has been bothering me for some time is the number of "mass incidents" in China. This particular number is one of the most frequently cited numbers for China (well, not as often as the total population of 1.3 billion people, about the same as the 123 million Internet users and more than the US-China trade deficit/surplus). The reason for the frequent citations is that it is favored for certain types of discussions, such as the "Coming Collapse of China" theory. For example, it is frequently cited that there were 87,000 "mass incidents", which then gets spun into (365 days) x (24 hours per day) x (60 minutes per hour) / (87,000 incidents) = 6 minutes per incident -- every six minutes, another mass resistance against human rights violation occurs in China! How shocking! And how could a nation stay together at this rate!
...
<long analysis>
...
I do not enjoy being put in this position. I attribute all my grief and discontent to certain Chinese bureaucrats thinking that manipulation and obfuscation is the best approach. It isn't. And I promise that I will remind you of this fact every time that another update is issued.

Meanwhile, I know that I will continue to read about "every six minutes, another mass protest against human rights violation occurs in China" while knowing full well that we may be talking about disco brawls or gambling den raids.

http://www.zonaeuropa.com/20061115_1.htm
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
quote:
You do know that the genocide didn't happen between the two wars, right?
Really? There was just the one attempt?
No. But they were all before the first Gulf War. Certainly atrocities still were happening, but not anything approaching genocide.

So you still haven't answered my question. Why would they give us the right to invade years later to put a stop to things that were already over?
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
Gassing the kurds was a post gulf war thing I believe? Even so I wouldn't call it genocide, it wasn't a systemic effort to eliminate the Kurdish populace, it was a retalliatory strike to break up the Kurdish uprising as brutally as possible; much the same way Muslem's in the Ottoman empire would occassionally go against and brutally crush rebelling ethnic or religious groups until they paid their tithe and were obedient again.

And I concur with Mucus with his China Not Totalitarian analysis.
 
Posted by Dan_Frank (Member # 8488) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
quote:
Are you saying that any attempt at injury - whether or not the offending party has or even can actually cause injury gives us the right to do anything we want to them? Really? Far beyond what is needed to prevent injury to us?

Nope. Not any. Please take note of the comparison I made above. But, y'know, just because they were much less powerful than us doesn't mean we have to respond to warlike provocations with military force they can stand a chance against.

I think this is really interesting, Rakeesh. I think you're completely right, and I think the root of this is similar to the idea that it's wrong to shoot someone who is trying to kill you with a knife (because that's excessive force), just writ large.

Edited for bad UBB

[ January 03, 2012, 10:21 PM: Message edited by: Dan_Frank ]
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
Gassing the Kurds mostly happened between 1986 and 1988. There was an uprising right after the first Gulf War (1991) that was suppressed as well.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:

Technically true, in the intentionally murky language of things like this, they only say stuff like 'shall be punished'. But we signed on to punish it, as did many other members of the UN. And we don't. All the time we don't. We're not doing it right now, in fact, in parts of the world. That's kind of my point. Just wanted to make that clear.

A point that means nothing? Again I'll just point you to my flawed legal system analogy as to why we still obey the laws generally even when justice isn't always fair or quick.

Your case comes down to that there are a "multitude" of "smaller" transgressions that Saddam's Iraq committed that warranted invasion, let's look at them:

1) Iraq is an awful place to live; we've been over this with kmboots I think in the most detail but for reference I believe this has been largely descredited, lots of places are allegedly awful places to live, but we don't invade them all neither is it a security breach of international law; there are processes in place to alleviate these such as through the Economic and Social Council one of the principle organs of the United Nations.

2) Iraq fired on us; Or something similar, you claim you didn't claim this and called me dishonest but it seems you went back to making this claim with the bit I quoted from you above: That morally we have a "right" to do whatever we want to Iraq if they give any sort of casis beli and fire on our forces. Aside from this actually being illegal reasoning under international law (note, rules of engagement and the signed principles to the non use of force and to seek peaceful mediation and armed response as a last resort stuff you don't know about because you've never studied international law) violated the principles of proportionality and various other white papers from international functionalist organizations.

So also descredited!

3) Iraq committed genocide; as with Kmboots case above, Iraq's crimes on this matter where years before 2003 and ceased to be of international concern well before then, also even then it is obvious that when Iraq *was* doing said genocide we *did* eventually put a stop to it with the no fly zones and provided humanitarian assistance to the Kurds (it was under Tony Zioni's command btw, see Battleready).

Then finally the fact is it isn't genocide, it MIGHT be ethnic cleansing, but its clear in intent it was a retalliatory strike against the Kurds for their (US sponsored) uprising against the government of Iraq. Using poison gas is certainly a war crime, but it isn't quite genocide, the intent to wipe out the Kurds isn't clear.

4) Iraq had/working towards possessing WMD! Or looked like they were! They were keeping the inspectors from doing their jobs...


As we note earlier in the thread this isn't the case, Mr Blis reported that Iraq was prompt in allowing access to various sites; Also that Iraq may have been as an intentional policy to "keep the world on its toes" is as I've mentioned a legitimate negotiating tactic and an accepted paradigm in international relations the belief that uncertainty brings about more stability and the rationality of irrationality encourages the negotiator to take you more seriously. Well within their rights as a nation to protect themselves from what we see was the justified fear of American invasion.

5) Our presence in Iraq turned out to be a net good.

Completely and utterly false. Just take a look around the Something Awful discussion and debate forums to see how wrong this is; Iraq is essentially on the verge of collapsing into its constituent parts and the whole thing is pretty much recognized as a "Win" for Iran who is actively playing power politics with various factions against each other. The government of Maliki is seen as Saddam 2.0 and quickly losing power to Kurdish and regionalist sentiment to the point that Exxon doesn't even do business with them but directly with the Kurds and the Shiites.

History will need some more time to confirm this but there doesn't seem to be much doubt.

Considering how armed intervention and invasion should require extremely high standards I just don't see how these together OR individually justify the 2003 invasion of Iraq.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Dan_Frank:
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
quote:
Are you saying that any attempt at injury - whether or not the offending party has or even can actually cause injury gives us the right to do anything we want to them? Really? Far beyond what is needed to prevent injury to us?

Nope. Not any. Please take note of the comparison I made above. [b] But, y'know, just because they were much less powerful than us doesn't mean we have to respond to warlike provocations with military force they can stand a chance against.
[B]

I think this is really interesting, Rakeesh. I think you're completely right, and I think the root of this is similar to the idea that it's wrong to shoot someone who is trying to kill you with a knife (because that's excessive force), just writ large.
Repeat after me, nations are akin to individuals but they are not exactly so and are held to different standards.

You do not respond to some AA missiles on your patrolling aircraft with a nuke or invasion; neither to small arms fire or the like. had iraq tried again to invade Kuweit that might have been a different story, but border skirmishes are almost never scene as an actual casis beli for war except by war mongers.

-Hitler's invasion of Poland.
-Gulf of Tonkin
-Kim il Sung's invasion of S. Korea (this one is actually true)
-Spanish American War

An individual with a knife can do you grievous harm, a third world country with pretentions of great power status short of a nuke cannot come remotely close to the same level of harm to a superpower. It is up to LOCAL forces operating under the rules of engagement to determine the correct response.

*Addendum; it is in fact believed by historians that S. Korea did in fact fire on N. Korea first and raided across the border; however they were some 2 days prior to invasion and 2) even if they gave a pretext for it, invasion was certainly dissaproportionate to the casis beli provided.

Under your logic rakeesh, North Korea would have been FULLY justified in its invasion of South Korea because they have then the moral duty to do whatever they want to South Korea.
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Dan_Frank:
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
quote:
Are you saying that any attempt at injury - whether or not the offending party has or even can actually cause injury gives us the right to do anything we want to them? Really? Far beyond what is needed to prevent injury to us?

Nope. Not any. Please take note of the comparison I made above. [b] But, y'know, just because they were much less powerful than us doesn't mean we have to respond to warlike provocations with military force they can stand a chance against.
[B]

I think this is really interesting, Rakeesh. I think you're completely right, and I think the root of this is similar to the idea that it's wrong to shoot someone who is trying to kill you with a knife (because that's excessive force), just writ large.
More like the idea that it's wrong to shoot someone who's trying to poke you with their finger.

Anyway, I think it's obvious that sometimes you're morally obligated to respond to military force with no force at all. Suppose a crewman on one of the Soviet ships that threatened the blockade during the Cuban missile crisis had fired a gun at an American ship. Firing back would've been a heinous moral error.

In fact, it's a good thing Vasili Arkhipov didn't think like you guys on that fateful day.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Good grief. After explaining myself as plainly as I can twice now, I admit I'm beginning to wonder just why I'm being misunderstood: any nation, should its military be attacked-whether successfully or not-by another while its military is behaving legitimately reserves the right but *not* the obligation to retaliate with military force.

That decision, for example during the Cuban Missile Crisis, might very well come into direct conflict with other rights and responsibilities, but it's still there.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
Your forgetting the key word there: Proportional military force. You can choose not to, but if you do, there is a "right" amount of force to be used according to the rules of engagement. Responding to small arms fire with a nuke would be dissaproportionate.

proportionality should be a guideline to war and this is why the justification to invade iraq has been thoroughly discredited.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
Rakeesh, I understand you; you are just horribly wrong. Inefffectual chest thumping may give us the right to do what we realistically need to do to defend ourselves not to rain down whatever destruction we feel like on a country and its people. If it did, half of Saddam's genocidal actions would also be justified.
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
I admit I'm beginning to wonder just why I'm being misunderstood: any nation, should its military be attacked-whether successfully or not-by another while its military is behaving legitimately reserves the right but *not* the obligation to retaliate with military force.

It's an issue with these guidelines — an issue that exists at any level of being plainly stated. What "rights" to retaliation do they reserve? Are these rights, should you sit down and write them in a book somewhere, governed at all by any degrees of proportional limitation? Does this hard and fast rule have clear delineations of what kind of 'attack' gives the 'attacked' country the ability to claim the 'right' to respond in any way they opt to?

You've distilled the core premise down in order to increase its transmissibility, but the core faults with the idea remain at any level of distillation — probably, they just become more observable. So you think you're being more misunderstood the plainer you speak. Well, that's why. You have explained it as plainly as you can, and it does provide clarification, but mostly in terms of allowing others to take issue with insufficiency as written as a moral system for 'allowing' how we can or are supposed to justify war. This doesn't have to involve my position in it at all, this is just what I can see is happening in relation to being 'misunderstood.'
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
I agree. You're using the word 'right' in such a way that having "the right to do X" apparently doesn't mean that it's morally OK for you to do X. So you're robbing the word of much of its meaning and leaving it up in the air exactly what your statements imply about when the use of force is actually permissible.
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
Not to mention that the caveat "while its military is behaving legitimately" makes it into an unsaleable sociopolitical morass. What is 'legitimate behavior,' and who besides the history book is going to be the arbiter of that, in the 100% of situations wherein the soon-to-be-warring entities dispute the legitimacy of the other party's behavior?

It just .. doesn't work. At all. You could hand it to academic philosophers and have them tear the moral presumptions apart in excruciating detail, due to its lack of larger cogency. More importantly, though, you could hand it to people who study international conflict and they would have a whole list of garish contraindications of the principle, as well as be able to explain why it does not suffice as a practical system for determining the legitimacy of counterattacks.

This all gets well beyond the specter of the Iraq war, which doesn't even really get to benefit from a self-assurance of legitimate behavior, or a free pass for the blanket "right to counterattack" — we have the advantage of analysis in great detail, seeing the actual motivations, convictions, and intents of those who perpetuated it, and knowing that those motivations, convictions, and intents — the real reason why we were committed to this war — are ultimately indefensible, no matter how many post-hoc official justifications they could subsequently try to slap on top of it. A moral methodology for justifying wars that grants a blanket justification for what the bush administration did is — and my wording is precise here — as practically useless as they come.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
quote:
Rakeesh, I understand you; you are just horribly wrong. Inefffectual chest thumping may give us the right to do what we realistically need to do to defend ourselves not to rain down whatever destruction we feel like on a country and its people. If it did, half of Saddam's genocidal actions would also be justified.
You'll have to point out where I said firing on our soldiers gives us the right to rain down 'whatever destruction we feel like'. The comparison to Saddam's genocide attempts is absurd, by the way. Retaliating in response to years of brutality and attempts to wipe your people out clearly don't apply to what I was discussing.

quote:
It's an issue with these guidelines — an issue that exists at any level of being plainly stated. What "rights" to retaliation do they reserve? Are these rights, should you sit down and write them in a book somewhere, governed at all by any degrees of proportional limitation? Does this hard and fast rule have clear delineations of what kind of 'attack' gives the 'attacked' country the ability to claim the 'right' to respond in any way they opt to?

The answer is "it depends". Yeah, not a concrete rule I'm proposing here. Even if I were an extremely educated, well-experienced expert in international law, I'm not sure I could just rattle off even a partial list of the kinds of provocations and responses that take place in the world as it is.

The reason I'm saying I'm being misunderstood is that, more than once, people have asked me, "So you think we can do anything when we're attacked?" or shades of that question, as though I hadn't clearly said something quite different.

quote:
I agree. You're using the word 'right' in such a way that having "the right to do X" apparently doesn't mean that it's morally OK for you to do X. So you're robbing the word of much of its meaning and leaving it up in the air exactly what your statements imply about when the use of force is actually permissible.
We don't use the word 'right' like that all the time? For example, it would be my right to write into my newspaper that black people are inferior to white people, and we ought never ever intermarry, and man we'd all be better off if they moved back to Africa. I would be completely within my rights to do so, and most Americans I think would agree. Morally speaking, should I do that? Of course not. I don't feel I'm robbing the word of much of its meaning at all, I think I'm using the word in a different but commonly accepted way.

quote:
This all gets well beyond the specter of the Iraq war, which doesn't even really get to benefit from a self-assurance of legitimate behavior, or a free pass for the blanket "right to counterattack" — we have the advantage of analysis in great detail, seeing the actual motivations, convictions, and intents of those who perpetuated it, and knowing that those motivations, convictions, and intents — the real reason why we were committed to this war — are ultimately indefensible, no matter how many post-hoc official justifications they could subsequently try to slap on top of it. A moral methodology for justifying wars that grants a blanket justification for what the bush administration did is — and my wording is precise here — as practically useless as they come.
"Blanket justification"? *sigh*
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
Rakeesh, what you said is this.

quote:
For example, morally speaking, if you shoot at us, and we're behaving legally, to me we're allowed to retaliate with our military, if we choose. Open and shut. Once someone has opened fire on us, even if they miss, well they've really just given us the decision over what to do with them. It then becomes a question of pragmatism and efficiency, to me, what we should do afterwards.
Do you want to amend that?

Also, you still haven't given me a reason why we had a moral obligation to invade 15 (or 12) years after the attacks on the Kurds.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Nope. You're interpreting 'if we choose' to mean 'we've got a totally blank check, morally speaking, to choose what we like'. I've already spoken about that: whether and how we use our military are questions that must be asked after as well as before provocations.

As for the Kurds, alright, you're interpreting the shall we say shenanigans between the two wars as non-genocidal acts, using the word 'attacks'. *shrug* Alright, that's an outlook that can be reached reasonably. If I were a Kurd, though, I know what I would think it was.

And I don't think anywhere I've gone so far as to say we had a moral obligation to invade just because of genocide, even though we are bound to put an effective stop to it where we can. I think I've gone to substantial lengths to say that when something such as that exists alongside other criteria-firing on our soldiers, vitally important region, supporting terrorism-then the case becomes more compelling.

Is this the part where people insist I'm saying we had a right to do whatever we want to Iraq some more?
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
quote:
I think I've gone to substantial lengths to say that when something such as that exists alongside other criteria-firing on our soldiers, vitally important region, supporting terrorism-then the case becomes more compelling.
Don't you think that kind of reasoning, where "all these little factors combine" to form the casus belli, is a little overly slippery and easy to abuse as a justification for war?

I posted about this a little ways back:

quote:
I understand the view, but you have to grant that it's a difficult one to argue against except in a piecemeal way. The "WMDs" by themselves weren't enough, the human rights weren't enough, the history wasn't enough by itself, but somehow each of these gives us a little bit of reason to invade Iraq, and together these little reasons add up to be enough to tip the scale and make invasion the right choice.

It's a very tough view to argue against. If the weight/importance you assign to one of these considerations (weapons, human rights, international lawbreaking) is a little bit off, that by itself could determine whether your view is right or wrong.

I'm not saying that makes your view false, but it does make it a very tough view to evaluate. In general, I don't like the idea of our government starting wars of choice on the basis of that kind of slippery reasoning, because it makes it too easy to trick yourself and others into making a bad decision. If you want to start a fight, your reasons for starting it should clear the bar by a wide margin. The default assumption should, if possible, be peace.

As a point about the dialectic here, too, when we attack you on one of the particular points (human rights, firing on our aircraft, WMDs), you don't need to interpret that as us falsely imputing to you the view that that one factor was sufficient reason for war. What we're trying to do is attack the idea that that factor was important enough to even contribute much to a justification. At least, that's my view: none of these factors was anywhere near worth starting a fight over, so even summing them all up we didn't have much of a case.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
Rakeesh, I am not diminishing the attacks on the Kurds; they were terrible and genocidal. I am saying that they weren't an excuse for invasion because they were over long before we invaded. We couldn't put an effective stop to them because we were 15 years too late to stop them. The Halabja attack was in March of 1988. The al-Anfal Campaign ended in 1989. It wasn't going on in 2003 so we couldn't have stopped it.
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
Destineer,

Well, yeah, actually I do think it's prone to abuse. Though I dispute the qualifier 'little'. It seems to me, though, that humans will find a way.

quote:
As a point about the dialectic here, too, when we attack you on one of the particular points (human rights, firing on our aircraft, WMDs), you don't need to interpret that as us falsely imputing to you the view that that one factor was sufficient reason for war. What we're trying to do is attack the idea that that factor was important enough to even contribute much to a justification. At least, that's my view: none of these factors was anywhere near worth starting a fight over, so even summing them all up we didn't have much of a case.
Attacking one of the particular points is fine-great, even. I'm glad to discuss it. But when I get asked, repeatedly, to explain why the human rights situation was enough to invade, full stop, after I've explained more than once that that was not the only reason I thought it was justified in Iraq...well.

---------

quote:
Rakeesh, I am not diminishing the attacks on the Kurds; they were terrible and genocidal. I am saying that they weren't an excuse for invasion because they were over long before we invaded. We couldn't put an effective stop to them because we were 15 years too late to stop them. The Halabja attack was in March of 1988. The al-Anfal Campaign ended in 1989. It wasn't going on in 2003 so we couldn't have stopped it.
Those were not the only attacks by Saddam against the Kurds. I'm referring to those that came later. Were they explicitly acknowledged by the world as genocidal attacks? Well, no (which begs the question of when the world does acknowledge a genocide is going on). Would I have felt they were genocidal in overall goal if I were a Kurd? Probably, yeah.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
What attacks, specifically, are you talking about?
 
Posted by Rakeesh (Member # 2001) on :
 
The response to the Kurdish uprising in 91 (or was it 92?) that led to the flight of the Kurds throughout Iraq towards the border, in which many thousands died. After the failed uprising, the places the Kurds lived, they didn't live there anymore. One might say they had been 'cleansed' from the region. I suspect this will be said not to have been another attempt at genocide, and I'm happy to be disagreed with on this. I'm pretty unhappy with the way the world handles genocide or even things that approach genocide.

To ask you a question, though-would you have supported military intervention, in Iraq, to stop the attempts at genocide in the late 80s? Please note that that is the question I'm asking. I'm not asking about the US's indirect but very real enabling of those efforts, which I've never denied and have thought since I knew of them were a disgrace on our part.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
Okay. That was in March of 1991. They reached a settlement in April of 1991. Those were the attacks that I was noting as being 12 years before we invaded. So, again, how were we stopping them by invading?

ETA: To answer your other question, I doubt we would have had to intervene militarily to stop the genocidal attacks in the 1980s.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
I would like to point out again that they do not particularly meet the criteria to be called/considered genocide. If we did then the situation in Gaza could probably also be considered "genocidal". There wasn't a systemic attempt to wipe out the Kurds, just brutally crush an armed ressurection, still war crimes but genocide is pushing it.

To answer the broader question though I feel that assuming it was a part of the officially sanctioned mandate and the response was proportional then sure; but it wouldn't need to be invasion. no fly zones were pretty effective in stopping Saddam post 1991 can't see why it still wouldn't be the case a little earlier.

We for example have virtually no boots on the ground in Libya, a few intelligence operatives doesn't make a commitment, it's all support and air strikes I support the Libya intervention it has a clear UN mandate, it is a coalition struggle, there was an ongoing humanitarian crisis and a viable military-political response.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
Blayne, they were devastating attacks and, despite being a part of the larger Iran-Iraq war, could certainly be called genocidal. The point is that they were over so stopping them could not be reason to invade Iraq.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
Under the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide.
Adopted by the General Assembly of the United Nations on 9 December 1948
Genocide is defined as:

quote:

In the present Convention, genocide means any of the following acts committed with intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnical, racial or religions group, as such:

(a) Killing members of the group;
(b) Causing serious bodily or mental harm to members of the group;
(c) Deliberately inflicting on the group conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part;
(d) Imposing measures intended to prevent births within the group;
(e) Forcibly transferring children of the group to another group.


Saddam's war crimes against the Kurds I do not believe meet this definition, as best as we can see is an intent to crush an armed insurrection with dissaproportionate and indiscriminant force, there is no evidence that Saddam intended to kill all of the Kurds or destroy them as a cultural and ethnic-religious group, but to suppress an armed uprising to maintain power.

Using the term genocidal ie to say "something like genocide occurred" is a slippary slope and akin to the "Analogy to the crime of Aparthied in Israeli Occupied Territories" where people use emotionally charged language where it might not be appropriate. War crimes sure, there's been some trials to suggest that, but I cannot through some cursury searching find anything approaching to the language of "genocide" in anything the ICC, ICJ or the European Union Human Rights Commission.
 
Posted by kmbboots (Member # 8576) on :
 
Blayne, this is a distraction. Whether or not the crimes were genocide doesn't matter to the invasion because they were over. Arguing this point will just allow Rakeesh to avoid the question of how an invasion in 2003 was supposed to be about preventing or stopping attacks that happened over a decade earlier.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
Then can we just use the word war crimes then? But one of Rakeesh's points was "we are obligated to stop genocide" well, pointing out that not only is the USA *not* in fact obligated to do so, but what Iraq did isn't even legally defined as genocide both serve the purpose to refute his argument imho.

My argument can even be considered in support of yours, not only was it *over x many years ago* and nothing to be "stopped" by invasion in 2003, but if they are not even genocide then that is double the reason to not invade.

Military intervene at the time of the acts in question while a completely different debate would be acceptable in theory, but neither here nor there because there was, as you suggest no such war crimes taking place in 2003 that we needed to drive right in and stop guns blazing.
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
I meant to say, about rights...

quote:
We don't use the word 'right' like that all the time? For example, it would be my right to write into my newspaper that black people are inferior to white people, and we ought never ever intermarry, and man we'd all be better off if they moved back to Africa. I would be completely within my rights to do so, and most Americans I think would agree. Morally speaking, should I do that? Of course not. I don't feel I'm robbing the word of much of its meaning at all, I think I'm using the word in a different but commonly accepted way.
I agree with you, if we're talking about legal rights. A distinction that's often drawn is, if you have a legal right to do something, it's not illegal to do it; whereas if you have a moral right, it's not immoral to do it.

My impression was that you were talking about moral rights, since the arguments you were making sounded moral and not legal in nature.
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Rakeesh:
"Blanket justification"? *sigh*

Yes! As written, that's what you've given us! I note specifically that this is what I find when I root around for what is causing frustration with 'misunderstanding.'
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Mucus:
Wikipedia has a pretty good description of the difference between totalitarianism and authoritarianism.

quote:
According to Karl Lowenstein, "the term ' Authoritarian' denotes a political organization in which the single power holder - an individual person or "dictator", an assembly, a committee, a junta, or a party monopolizes political power. The term " Authoritarian" refers rather to the structure of government than to the structure of society. An Authoritarian regime confines itself to political control of the state.

The governmental techniques of a totalitarian regime are necessarily Authoritarian. But a totalitarian regime does much more. It attempts to mold the private life, soul, and morals of citizens to a dominant ideology. The officially proclaimed ideology penetrates into every nook and cranny of society; its ambition is total.


Daddy China likes to do stuff to make this a much muddier issue. Or funnier, if you don't mind the end result of such a huge, corrupt government being excruciatingly terrified of social change and growing dissent.
 
Posted by Mucus (Member # 9735) on :
 
Well, there's a couple of issues there bundled together.

First, there's what the government wants and what actually happens. There's no doubt that there are elements of the CCP that want totalitarian control but then there's the reality that this kind of campaign has come and gone in the past and pretty much failed.

Second, individuals in the government are undeniably corrupt, yet that is actually one of the things that distinguishes an authoritarian government from a totalitarian government.

Third, the government in China is actually what I would argue an example of small government rather than huge government. There are large gaping holes in the types of programmes and regulations that the Chinese government offers as opposed to other countries such as, no universal healthcare, no welfare, no old age security, little in the way of food or environmental regulation, etc. Government spending by GDP in China is only half that of the United States with the end result that the government actually has a very small role in organizing the regular day-to-day life of an average citizen which is what I would consider another dividing line.
 
Posted by The Rabbit (Member # 671) on :
 
I don't see much point in debating whether or not China is totalitarian or authoritarian when that distinction itself is controversial.

As best I can tell, the distinction was invented to rationalize the USs support for oppressive non-marxist dictators during the cold war. It was a post-hoc rationalization then and it continues to serve as a post-hoc rationalization for doing things like trading opening with China but continuing the embargo on Cuba.

The truth is that governments don't fit into any ridged academic classifications. Each one is unique. Trying to decide whether we should call China authoritarian or totalitarian is an exercise in splitting hairs.

Today's China is clearly far less oppressive than it was during the cultural revolution, its also clearly still denies people basic human rights we take for granted in the West.
 
Posted by Mucus (Member # 9735) on :
 
Well, not surprisingly I have a different view on the matter.

I don't think the distinction between totalitarianism and authoritarianism is interesting because of human rights (after all, as we've seen, a democracy is perfectly capable of legalising things like torture or indefinite detention of citizens) but is interesting because of how people understand the relationship between people and their government.

To go back to the simple example that was brought up by the law professor, news coverage in the US tends to say things like "China does/decides X" while it breaks down news about the US into "Congress decides X" or "State Y does X" or "Americans do X" when these kinds of distinctions are actually more important in China rather than less precisely because of how totalitarian rule has broken down into cliques of authoritarian rule.

But it does further than that, when we start talking about the individual differences on that table, such as how successful the government is at spreading ideology, one of the characteristic points of modern Chinese life is precisely how there is no dominant ideology. Which brings in questions like, where does the government go from here when no one really believes it's officially stated ideology?

Likewise, you can through each of the issues in modern china such as housing, infrastructure, economic policy, corruption, or personal points of interest such as the position of Hong Kong and the struggle of Cantonese and you'll find that a model of China as a unified totalitarian state is simply misleading. Understanding the balance of power between different authoritarian cliques in the government, provincial/city powerbases, and a restless population, both middle class and poor is essential to really knowing what's going on.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by The Rabbit:
I don't see much point in debating whether or not China is totalitarian or authoritarian when that distinction itself is controversial.

As best I can tell, the distinction was invented to rationalize the USs support for oppressive non-marxist dictators during the cold war. It was a post-hoc rationalization then and it continues to serve as a post-hoc rationalization for doing things like trading opening with China but continuing the embargo on Cuba.

The truth is that governments don't fit into any ridged academic classifications. Each one is unique. Trying to decide whether we should call China authoritarian or totalitarian is an exercise in splitting hairs.

Today's China is clearly far less oppressive than it was during the cultural revolution, its also clearly still denies people basic human rights we take for granted in the West.

You make it sound like academia is the foreign policy tool of the United States, this is certainly heinously incorrect. 1) the distinction matters because it clearly illustrates that some people really do not know what they are talking about (because it is not controversial, it is commonly taught in University political science courses) and 2) To show more broadly that the reasoning in question is an erroneous generalization of no relevance or contextual importance to the conversation at hand. The key point is that raising a completely unrelated issue served nothing but to serve into deflection tactics.
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
Stop saying "deflection tactics." You have worn it through the floor.
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by The Rabbit:
I don't see much point in debating whether or not China is totalitarian or authoritarian when that distinction itself is controversial.

There isn't much of one. china's government is totalitarian in creed and intent. You can only get away with calling it non-totalitarian because it's very bad at it despite still attempting it and exerting pressure based on its obviously totalitarian desires.

I brought it up because it's interesting when put in relation to your Wikipedia quote, Mucus: "The governmental techniques of a totalitarian regime are necessarily Authoritarian. But a totalitarian regime does much more. It attempts to mold the private life, soul, and morals of citizens to a dominant ideology. "

According to that definition (with power word of the day 'attempts') you can easily make a case for totalitarian against authoritarian. In what turns out to be a startlingly meaningless definitional debate.

But that means only that it's not fair to say that china is "clearly not totalitarian" or "clearly authoritarian" —

idc much beyond that.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Samprimary:
Stop saying "deflection tactics." You have worn it through the floor.

Screw off? If I say a true thing a hundred times, it doesn't matter if I say it 10, 100, or 10,000 because it is still true. You have certainly provided no evidence to support that is not true.

Your pedantic ignorance of basic and essential political science concepts continues to be unimpressive and lackluster. After all what is your best evidence? Nitpicking the grammarical wording of a wikipedia article?

One government suppresses human rights, so does another, therefor they are the same!

Undermining Democracy considers and defines China as Authoritarian.


quote:

When asked not long ago about the effectiveness of the European Union’s posture toward an increasingly assertive and illiberal Russia, former Czech president and communist-era dissident Vaclav Havel argued that the European democracies had lost their voice and needed to take a firmer, more open stand against abuses by their large and strategically important neighbor to the east.*

He warned that today’s Russia is advancing a new form of authoritarianism, with methods of control that are significantly more sophisticated than the classic totalitarian techniques of the Soviet Union.

Finally, the former Czech leader lamented that as democratic states increasingly gave primacy to economic ties in their relations with Russia, the promotion of human rights was being shunted to the margins. The Kremlin was intensifying its repression of the political opposition, independent journalists, and civil society organizations, but the response from established democracies had softened to the point of inaudibility.

Havel was referring only to Russia, but he could just as easily have been speaking of China, another authoritarian country whose high rates of economic growth and rapid integration into the global trading system have had the effect of pushing the issues of democratic governance and human rights to a back burner. China, like Russia, has modernized and adapted its authoritarianism, forging a system that combines impressive economic development with an equally impressive apparatus of political control.

A pro-democracy website making the distinction between the two? Colour me surprised.

[ January 06, 2012, 08:41 AM: Message edited by: Blayne Bradley ]
 
Posted by BlackBlade (Member # 8376) on :
 
OK so China is a previously totalitarian now authoritarian government, who would with the weakest of nudges go back to the former. Hooray?

I heard this one yesterday,

What's the difference between pollution statistics and human rights lawyers?

Beijing is considering releasing its pollution statistics.
 
Posted by Jake (Member # 206) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by BlackBlade:

What's the difference between pollution statistics and human rights lawyers?

Beijing is considering releasing its pollution statistics.

:: snort ::
 
Posted by The Rabbit (Member # 671) on :
 
quote:
) the distinction matters because it clearly illustrates that some people really do not know what they are talking about (because it is not controversial, it is commonly taught in University political science courses)
A lot of things that are taught in undergraduate courses are controversial.
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Blayne Bradley:
quote:
Originally posted by Samprimary:
Stop saying "deflection tactics." You have worn it through the floor.

Screw off? If I say a true thing a hundred times, it doesn't matter if I say it 10, 100, or 10,000 because it is still true.
It's not; we have multiple examples in this thread where you throw the term out inappropriately against someone who's not trying to engage in 'deflection tactics,' and then do something suspiciously like deflection tactics. Certainly well more deflective than what you had accused others of, too. Speaking of which, you still haven't responded to my challenge.

quote:
. After all what is your best evidence? Nitpicking the grammarical wording of a wikipedia article?

One government suppresses human rights, so does another, therefor they are the same!

Nitpicking the what? My best 'evidence?'

Anyway, I'm not saying that. Man up and re-read my post.
 
Posted by Mucus (Member # 9735) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Samprimary:
According to that definition (with power word of the day 'attempts') you can easily make a case for totalitarian against authoritarian. In what turns out to be a startlingly meaningless definitional debate.

I think that is just because that sentence stripped of context is misleading. It goes on to say "The officially proclaimed ideology penetrates into every nook and cranny of society; its ambition is total."

Well, what is the official ideology? I think it's trivial to realize that they gave up on "communism" a long time ago and that nothing has really replaced it. "No matter if it is a white cat or a black cat; as long as it can catch mice, it is a good cat" and all that. I don't consider the pragmatic propaganda that justifies the CCP being in power in and of itself an ideology.

Ironically, I think the only way that one can rationalize that "attempts" applies to modern day China IS to buy into the government's propaganda department and accept at face value their assertions. The reality is that there's very little ideology that affects regular everyday society and that their "ambition," far from total, is actually very constrained.
 
Posted by TomDavidson (Member # 124) on :
 
quote:
I don't consider the pragmatic propaganda that justifies the CCP being in power in and of itself an ideology.
I think that's unnecessarily narrow; in fact, requiring a totalitarian government to care more about ideology than remaining in power actually requires that totalitarian governments be among the most idealistic on Earth, if not completely fictional.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
More pot stirring, what evidence have you actually presented that China is in fact totalitarian and "not" authoritarian? You looked at the same wikipedia Mucus linked, that states clearly that there is a difference, and then seize upon "intent" and more or less make up some generalized intent onto the whole of CCP and the government of China as "intending" to be totalitarian, but there isn't evidence to substantiate this. I presented a link to an Pro Democracy Activism website that also makes the clear distinction, are YOU going to man up and admit that there's a difference?

Sure, it *is* a meaningless debate, just as how Rakeesh's original stupid comment that I have a "high tolerance for totalitarian regimes" was also wrong, meaningless, wildly out of context, and irrelevant.

But you were never going to call out Rakeesh for that were you?

quote:

A lot of things that are taught in undergraduate courses are controversial.

Not when it's presented as say, the definition of something, in which case any controversy is fairly fictional.

Hey look, math teaches 1+1=2, let's disagree! teach both sides! Controversy created!

That Authoritarianism and Totalitarianism are different and distinct political systems is a commonly accepted academic fact.

quote:

who would with the weakest of nudges go back to the former. Hooray?

Except that it can't so there's nothing to nudge?
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by TomDavidson:
quote:
I don't consider the pragmatic propaganda that justifies the CCP being in power in and of itself an ideology.
I think that's unnecessarily narrow; in fact, requiring a totalitarian government to care more about ideology than remaining in power actually requires that totalitarian governments be among the most idealistic on Earth, if not completely fictional.
Its pretty clear that authoritarianism/totalitarianism is a broad spectrum of where on the extreme end is totalitarianism, which seeks to control all facets of private life and subordinate everything to the will and whim and glory of the state; a "human boot on the face of humanity forever" of where even private thought is controlled. Authoritarianism doesn't dare go that far which is why China is authoritarian, it doesn't dare try to, it trades private control for political control.
 
Posted by Mucus (Member # 9735) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by TomDavidson:
I think that's unnecessarily narrow; in fact, requiring a totalitarian government to care more about ideology than remaining in power ...

I don't think I said that a totalitarian government has to care "more" about ideology than power.

Rather, I think a totalitarian government needs to at least take some concrete steps towards putting an ideology into practice. Propaganda on its own isn't sufficient.

One reflection of this is to see what kind of influence governments place on foreign governments. European governments usually tie aid in Africa to democratic reform for example. After Mao, the Chinese government isn't pushing Communism in Africa. It isn't even pushing the opposite of democratic reform (authoritarian reform?). Rather, it doesn't care what a government does as long as it is stable. I think thats basically a self-reflection.
 
Posted by Destineer (Member # 821) on :
 
You know, by this definition Oceania from 1984 would not count as "totalitarian," since its ideology was only a convenient front to enable the higher party members to hold power.
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
Oceania is clearly totalitarian because it takes concrete steps to control all aspects of private life, thought and will of its citizenry towards the glory of the state and the mythology of Big Brother. It's implied the Inner-Inner party are doing it For The Evulz but its clear that there conceptualization of power is the obliteration of any and all forms of private thought that could be contrary to love to the state. It is not enough to shoot Winston, they have to make Winston LOVE them before shooting him.

The difference I think is most starkly depicted between the differences between 1984; bleak totalitarian dystopia of where all economic and political freedoms are not merely suppressed, but erased from history and language itself and Huxley's Brave New World where every citizen is given jetpacks and all the drugs and sex they want in exchange for self determination.

To simplify, one form of oppression is total up from on high and all encompassing, they do what they want because they can. Authoritarians have to instead bargain for power, promising the people something concrete, the good of the many at the expense of the few. Totalitarians are the expense of the many for the good of the few.
 
Posted by Mucus (Member # 9735) on :
 
As for me *shrug* I'm not terribly concerned with the classification of fictional governments.

I do find interesting the differences between totalitarian governments like North Korea and Mao's China which often do/did put ideology before practical results and which didn't recognize limits on state power as opposed to modern day China which is pragmatic and contains a Hong Kong which has remained largely unchanged for a decade and a half.
 
Posted by TomDavidson (Member # 124) on :
 
So you're saying that an authoritarian government is a totalitarian government that can no longer get away with it? [Smile]
 
Posted by Blayne Bradley (Member # 8565) on :
 
Just as far as one could say that republic is a government for a country too big to be a democracy? That there be overlapping spectrum here on some facets here was never denied, but none of this was really the point in the first place.
 
Posted by Mucus (Member # 9735) on :
 
TomDavidson:
Well, I would say that Hong Kong wasn't an authoritarian government under the British occupation because it somehow transitioned from totalitarian rule.

Likewise, I wouldn't necessarily say that Hong Kong retains the elections that were introduced at the last minute by the British because the CCP couldn't "get away" with removing them and going back to what it previously was.
 
Posted by Samprimary (Member # 8561) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Blayne Bradley:
Just as far as one could say that republic is a government for a country too big to be a democracy?

Where's a republic that's too big to be a democracy?
 
Posted by Dan_Frank (Member # 8488) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Jake:
quote:
Originally posted by BlackBlade:

What's the difference between pollution statistics and human rights lawyers?

Beijing is considering releasing its pollution statistics.

:: snort ::
[ROFL]
 


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