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But you can blame this on the English and Welsh, as the Scots and Northern Irish voted to stick around. Be curious to see if the Scots leave (one of the primary reasons to stick around in 2014 was to stay in the EU... that worked out well) and if the Northern Irish leave (instead of creating custom checkpoints all along the border with Ireland).
England and Wales could be left on their own when the dust settles.
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Scotland is definitely leaving. There are certain conditions that have to be met for a border poll in NI and it's not at all certain that they have been.
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I'm not about to allow the multitude of young idiots that I know, personally, who voted to Leave get off the hook by claiming that it was old people's fault when everything goes completely to shit.
My district, one not at all full of old people, voted 61 percent to leave. And they were the usual subjects; people who listened to the lies crafted to be what they wanted to hear and went along with it without doing the barest amount of fact checking. These are the same people who are going to scratch their heads and wonder what's going on when prices start rising in the next few weeks.
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UK votes to leave bloc...mostly from fear based on immigration...the north wants to stay in &... might split up the uk?...financial bad things coming for UK & Euro bloc...PM is resigning...might domino the bloc as UK was powerhouse in union? ... UK politicians purposely undermining government services to esastetbate the refugee problem...
Miss anything? Get anything straight wrong?
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Any domino effect of departures is because the precedent of leaving has been set. The UK's influence in the EU has mostly been due to the EU trying to keep them in rather than being a pillar of the project. The EU might get closer to a functional organization without the UK playing spoiler.
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The United Kingdom is comprised of four distinct countries-England, Wales, Scotland, and Northern Ireland. There was a referendum commonly known as Brexit for the UK over whether to exit the EU, which is a process that ordinarily would take at least two years, I've read. I don't know whether this will be hastened by pressure from the EU or by internal pressures of member countries of the U.K. wish to remain.
Economic fears around immigration as well as terrorism seem to have played a significant role. I'm not sure what polling says is the main reason. Leave won by about 4% with something like 70% turnout.
Scotland at the very least has been explicit that should the uk leave the eu, they will hold another independence vote. Based on the last vote and the support for Remain this time, right now it seems likely that if they held such a vote it would leave. They might then be able, I'm not sure, to join the EU independently.
Since an enormous part of the EU is a collection of trade deals and regulations and treaties, the second largest economic nation-Germany is first-leaving has a huge impact. A number of economic signs such as stock market values and currency value for the pound have taken a major hit.
It's really not an issue that can be summarized swiftly, though. Basically the second largest economy in one of the world's biggest markets, one of the world's oldest democracies, a key military and diplomatic ally and player for the US and on the world stage, has just voted to make a massive change to its economy and foreign policy, and that's just in the ways that we know about so far.
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quote:Originally posted by NobleHunter: Any domino effect of departures is because the precedent of leaving has been set. The UK's influence in the EU has mostly been due to the EU trying to keep them in rather than being a pillar of the project. The EU might get closer to a functional organization without the UK playing spoiler.
If for example Scotland does a Scotexit? Sceave? Leaveland? from the UK and then joins the EU, those would be some interesting meetings.
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the merest, most morbid comfort i can take out of this entirely horrifyingly awful and stupid situation is that UK voters managed to take the focus and stigma off of US voters in terms of spectacular stupidity and risking existential end-level democratic crisis
everything else about it is awful. the UK is about to experience brain drain like they can't imagine.
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It seems like the general consensus is that Scotland is probably gone soon.
But there's rising discussion about what this means for North Ireland. Does this put at risk the agreement that ended the Troubles? Could we see Ireland re-unify?
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i would be entirely surprised if ireland reunified. northern ireland just wants out of the UK over this idiotic brexit crap, similar to scotland
but unlike scotland, whose exit can be put on a sliding 'guaranteed' scale right next to 'brexit' — as heisenberg mentioned, its exit is ... less certain.
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Scotland needs to have permission for another referendum as per the Edinburgh agreement though.
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Interestingly, it also may be the case that Britain needs the permission of the Scottish parliament to leave. Which would be a good face-saver for all those Conservative politicians who thought this thing would be a great intra-party maneuver.
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If Wales also went independent then it would just be the Kingdom of England. But with Wales it would still be the United Kingdom, while Great Britain also implies Scotland. I'm sure CPG Grey did a video.Posts: 12931 | Registered: Aug 2005
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