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» Hatrack River Forum » Active Forums » Books, Films, Food and Culture » Apres vonk, les deluges : HurricaneHumberto

   
Author Topic: Apres vonk, les deluges : HurricaneHumberto
aspectre
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A heads up to everyone living between Houston,Texas and the Florida panhandle.
TropicalStormHumberto is gonna be dumping a LOT of rain on you within a very short time. May even become a hurricane before landfall. Strong possiblility of flooding, and some possibility of spawning secondary tornados.
The current position is ~20miles southSouthEast of Galveston.
However, the most reliable of the computer models have Humberto doing a loop back into Gulf of Mexico. Humberto already has a history of roaring back from what has killed other storms. 90L was declared dead for 24 hours before returning as an Invest, then strengthened into a strong TropicalStorm after predictions of landfall as a weak TropicalDepression at most.
So the remnants of Humberto may very well restrengthen in the Gulf of Mexico to make a second landfall as a major hurricane.

[ September 13, 2007, 07:34 AM: Message edited by: aspectre ]

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scholar
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My husband's school has shut down until noon. Mine, of course, is still up and running. We could have a hurricane directly over our campus and they'd probably still hold class.
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aspectre
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Humberto has been upgraded to Hurricane, with it's center last reported to be just EastNorthEast of Galveston, and continuing to head ENE enough to avoid a formal declaration of landfall.

A campus building is probably the safest place that most civilians can be during a hurricane. Most of the newer*permanent buildings on college campuses in hurricane-prone areas are structurally engineered to survive Category5 storms.

* ie built in the 1970s or later

[ September 13, 2007, 03:39 AM: Message edited by: aspectre ]

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aspectre
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The center of HurricaneHumbert made landfall about directly east of HighIsland and followed the coast EastNorthEastward into SeaRimStatePark toward SabinePass,Texas , where Hurricane Rita made it's landfall in 2005.

A straightline projection (which is rarely accurate) takes it up to halfway between LakeCharles and Lafayette in Louisiana.
As of last reports, Humberto has gotten tighter, is looking even more hurricane-like. The land it's traveling over is flat marsh barely above sea-level -- eg though much farther inland, LakeCharles is only ~13feet/~4metres above sea-level -- so Humberto isn't losing much energy to obstructions.

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Lyrhawn
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I know it's selfish, but I'm glad it missed Houston, I have family there.

I hope everyone else is alright though. I suspect to many in Alabama and Georgia, they'll be glad for the rain, which won't be hurricane force when it gets there, considering the drought they're in.

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aspectre
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Humberto still looks like it's going to make a quick loop back into the Gulf of Mexico.
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Farmgirl
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Well, the forecasters sure got this one wrong. They were sure it would decrease, even from it's tropical depression status, before landfall, last I had heard on TV.

Then suddenly it went "hurricane"

(and since you said "Apres vonk, les deluges" and I have no idea what that means-- I may be repeating whatever it was you said)

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aspectre
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In the previous hurricane thread, vonk joked about (wet wet wet) Houston never having to worry about flooding.
"Apres mois le deluge" or "After me, the deluge." apocryphally attributed to LouisXV*.
Since HurricaneHumberto had already passed by vonk without a Houston landing: After vonk, the deluges.

* Inregard to forseeable problems caused by France's weak political infrastructure; which led to the FrenchRevolution after his death.

[ September 14, 2007, 01:31 PM: Message edited by: aspectre ]

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Flaming Toad on a Stick
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Apres la pluie, le beau temps.
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vonk
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We were pretty well prepared last night, but thankfully it made the hook. This one came out of nowhere, too. If it had hit us at hurricane strength, I don't think most people would have been ready. At least it made landfall in a much less populated area. Here's hoping everybody directly east of us was prepared.
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