posted
I thought it would be cool to write down what we predict and then check it out later. The winner takes all!
Obvious spoilers.
My predictions for things to come:
Jon Snow didn't die. That's because I had predicted different things for Jon Snow. Somehow I thought that his mother is important and maybe she was a Targaryen. It is even possible that Ned Stark wasn't his father after all and his father is even more important. That would make him a good candidate for Azor Ahai. No, he can't be dead.
I think Azor Ahai candidates can be narrowed down to: Daenerys, Aegon VI, Jon Snow and Stannis. But, except for Jon Snow, that would be extremely predictable so I'm not that certain... That's why if I had to bet, that would be Jon the Bastard.
I think Robb Stark conceived a child, probably Eddard Stark II.
I think Arya Stark will kill someone important, I think it might be King Tommen Lannister/Baratheon.
Stannis will win the battle of Winterfell.
That rider on a moose that helped Bran is Benjen Stark.
Bran will control a Dragon.
The wall will go down, releasing Jon Snow from his vows and allowing him to become a king or something.
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My thoughts on the whole Jon Snow thing are that he is actually Lyanna's son, conceived with Rhaegar Targaryen. In the first book whenever he thought of Lyanna he would hear her say, "Promise me, Ned..." but we never find out what that promise is. I'm betting he promised that he would take care of her son as his own. That way Ned's honor never actually was impeached. No one could ever believe he actually fathered a bastard, so I'm betting
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I like the idea of Jon becoming the king. I always thought it would be a nice ending. I'd also like to see Tyrion become his hand, which would be a nice circle because in the first book they meet and have that discussion on the balcony, which sets the tone for Jon's entire story.
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I find it a little odd that you two seem to be claiming credit for Jon Snow Rhaegar/Lyanna theories that have been floating around for years.
Anyways, there's a popular idea that Jon will warg his way out of that situation. Into one of the frozen corpses, or Ghost, etc. I think that's right.
I bet there won't be an Azor Ahai. I think the whole Red God thing is just a mix of newly potent magic and religious fanaticism. All the specific doctrines are just BS.
Arya will be sent after a sympathetic character, like Tyrion or Dany. Maybe the new little Targaryen, I forget his name. The one from the boat.
Stannis lost at Winterfell. It's hard to make sense of Ramsey's letter otherwise.
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So I just saw that most of my post disappeared somehow. That's frustrating. I had written about twice as much more than that. Funny thing is that it actually makes sense where it cut off. Weird.
Anyways, yeah, to my credit I theorized that about Jon Snow quite a while ago without knowing that it was a popular idea. But I'll try to refrain from "taking credit", for your sake Foust.
Other thoughts I had in my previous post: I wonder if Bran could hop into one the dragons? Also, what is up with the Frankenstein thing that the guy (I forget his name) built in the basement with what seems to be Gregor's body? It just seemed a bit out of left field...
As for there not being an Azor Ahai, I think that someone will get that title (maybe Jon, maybe not), whether or not there is any real substance to it. But to be honest, while I'm fine with questioning if Melisandre's stuff bears any weight, I'm more skeptical of doubting Rhaegar and The Prince that was Promised. Not that Rhaegar necessarily knew everything or knew what he was doing, but I just don't buy that George R. R. Martin would set up this enigmatic character who seems so prescient and then say "Oh, well, he was actually completely wrong and ultimately unimportant."
Edit: Of course that makes the assumption that Azor Ahai reborn and the Prince that was Promised are the same person, but I have a hard time seeing otherwise.
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quote:Originally posted by Foust: Stannis lost at Winterfell. It's hard to make sense of Ramsey's letter otherwise.
My God, I completely forgot about that letter! I just thought that it 's high time for him to win something. He is like a pain in the ass for the major players since the naval battle, nothing more. I thought he should be given more, he is not half bad... Still, maybe there's more to this letter.
This Lyanna's theory seems really interesting, I completely forgot about her. I guess I wasn't paying that much attention to the first books.
I don't know if this Ahai prophecy is just the Red God's thing. Just before the old blind man from the Wall died, he was saying sth about being wrong all the way, that he assumed the prophecy refers to a male and that Daenerys is the one. So that's what I mean.
Strangelove, don't take my dragon thing! By "control" I meant "hop in" exactly.
I wonder if Tommen dies in the next book. His rule is so very shaky, new pretenders landing in Westeros and all. And he is supposed to die before Cersei.
By the way, I completely stopped liking Tyrion. He is not a good guy in any way now, I just couldn't justify his patricide, especially that his father promised to help him out of the jail. It seemed a little too much. He is obviously not at ease with it, cause he keeps speaking about being good with a crossbow, but still- what's there to like? I definitely wouldn't like to see him succeed in anything. I want him dead.
Many people like the Arya part, but I really think it's one of the worst. I have a feeling that her hatred towards all of her "prayer" people wasn't justified enough. Why would a normal person want to kill so much for so long and dedicate one's life to do it? I mean, maybe she is just evil, that's all. So I would like her to be sent to kill someone important and then get killed in the process- I like your idea about Daenerys- she seemed to be quite good in dispelling illusions and stuff. But maybe only in the series, 'cause I forgot how it went in the books.
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quote:He is not a good guy in any way now, I just couldn't justify his patricide...
Wow, his patricide wasn't even his biggest crime in that same chapter. Are you forgetting him strangling the young girl to death?
The patricide I think was completely justified. His father arranged a gang rape of his wife and convinced him that she was a whore. That's damn near the worst thing I can imagine a father doing.
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quote:He is not a good guy in any way now, I just couldn't justify his patricide...
The patricide I think was completely justified. His father arranged a gang rape of his wife and convinced him that she was a whore.
+1
He not only convinced him of it, but made him watch as the castle guard quasi raped her, then made him have sex with her, and pay her for it, basically having her husband make her into a whore. I shed no tears for Tywin.
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Ramsay lied in the letter. I think Stannis won. I will say that the joy of Martin screwing with us so much is that you really can't assume it's going to work out. You can't assume Jon survived, and you can't assume that Stannis won. Shit could just as easily fall apart.
But I think it'd be a bridge too far.
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Just out of curiosity, does anyone happen to remember all of the evil things Tyrion did? I haven't read all the way through the books yet so I'm only going off the first few as well as the show. Killing his father doesn't seem like that big of a deal to me, especially given his father's evil history, but I'd like to hear what else Tyrion did.
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Also, I don't know how they will handle Jon's lineage on the show, seeing as Rhaegar and Lyanna, for all intents and purposes, don't even exist.
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Patricide was just the first thing that came to my mind. He killed that girl, too. I give you that- ok, that wasn't the worst thing. I just remember that I started to not like him around this chapter.
Parsimony- yeah, it felt triumphant that the most evil man died, but at the same time I felt sorry for him and for Jaimie. This gang rape somehow didn't seem so sad to me, maybe there's something wrong with me, but I wasn't convinced about it's (obvious!) monstrosity. Maybe it was the way GRRM put it, I dunno. Don't get me wrong, I think that rape should be punishable by death, nowadays.
I don't know why, but I always hoped that they would get along. There was something straightforward about Tywin, like evil was just a necessary tool for him.
I think that we already met Tywin's ex-wife, and it's one of the ladies in this brothel in Braavos. "Wherever whores go", it must be it, because Braavos is the only town mentioned that is famous for whores. It would be disappointing if we hadn't met her yet. Maybe she'll kill Tyrion.
However, Tyrion in supposed to strangle his sister (according to the prophecy Maegi gave her), so maybe he will need another reason, and that could be Cersei having something to do we his wife. She didn't the first time... Tyrion doesn't seem to commit crimes cold-blooded.
Lyrhawn, my thoughts exactly. Ramsey tried too hard to convince Jon (us) that he really won. But I think we all learned already that until you "see" the evidence (even that can be not enough, though) you can't be sure. Like the "deaths" of Catelyn, Theon, Rick, Bran... And Benjen and Jon, I guess.
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quote:Originally posted by Szymon: However, Tyrion in supposed to strangle his sister (according to the prophecy Maegi gave her), so maybe he will need another reason, and that could be Cersei having something to do we his wife. She didn't the first time... Tyrion doesn't seem to commit crimes cold-blooded.
Tyrion isn't going to do this. Jaime is.
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quote:Originally posted by Szymon: This gang rape somehow didn't seem so sad to me, maybe there's something wrong with me, but I wasn't convinced about it's (obvious!) monstrosity. Maybe it was the way GRRM put it, I dunno. Don't get me wrong, I think that rape should be punishable by death, nowadays.
It's not just the fact of the rape; it's that Tywin deceitfully drove away the only woman who ever loved or who ever will love Tyrion, as a person, for who he is.
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quote:Originally posted by Szymon: However, Tyrion in supposed to strangle his sister (according to the prophecy Maegi gave her), so maybe he will need another reason, and that could be Cersei having something to do we his wife. She didn't the first time... Tyrion doesn't seem to commit crimes cold-blooded.
Tyrion isn't going to do this. Jaime is.
He's certainly headed in that direction. Cersei deserves it at this point for all she's done. I think I'd like to see Jaime removed to Casterly Rock with Tommen and Myrcella to live out a quiet life raising his kids to not be vicious, avaricious douchebags. He's the only Lannister capable of that at this point, I think.
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But that's why he's one of the better characters of the series. He started the series as a douchey casual murderer who had no moral qualms about casually tossing a kid out the window, and a nobleman's son mind you, in addition to all the other terrible things he'd done.
But by Dance, he's transformed into an anti-hero. He feels genuinely bad for the things he's done, and he's been humbled by his new position in life. The contrast is all the more striking in Cersei's changed feelings for him when you consider they used to be the same person, and now they're like night and day.
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quote:Originally posted by Parsimony: Also, I don't know how they will handle Jon's lineage on the show, seeing as Rhaegar and Lyanna, for all intents and purposes, don't even exist.
Well, assuming its true, and that Lyanna gave birth at the Tower of Joy before she died, there is one person still alive from that battle...Howland Reed. I'm just waiting to meet him, because once we do, then I think we learn the truth of Jon's lineage.
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quote:Originally posted by Lyrhawn: But that's why he's one of the better characters of the series. He started the series as a douchey casual murderer who had no moral qualms about casually tossing a kid out the window, and a nobleman's son mind you, in addition to all the other terrible things he'd done.
But by Dance, he's transformed into an anti-hero. He feels genuinely bad for the things he's done, and he's been humbled by his new position in life. The contrast is all the more striking in Cersei's changed feelings for him when you consider they used to be the same person, and now they're like night and day.
See I never saw Jamie as a transformed character, I only think our perception of him has been transformed. Such as his actions with Bran...he did what he did not because he was cruel or took any joy in it (as so many characters in this world would) but because he saw it as an unavoidable necessity. I imagine he always regretted having to do it, we were just never in his head early on. The thing is, faced with a similar type of situation now, I think he'd do the same exact thing. Just like his taking of Riverrun, he really did not want to break his promise to Catelyn, but he was prepared to do it if he had to. Also learning his motivation behind the king killing further greatly transformed our perception of Jamie, but didn't change the character he always was.
Of course, he has done things like grown to respect Brienne and reject Cersei, which are two of the biggest reasons fans have grown to like him. But I don't think this is character evolution as much as its just a change of opinion based on life experience
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quote:Originally posted by Szymon: However, Tyrion in supposed to strangle his sister (according to the prophecy Maegi gave her), so maybe he will need another reason, and that could be Cersei having something to do we his wife. She didn't the first time... Tyrion doesn't seem to commit crimes cold-blooded.
Tyrion isn't going to do this. Jaime is.
It is going to be hard to strangle someone with just one hand...
About the whole Jon thing, I too think he is Lyanna's son. I think she had Ned promise not to tell anyone out of fear. Robert Baratheon had gone to war because he though Lyanna was raped. In book 4 or 5 some lady says that Lyanna and Rhaegar were actually in love. If Lyanna had a baby and Robert had convinced himself that Lyanna was raped, what do you think he would have done to the child?
Robert had all of the Targaeryn children killed. Lyanna probably had Ned promise her that he would take care of the child as his own.
Lyanna was described as having black hair, which Jon also has. None of the other Stark children have black hair. Granted we have no description of Wylla's appearance. We do know that Ned lied to Robert about Wylla though. Robert thought Wylla was a whore, and Ned never corrected Robert. We know from Edric Dane that Wylla was a wet nurse.
I think the evidence is there, but you never know with Martin. Until someone actually confirms it, I don't think we will.
Personally I think we will find out about Jon through one of Bran's tree whispering sessions.
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quote:Originally posted by Szymon: However, Tyrion in supposed to strangle his sister (according to the prophecy Maegi gave her), so maybe he will need another reason, and that could be Cersei having something to do we his wife. She didn't the first time... Tyrion doesn't seem to commit crimes cold-blooded.
Tyrion isn't going to do this. Jaime is.
It is going to be hard to strangle someone with just one hand...
Jaime has two hands. A flesh one and a gold one. Granted he can't squeeze with the gold one, but he merely needs to squeeze with one and crush with the other. It's wouldn't be hard.
I also believe Jaime won't long outlive Cersei.
Posts: 1080 | Registered: Apr 2006
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quote:Originally posted by Lyrhawn: But that's why he's one of the better characters of the series. He started the series as a douchey casual murderer who had no moral qualms about casually tossing a kid out the window, and a nobleman's son mind you, in addition to all the other terrible things he'd done.
But by Dance, he's transformed into an anti-hero. He feels genuinely bad for the things he's done, and he's been humbled by his new position in life. The contrast is all the more striking in Cersei's changed feelings for him when you consider they used to be the same person, and now they're like night and day.
See I never saw Jamie as a transformed character, I only think our perception of him has been transformed. Such as his actions with Bran...he did what he did not because he was cruel or took any joy in it (as so many characters in this world would) but because he saw it as an unavoidable necessity. I imagine he always regretted having to do it, we were just never in his head early on. The thing is, faced with a similar type of situation now, I think he'd do the same exact thing. Just like his taking of Riverrun, he really did not want to break his promise to Catelyn, but he was prepared to do it if he had to. Also learning his motivation behind the king killing further greatly transformed our perception of Jamie, but didn't change the character he always was.
Of course, he has done things like grown to respect Brienne and reject Cersei, which are two of the biggest reasons fans have grown to like him. But I don't think this is character evolution as much as its just a change of opinion based on life experience
I think he's changed. Granted it's different when we can see in his head, but I thought I remember him saying that he regretted tossing Bran out the window, not so much, "I regret that it had to be done" but more "I shouldn't have done it." I don't think he'd do it again. He's clearly different than he was before, and I don't think it's just perception. Maybe the change isn't as great as a lot of people think, but he's certainly different.
Posts: 21898 | Registered: Nov 2004
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quote:Originally posted by Lyrhawn: But that's why he's one of the better characters of the series. He started the series as a douchey casual murderer who had no moral qualms about casually tossing a kid out the window, and a nobleman's son mind you, in addition to all the other terrible things he'd done.
But by Dance, he's transformed into an anti-hero. He feels genuinely bad for the things he's done, and he's been humbled by his new position in life. The contrast is all the more striking in Cersei's changed feelings for him when you consider they used to be the same person, and now they're like night and day.
See I never saw Jamie as a transformed character, I only think our perception of him has been transformed. Such as his actions with Bran...he did what he did not because he was cruel or took any joy in it (as so many characters in this world would) but because he saw it as an unavoidable necessity. I imagine he always regretted having to do it, we were just never in his head early on. The thing is, faced with a similar type of situation now, I think he'd do the same exact thing. Just like his taking of Riverrun, he really did not want to break his promise to Catelyn, but he was prepared to do it if he had to. Also learning his motivation behind the king killing further greatly transformed our perception of Jamie, but didn't change the character he always was.
Of course, he has done things like grown to respect Brienne and reject Cersei, which are two of the biggest reasons fans have grown to like him. But I don't think this is character evolution as much as its just a change of opinion based on life experience
I think dansigal makes some good points about Jaime. Much of our changing view of him came from learning more information about his past, not watching his personality change in the present. For those who thought they were watching the latter, I'd argue that they were just interpreting his actions in a new light.
Which isn't to say that Jaime hasn't changed at all, I think he has, just not quite to the level that it might seem he has.
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I think losing his hand has made Jaime less impulsive and a bit more cautious. He thinks as much himself sometimes, recalling some of his more headstrong impulses back when he knew himself to be the greatest knight in the Seven Kingdoms.
But morally, I don't think he's changed substantially, I think we've just gained more insight into his motivation.
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I think losing his hand has made Jaime less impulsive and a bit more cautious. He thinks as much himself sometimes, recalling some of his more headstrong impulses back when he knew himself to be the greatest knight in the Seven Kingdoms.
But morally, I don't think he's changed substantially, I think we've just gained more insight into his motivation.
I still disagree. Giving Oathbreaker to Brienne, helping Tyrion escape and for that matter, basically helping him kill their father, and his interactions with Cersei, and his remorse at what he did to Bran are all actions in the present, not redefinitions of past actions, that to me present something different.
He's basically expressed a willingness in the past to give up just about everything in his life and act without any morality to protect his relationship with Cersei.
In the last two books, he basically rejected her and committed a ton of random crimes and betrayals for the sake of doing the right thing and acting out of loyalty to other family and friends. That's a totally different Jaime. We understand the contrast better knowing more of his backstory, but he's much different.
posted
I'd say it is a combination of both of those. I know for a fact that my perception of him changed when I learned his point of view, particularly his disgust at the old king and his elevation to the Kingsguard.
But I also feel that he has evolved, and that he has changed in some major ways. I wouldn't care a bit if he had not changed, but now he is possibly my favorite character.
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quote:But I also feel that he has evolved, and that he has changed in some major ways. I wouldn't care a bit if he had not changed, but now he is possibly my favorite character.
I feel the same way.
Frankly I'm shocked that Martin was able to pull that off. I hated him so much in the first two books.
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posted
Yeah, Martin is pretty skilled in this. At all kinds of things, actually- killing Ned was astonishing for every one. Not all writers would have the guts to do that.
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posted
That's another good theory that's been going around, Yozhik. The prophecy says "the valonqar", not "your valonqar".
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I think losing his hand has made Jaime less impulsive and a bit more cautious. He thinks as much himself sometimes, recalling some of his more headstrong impulses back when he knew himself to be the greatest knight in the Seven Kingdoms.
But morally, I don't think he's changed substantially, I think we've just gained more insight into his motivation.
I still disagree. Giving Oathbreaker to Brienne, helping Tyrion escape and for that matter, basically helping him kill their father, and his interactions with Cersei, and his remorse at what he did to Bran are all actions in the present, not redefinitions of past actions, that to me present something different.
He's basically expressed a willingness in the past to give up just about everything in his life and act without any morality to protect his relationship with Cersei.
In the last two books, he basically rejected her and committed a ton of random crimes and betrayals for the sake of doing the right thing and acting out of loyalty to other family and friends. That's a totally different Jaime. We understand the contrast better knowing more of his backstory, but he's much different.
So, I think you're definitely part right.
I think that losing his hand made him more cautious and less impulsive, and that he fell out of love with Cersei (which may be related to the first thing).
But pretty much all of your examples of ways he changed are accounted for in those two things, aren't they? I guess falling out of love with Cersei is a change in his morality, though, so you're right that he has changed morally too.
I do think you underestimate what Jaime would have done for Tyrion even before he changed, though. There's strong indication he's always loved Tyrion, to say nothing of feeling that he owes him for what Tywin made him do.
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... It's a question of how you view his falling out of love with Cersei, I think. I hadn't thought of it as a change in morals initially, but maybe it is. It certainly changed the way he values things.
In fairness so does his gaining more caution. In a certain light, that's a moral change as well. For example: He wouldn't push Bran out a window anymore. Not because he thinks it's wrong... he's always thought it was wrong. But because he's grown less impulsive.
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I think his change may also have to do with introspection into who he is, since his self-identity may have been so tied up in his sword-hand. Not just less headstrong due to the fact that he can't win a fight now, but also, "Who am I without that?"
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He's an amazing character. Top... hm, I don't know, 5 at least. I think. I love a lot of characters, though, so don't quote me on that.
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quote:Originally posted by Szymon: Maybe Jaime ends up with Brienne?
Only as long as we don't hear about it from inside her head. Brienne's chapters bore me the most of anything in the books.
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quote:Originally posted by Szymon: Maybe Jaime ends up with Brienne?
Only as long as we don't hear about it from inside her head. Brienne's chapters bore me the most of anything in the books.
They bore me as well, but I will say that I find something sweet in the interaction between Brienne and Jaime.
I think these two characters have experienced more character development than most of the other characters in the books. Some characters such as Cersei have been pretty static, but Brienne and (especially) Jaime have changed quite a bit.
Theon has had quite a bit as well, but most of that was forced on him.
Posts: 1937 | Registered: Nov 2006
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quote:Originally posted by Szymon: Maybe Jaime ends up with Brienne?
Only as long as we don't hear about it from inside her head. Brienne's chapters bore me the most of anything in the books.
If I have to read one more chapter of her looking for a maid of three and ten, I'm going to burn every ASOIAF book I own.
She's a great character but man I wanted to gouge my eyes out during her chapters. She made Sansa look interesting. I shudder to think.
Posts: 21898 | Registered: Nov 2004
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quote:Originally posted by Szymon: Nothing came make Sansa look interesting. Nothing.
In general I think Martin completely fails at writing women. Catelyn was miserable as well. Cersei is possibly an exception, but she's only interesting in the same way watching a train wreck is interesting.
Sansa though does have one saving grace - Littlefinger. He is one of the most interesting characters to me, and one that I think is poised to make a big jump in power.
Or get eaten by a dragon. You never know with Martin.
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But then, there really haven't been any chapters I didn't like.
I generally think the whole "fails at writing X gender" thing is malarky. If specific characters feel off to you, okay, say so, and say why. But women are just people, and Martin writes those pretty well.
A legitimate complaint is that he doesn't write very many women that aren't terrible, but they don't seem particularly unbelievable to me. Just, not great people.
Brienne is not one of those in my opinion, though. I'm sad she didn't find her maid of three and ten, with a fair face and auburn hair.
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posted
I agree. I hear the "Martin can't write women" thing constantly, mostly from women, and I think that's way off.
Most of their complaints center around the fact that ASOIAF doesn't have any PERFECT women, but rather women who are largely victims in some way. My response is usually to ask for someone to point out the perfect man who is also victimless in the story. There aren't any.
Everyone in this story is both imperfect and victimized to a degree. Some people simply can't get past the setting; it's a gender unequal world from the start. I've met very few women who have read the series that didn't hate the women. I'll admit things get a lot more interesting once you get a few books in, so there might not be a lot going if you only read the first one, but the women are fascinating.
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