posted
That’s right, we don’t have TV, so, are there any good, live sights? Ones that will update automatically and what not? We (I) do have radio, so that’ll be on, but does anyone now some good websites for live results?
posted
WTOP is the local news station for the DC metro area. You can listen online; they have connections with CBS, so around 2000EST or so, they'll start getting in the results.
posted
I get most of my news from my LiveJournal friends list, believe it or not. Most news tends to hit there rather quickly.
electoral-vote is showing a neck-to-neck race, with Kerry slightly in the lead. The site hasn't been updated in several hours, though, so I don't know how accurate this is. dailykos has some exit polls up that are predicting Kerry right now, though they caution that exit polls may not be accurate. And there's always Google News. Those are the sites I've been hitting, along with the LJ friends list.
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posted
A friend of mine is a pollster, and has been updating his LiveJournal with numbers from various sites as he gets them. I would link directly to his journal, but he friendslocks everything so it wouldn't be very useful. Instead I will copy some stuff he has posted.
Posted 2:15, from the dailykos site:
quote:
from dailykos, which got 'em someplace else. READ THE DISCLAIMER. DO NOT REJOICE YET.
Kerry/Bush, Kerry leads in bold. No idea why some states are listed twice.
AZ: 45/55 CO: 48/51 LA: 42/57 MI: 51/48 WI: 52/48 PA: 60/40 OH: 52/48 FL: 51/48 MI: 51/47 NM: 50/48 MN: 58/40 WI: 52/43 IA: 49/49 NH: 57/41 In 2000, the early numbers favored Bush. In 2002, exit polling was terribly innacurate. Exit polling also doesn't account for absentee and early ballots. And it's still early in the day. PA and MN will be much closer than these number indicate.
So please, please take with a giant grain of sand.
Posted 3:18:
quote: No new numbers, but from a dailykos post, the reason some states appeared twice:
AZ 45-55 CO 48-51 LA 42-57 MI 51-48 WI 52-48 PA 60-40 OH 52-48 FL 51-48
A second round of polls, conducted by the Kerry campaign, show similar trends, also suggesting the senator will will New Mexico and New Hampshire.
Ohio - African American precincts are performing at 106% what we expected, based on historical numbers. Hispanic precincts are at 144% what we expected. Precincts that went for Gore are turning out 8% higher then those that went Bush in 2000. Democratic base precincts are performing 15% higher than GOP base precincts. Florida - Dem base precincts are performing 14% better than Bush base precincts. In precincts that went for Gore, they are doing 6% better than those that went for Bush. African American precincts at 109%, Hispanic precincts at 106%.
Pennsylvania - African American precincts at 102% of expectations, Hispanics at 136% of expectations. The Gore precincts are doing 4 percent better than bush precincts.
Michigan - Democratic base precincts are 8% better than GOP base states. Gore precincts are 5% better than Bush.
Posted 4:40
quote: Wonkette posts new numbers. No idea WHEN these are from, but pretty ****ing excited about them.
9) Sit outside. See what your neighbors are doing. If the guy with the Kerry Signs starts crying, Bush is winning. If the guy with the Bush sign starts praying, Kerry is winning.
If they both come out side and embrace, then shoot themselves, Ralph Nader won.
8) Build a time machine, go into the future by 20 years, got to the nearest library and see if we've figured out who won yet.
7)Radio?
6) Go outside and check for smoke signals.
5) Go to the nearest liquor store and do a straw poll of who is buying the most alcohol. That would be the losers. (Sure the winners will want to drink, but the losers will drink to forget)
4) Go to Boston and get a hotel outside the Democratic Party Celebration. If Kerry starts loosing, the lights will go out early. If it is going to be close, or if he is winning, then the black helicopters will arrive and he'll be arrested as an "Enemy Supporter" and disappear from public view.
3) Bug the U-Haul offices in Washington DC. Whoever starts calling them about moving furniture will allow you to figure out who, if anyone, is moving into DC, and who is moving out.
2)Go to a bar with a TV. BE WARNED, Mind-numbing drugs and election results may cause one to slip into a coma, and like it.
1) Go to Drudge/Limbaugh/etc conservative radio web-sites. They are already saying Bush is the winner, and will continue to promote the undeniable assertion that President Bush is still in the White House, Iraqi's love us, The EU doesn't matter, and Global Warning is both an irresistible force that cannot be changed and a fraud made up by greed hack-scientists, no matter who is in the White house come February.
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posted
yahoo.com has a nice little map on the front page that parallels exactly what they're saying on the news. Hope that helps
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