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Author Topic: Meta-law of forum threads
King of Men
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Godwin's is the best known, but there are many laws suggesting that the probability of something approaches one as a forum thread's length increases. I therefore propose KoM's observation: "As the length of a thread increases, the probability that someone will refer to a law stating the the probability of something approaches one as thread increases, approaches one".
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lem
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What do you call it when you break KoM's Observation by starting a thread with KoM's Observation instead of waiting for the natural tendencies of the thread's length to increase the probability that someone will refer to a law stating the probability of something approaches one as thread increases, approaches one?
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King of Men
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That doesn't break the observation at all; the observation says nothing about the speed of the increase, nor about the starting point. This thread, indeed, demonstrates that there is a non-zero probability of getting a "KoM's-Observation-post" in the very first post of a thread, but that is not in conflict with the actual observation.
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Blayne Bradley
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quote:
Originally posted by lem:
What do you call it when you break KoM's Observation by starting a thread with KoM's Observation instead of waiting for the natural tendencies of the thread's length to increase the probability that someone will refer to a law stating the probability of something approaches one as thread increases, approaches one?

You fail probability forever.
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Fusiachi
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quote:
Originally posted by Blayne Bradley:
quote:
Originally posted by lem:
What do you call it when you break KoM's Observation by starting a thread with KoM's Observation instead of waiting for the natural tendencies of the thread's length to increase the probability that someone will refer to a law stating the probability of something approaches one as thread increases, approaches one?

You fail probability forever.
... Forever? Why, the odds of that are...
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Blayne Bradley
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Its a tv tropes reference.
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Raymond Arnold
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I'm pretty sure this law already exists, although I don't have a source on hand for it. I also always thought these laws were remarkably useless since, by definition, the longer a thread goes on the more likely anyone is to mention anything, period, so unless you actually have a more accurate statement than "the chance goes up" you haven't stated anything unique to Nazis or whatever.
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Dogbreath
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quote:
Originally posted by Blayne Bradley:
Its a tv tropes reference.

I never saw it coming.
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Orincoro
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quote:
Originally posted by lem:
What do you call it when you break KoM's Observation by starting a thread with KoM's Observation instead of waiting for the natural tendencies of the thread's length to increase the probability that someone will refer to a law stating the probability of something approaches one as thread increases, approaches one?

That's the Hitler Maneuver. Very new. Very controversial.
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