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Author Topic: why have we not gone back
Rommel Fenrir Wolf II
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I don’t expect this topic to get many responses, but what I want to know is why we haven’t gone back to the moon. We have more knowledge and technology than they did in 1969 when we first went to the moon. I have written NASA about this without any response.
I just don’t understand why we have not returned. Even with a good majority of the U.S.A’s money going to fund the war on terror and other useless endives is the space station. Why hasten any other country going? China has more technology than we had in 1969 and they haven’t gone to the moon yet. The Saturn 5 rocket we used wasn’t just built on an assembly line, it was built mainly by hand and precision machines designed to build ICBM’s. Even today the most powerful rocket isn’t hard to build with “off the shelf” material.
If any one wants to talk more drop me a line to my e-mail at rfwisthehegemon@hotmail.com and I don’t want any conspires theories.

Rommel Fenrir Wolf II


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annepin
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I dunno, I'd argue endives are pretty useful in the right dish.

[This message has been edited by annepin (edited April 24, 2008).]


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Merlion-Emrys
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My guess would be, there isn't any money in it. Or its percieved as such anyway.

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Bent Tree
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It won't be long. There are trillions of dollars of resources up there. Someone will figure out how to squander them soon.
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Lord Darkstorm
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It isn't made of cheese...hehehe

Ok, I'd say it has more to do with Nasa being on the verge of just another bureaucracy. What have they done that is innovative or inspired in the past thirty years? Nothing. The space shuttle was a better design, but once they built it what did they do next? Nothing. This is the problem with people who stop looking for answers and are more worried about how they will get through a few extra dollars in the budget next year. It is shameful that as technology is progressing in leaps and bounds, the research into space travel is only done by researchers and corporations.

I guess I can't blame them exclusively, the people in the US aren't very supportive, or interested, in space at all. The only stars they desire is the kind you find driving drunk around hollywood. People complain about the money spent on a war, which no matter which viewpoint you have, we are already in. How much would they complain about the waste of money on a pointless trip to the moon. I remember hearing about groups that wish to ban all manned space travel, since it is too expensive, and a risk to the lives of the people who go.

I've actually read similar scenarios in some of the scifi books I've read. The space agency spent almost as much time trying to get interest in outer space and keeping the funding going, as they did on traveling through space. No I have to wonder if it was modeled off of Nasa?

One more aspect of writing to keep in mind....


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InarticulateBabbler
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Holy crap! Rommel Fenrir Wolf II, are you drunk? How can it be that you are both lucid and legible? Has the universe come to an end?

Seriously, though, you're question is good. The answer: that may well change. And, it may well be that private companies are going to finance much of the future moon missions. And NASA hasn't given up, yet.

[This message has been edited by InarticulateBabbler (edited April 25, 2008).]


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tnwilz
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Funny you should ask that, this article just came out and it answers all your questions. http://discovermagazine.com/2008/may/23-the-space-race-for-the-new-millenium
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rstegman
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Going to the moon was pure politics in the first place. It was not for commercial purposes. There were easier, cheeper, even more effective ways to get the same science.

Political money goes only to where the votes, popularity, or power is. The moon served its political necessity right after the first man landed on the moon. The political money shifted to other uses.

"commercial" money goes to where an individual or group thinks they will get the most out of it. As long as the commerical money gets what the people are interested in, it will continue. Unlike the government, a commecial operation for profit, needs only enough to pay for itself and a little more.There is room for plenty of competition.
Governemnt does not like competition. There are plenty of examples where the government passes laws that forbids private enterprizes from competing, Delivering first class letters is one example. Only the US post office are allowed to deliver them. Anyone else has to use a larger envelope.
We have satellite phones dish TV, etc., because there is commercial competition. A lot of them were launched by rockets in other countries simply because it was easier and cheeper than Nasa's dependance on the shuttle.

Competition brings out the best of the industry. Commercial enterprises will find the optimal way to do things, and they will find ways to make it available. they won't do it as fast as an influx of government money, but they won't have the government red tape and paperwork that government agencies are required to provide. they also, by nature, have less people involved and therefore cheeper, simply because there is less paperwork involved.

If you want regular trips to the moon, allow someone to set up a hotel there and let tourism have access to the moon.

It should be noted that entering and leaving a gravitational well is expensive. We won't be doing heavy colonization of any of the planets if government is not involved. We will be colonizing asteroids instead as it takes little energy to land on one. Mining them will be cheeper. planets are more for scientists and politicians, than for anything of real use.

When one sends a person into space, the soul purpose of the mission is to get the person back alive and safe. Anything else done is a secondary mission.

Like Antarctica, one is forbidden to go to the moon as a commercial venture such as mining. Tourism is even frowned on.


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Robert Nowall
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If I recall right, forty-some years elapsed between the visits by the Amundsen and Scott parties to the South Pole, before anybody else went there. So the time frame for the next man-on-the-moon isn't unreasonable.

Money and motivation, I'd say. "Money" because, once NASA accomplished the goal of putting man on the moon, their budgets were cut---they didn't even get enough money to carry out three more planned missions. And what kind of message did that send to the guys who busted their butts getting the mission accomplished?

"Money" again, because it wasn't cheap to go to the moon...that prevented the private sector from copping the technology for itself and putting it to use...the private sector likes things that don't cost, er, the moon, to do.

I suppose "motivation" would be a factor. The Apollo project was conceived partly for scientific knowledge (and paid off with it, too), but mostly to send a message to the world about the relative worth of the USA vs the USSR. There hasn't been anything comparable after that...after the Johnson administration, the government chose to either (a) ratchet the USA / USSR conflict down, or (b) confront the Soviets in other areas. The USA public has generally approved of the space program, but this has not been sufficient to do more than pencil in some big budget items. The private sector lacks the profit motive.

(By the way, the postal service takes a loss on first class letters, simply because it is mandated that they go to everybody's house whether there's mail to deliver or not...the bread and butter of the USPS is in standard mail.)


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arriki
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Sometimes....some times...I wonder about global conspiracies.

I know three people who "say" they invented and tried to patent better carburetors and were visited by "men in black" types who told them to forget it or else. Are they all lying? I don't know. But the same type mentality could be keeping the brakes on a lot of other good inventions for the world but bad for "people in power" types?

I have no way to evaluate this. I can base some story ideas on it, but in real life, I'm nothing more than a frog in a well.


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TaleSpinner
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I think the original motivation for going to the Moon was to get there before the Russians, ostensibly for national prestige but really out of fear of how the Russians might use it as a weapons platform if they got there first.

Of course, now we've been and realised it's too far away from Earth to be useful for weapons: if we launched missiles from the Moon we'd be as likely to hit our own countries as the bad guys.

And there ain't much there aside from moonrock. No oil. No air. No water. Just a great view of home and less gravity than usual.

We'll go there again when we have imaginative politicians, innovative engineers, inquisitive scientists and brave pilots in charge. Or when someone realises it's the ideal place for tax-free brothels, casinos and opium dens.

Ever optimistically,
Pat

[This message has been edited by TaleSpinner (edited April 25, 2008).]


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snapper
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Oh, theirs a ton of reason why we haven't. It probably could be all sum up with

been there, done that


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Wolfe_boy
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quote:
if we launched missiles from the Moon we'd be as likely to hit our own countries as the bad guys

I'm not 100% certain about that - we'd likely be every bit as accurate as current ICBM's. The problem being, you'd need an awful lot of fuel to get that missile back here, even after spending even more fuel to get them there in the first place. Now, planetary observations from the moon? That might be cool.

Jayson Merryfield


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slocum
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Better science can be had for less money with unmanned probes, which have been sent my several countries recently (Europe, Japan, China). Look at the Mars rovers. Built to last three months. They've been running over two years (until NASA shut one down for money reasons). It's also dangerous, still. This country doesn't have much of a stomach for people dying to plant yet another flag on what they perceive as a dead rock.

China has plans to put a rover and a sample return probe on the moon in the next 5 years. NASA plans to put men back there by 2020.


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TaleSpinner
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quote:
we'd likely be every bit as accurate as current ICBM's.

My remark was more satirical than serious--should'a put in a smiley, I guess.

I was thinking of how NASA lost a Mars orbiter because one engineering team used Imperial measurements and another used Metric.

http://edition.cnn.com/TECH/space/9909/30/mars.metric.02/

We Brits lost Beagle 2 entirely--we don't even know whether it crash-landed or missed the red planet entirely. And this after deciding not to join America in putting men into space, arguing that machines can do everything that's useful to do in space that men can--aside from realising they're lost and radioing back to base to tell us what went wrong, apparently.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beagle_2

quote:
The problem being, you'd need an awful lot of fuel to get that missile back here, even after spending even more fuel to get them there in the first place.

As I think of it, my remark was more daft than I realized. Aside from having to fly the fuel to the moon, it might use less fuel to fly from the moon to Earth, because distance in space doesn't matter. As I'm sure we-all know, once you're going, inertia will carry you forwards in a straight line for light-years. Since the moon's gravity is less than Earth's, and therefore easier to escape, it might be quite fuel-efficient to lob missiles at Earth from a moon-station--although as you observe, getting the fuel up there would be expensive and no doubt negate all the savings.

If we could make fuel up there, or launch solar-powered rockets from the dark side (when it's facing the Sun), then it might work. And we'd be taking our first baby steps towards exporting war into space.

Cheers,
Pat


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Robert Nowall
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On losing missions...many of the losses, if a man had been on it, the man could've altered things and saved and salvaged the mission. (Yes, there are many where it wouldn't have mattered.)

Here's an advantage in moon-going in the here-and-now---unlike in the 1960s, we know it can be done.


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TaleSpinner
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quote:
On losing missions...many of the losses, if a man had been on it, the man could've altered things and saved and salvaged the mission.

Absolutely right. That's one reason I'm so annoyed with the British leadership who decided otherwise.

Also, NASA learned so very, very much about keeping people alive by sending men to the moon, knowledge that surely found its way into modern medical practice. I'm sure the spin-off knowledge alone justifies going to the moon, Mars and further.

Grumpily,
Pat


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slocum
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quote:
it might be quite fuel-efficient to lob missiles at Earth from a moon-station

Read Heinlein's The Moon is a Harsh Mistress, where the lunar colony throws rocks at Earth, using basically a rail gun (magnetic) powered by solar, with tiny little retros for maneuvering. Almost no fuel needed. It's downhill from the Moon to Earth, once you get out of the moon's gravity well.


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Rommel Fenrir Wolf II
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“Holy crap! Rommel Fenrir Wolf II, are you drunk?”

NOT DRUNK ENOUGH.

“Has the universe come to an end?”

Not quite yet.

Well I say we lobby to get NASA to pull its head out of its @$$ and or start our own version of NASA, we could call it HASA. And land a man on the moon in the next 5 years with help from other countries who would not mind going there. We could build our version of the Saturn 5 rocket with off the shelf technology and better computers etc.
Space based weapons are not all that expensive. Wipe out a few cities from orbit they pay for them selves. But international treaties prohibit space based weapons.
I think according to my calculations it would cost about 100,000,000.00 USD to build with off the shelf technology and launch to the moon 4 people, land and return. He!! Most of what we need is already made, and sitting in rocket bone yards left over from the COLD WAR. Old ICBM’S and rocket motors, etc. or maybe I am just crazy.

and i thought this topic was not going to get many responces.

SHOULD BE HOME IN UNDER 25 DAYS.

Rommel Fenrir Wolf II


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rstegman
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and i thought this topic was not going to get many responces.

SHOULD BE HOME IN UNDER 25 DAYS.

Rommel Fenrir Wolf II
---------------

FANTASTIC!!!!!!!


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Robert Nowall
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quote:
SHOULD BE HOME IN UNDER 25 DAYS.

Heads up.


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Rommel Fenrir Wolf II
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tango mike.

cant waite till i can see the good old US of A again.

i take it no one liked my HASA idea.

RFW2nd


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Doctor
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I don't know if we're still on the original topic, I haven't read all the responses, but you might be interested in knowing that we are planning to go back. In fact they are returning to the old Apollo style of doing things and abandoning the space shuttle (because it's a horribly unsafe craft to go to the moon with), but instead of the old Saturn V rocket where everything goes up together, they're designing two separe rockets, one carrying passengers and the other carrying equipment. It should be a lot safer.

So far the vessel carrying crew has ben designed and is being built. But the vessel carrying equipment/cargo hasn't been funded yet.

All this from a relative who works in the industry and an aerospace engineer.


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SchamMan89
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I have a friend who worked for JPL for about a year. We got into this conversation. Apparently, a higher up complained to him about how much harder it is to get to the moon today than in the 60s because of rules and regulations. Before, if it had a 30% chance of success, they were on it. Now in order to even begin to be looked at, a mission must have a less than 5% chance of failure.

That's really difficult to pull off. So, in addition to the reasons ya'll stated, its really hard to go to the moon right now.

P.S. As a side note, man China is really catching up to U.S.A. quickly in so many ways. Their space program is catching up extremely fast.


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Chaldea
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Looks like it was a good question, after all, Rommel. Here's a couple thoughts:

I have a Russian friend who says we haven't gone back to the moon because we have not had enemies that would force us into space to control the earth from space.

John Lear, the son of famous Bill Lear, of LearJet fame, says there is a secret astronaut corp that has been going to Mars and that the moon is currently being mined for helium 3 as an energy source. He says he has first-hand astronaut and militray witnesses who, off the record, will attest that this is true and that he got this information from them. John says the secret missions are launched from remote atolls in the South Pacific.

Then there's Richard C. Hoagland, ex-science adviser to Walter Cronkite, who maintains almost the same thing. He says there are anomalous and perhaps manmade (or alien?) structures on the moon and Mars. And how did they get there? Though he won't actually come to a decision, he does present interesting data. He can be found at <http://www.enterprisemission.com>



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TaleSpinner
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I'm not inclined to believe the moon's being mined for Helium 3.
http://science.howstuffworks.com/john-lear.htm

Except it's the only rational explanation for George Bush suddenly wanting to send men to the moon.
http://www.newsday.com/news/nationworld/nation/ny-bush-space-0114,0,4190003.story?coll=ny-nationalnews-headlines

It's either that or he really does harbour a "desire to explore and understand."

Um, so if they mine all the helium 3 from the moon, will it deflate? Will it stop floating around us and crash to Earth?

Cheers,
Pat


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Robert Nowall
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People say a lot of things, but that doesn't mean they're true. A lot of people think the Earth is flat and the Moon landings were faked on soundstages in Nevada. If thay were true, how could they be sending anybody to the Moon from South Pacific atolls? (And just what would anybody use Helium-3 for?)
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TaleSpinner
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quote:
And just what would anybody use Helium-3 for?

I wondered about that myself, and found out that apparently it might be a source of power from nuclear fusion--and it exists on the moon.

Mining the moon for helium 3 has been suggested by Jack Schmitt, who happens to have visited the place and has a PhD in geology:
http://www.americanscientist.org/template/BookReviewTypeDetail/assetid/5 0749;jsessionid=aaadpYS5mhhih2

It's in very small quantities though. You'd have to mine hundreds of millions of tons of lunar soil for a ton of the stuff.

A rich seam of ideas to, um, mine for Luna stories?

Cheers,
Pat

[This message has been edited by TaleSpinner (edited May 05, 2008).]

[This message has been edited by TaleSpinner (edited May 05, 2008).]


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BlakeR
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The great thing about a conspiracy is this:

The more outrageous the truth is, the less likely anyone is to believe it.

After all, people have this weird sense of "normal", and they utterly disregard anything that they see as outside the sphere of normality.

For example, they can believe that we went to the moon in 1960-whatever, but they can't believe that we've still been going there, have moon bases, and are stockpiling massive silos of Helium-3 there in order to fuel ships that go to Mars.

Of course, I'm not saying that I believe any of those things. I'm merely saying that it's so much easier to get away with crazy things, for the simple fact that they are so unbelievably crazy.


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TaleSpinner
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I don't believe we've been going there and mining anything. If we had, several million amateur astronomers would have noticed the space-trucks bearing spare parts from Caterpillar, and puffs of dust all over the moon's surface as they mine moonrocks.

Also, the unions would be complaining bitterly about miners pay and conditions, and people would be selling genuine moonrock souvenirs on eBay and sending back pictures of the Earth taken on the moon with cell phones.

Cheers,
Pat


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BlakeR
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quote:
I don't believe we've been going there and mining anything. If we had, several million amateur astronomers would have noticed the space-trucks bearing spare parts from Caterpillar, and puffs of dust all over the moon's surface as they mine moonrocks.

Also, the unions would be complaining bitterly about miners pay and conditions, and people would be selling genuine moonrock souvenirs on eBay and sending back pictures of the Earth taken on the moon with cell phones.

Cheers,
Pat


All of those things could be taken care of with enough money, Pat. Also, puffs of dust? There is a dark side of the moon, you know. All they would have to do is make sure to stay inside of it.

Not that I believe in any of those things. It's just that your reasons for discounting the theory seemed pretty ill-informed.


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arriki
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puffs of dust and such don't bother me when they say that no telescope on earth has the resolution to pick out the lunar landar that is still sitting up there.

and that includes the Hubble in orbit. With the Hubble it was that the moon is too close, I believe, was the reason

[This message has been edited by arriki (edited May 06, 2008).]


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Rommel Fenrir Wolf II
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well hard coppe of days.

if the moon is being mined for He3 there would be affects like more shooting stars as moon roke and dust drawn in my earths gravity.

who wants to donate $1,000,000.00 to my mon progect? it will get you one shiping contaner sized room you can viset ro timeshair out

RFW2nd


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TaleSpinner
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"It's just that your reasons for discounting the theory seemed pretty ill-informed."

So my little attempt at satire didn't work then :-(

Pat


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Robert Nowall
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I don't know which notion is more unrealistic...that the government is so efficient at these numerous conspiracies, yet so incompetent at handling things like Medicare and Social Security...or the other notion that the government is also conducting these conspiracies but can be trusted with things like Medicare and Social Security...
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arriki
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could botching medicare and social security be deliberate? To draw us into a more socialist form of government? Or are we over the line to there already?
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Robert Nowall
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I would've thought you do a better job if you want to convince someone to go on letting you do it...
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rstegman
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all politicians lie. All government workers back up politician's lies with their own.
Therefore, if the government says it is not happening,
You have to know they are lying!!!!

As such, they say there is no conspiracies. That proves there has to be one!!!

The space aliens are doing it and are also in control of our government.
how else can you explain the idiots we have in elected office?

As for me, I really want a health care program with the efficiency of the highway department with the bedside manners of the IRS.


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Kathleen Dalton Woodbury
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Are we still talking about the moon?
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Bent Tree
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Why can't I buy a ticket to the moon. I gave up on being an astronaut when I was a child because I assumed it would become common practice to book passage to luna. I am almost thirty now...tick-tock.
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Chaldea
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Thanks Rommel, and everyone... You guys gave me some great character ideas for my next sci-fi novel. And here's a question regarding moon or Mars missions:

Say you knew some secret mission was going on and you held a top secret clearance for it in an R&D company contracted by the government. You are warned that in the face of losing your clearance, your job and danger to your family, you must not mention any part of your job to anyone. But you find out that there is a diabolical goverment plan afoot involving your R&D department. It's a big threat to national security. Do you speak out and tell the truth to the media or keep quiet? Hero vs. mouse... what will you do?


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TaleSpinner
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I guess Golden Age SF was instrumental in encouraging many of us to believe, myself included, that we'd be flying around in space by now. (Naive? Yes, in retrospect. Do I regret such naivety? No. No more than I regret still having dreams.)

Indeed, had NASA been allowed to persevere (and had the UK and other countries contributed their brain power too) we might well be doing so by now. We're intellectually capable of developing the technology necessary to establish a colony there, I believe. But we seem to be happier arguing amongst ourselves about planetary resources than finding more, and spending our money and our brainpower on weapons than space technology.

You can buy a ticket into space from Virgin:

http://www.virgingalactic.com/

(I love how they call it "Virgin Galactic". They're actually only planning to do "suborbital space tourism"--today suborbit, tomorrow the galaxy, I suppose. That's not a complaint, I'm just amused by Branson's grand design.)

I'm pleased that someone in the commercial world has the vision to try to get into space, and Rutan's getting a chance to contribute his considerable expertise.

Cheers,
Pat


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rstegman
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In some notes on another board now no longer existing, I did a discussion about whether we had the technology to build ships and go to the stars. the short answer is yes, or at least by the time the ships were built we would have mastered the technology.

The longer answer is that it would really only be feasable if we were doing it as a noah's ark situation where we are trying to get as much life to other stars as possible, abandoning earth. In that case, if we put all our resources to it, we could get several billion people heading to the stars in a hundred years.

The fun part of the series of notes was to figure out the steps to get to that point.

Basically, we have the intellect and technology to go to the stars, but we don't have the political will to get past the political won't


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Chaldea
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Getting us to other planets would be a lot easier if NASA would explore other methods of moving mass from the Earth's crust. Blasting away from Earth's gravity, fighting the hold it has on mass with Saturn V rocket technology, seems so archaic. Hasn't NASA explored the concept of folding light and space over on itself? I feel some scientists are exploring this possibility, maybe even NASA's.

Did your list of steps involved in getting us to the stars include all the scientific tests to determine human survivability in zero or no gravity conditions? And many other questions about altered physical conditions?


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rstegman
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I assume that none of the spectacular sciences would not be perfected, like folding space and light, or cold fusion reactors, let alone hot fusion reactors that actually work. We would have the computers to a theoretical maximum capacity by 2050, and have robotics perfected by the time we actually launched.
We would also likely have colonies on asteroids, mining them for materials for the space based society by 2050, and would have as efficient method of leaving planets as there could by long before then. Note, the very first discussions about this was in 2001.
Our interest would not be in planetary based new home, but instead a star filled with as many asteroids as possible. By the time we got there, living on an asteroid would be natural.
questions of surviving in space would be solved before the ships launched, and my idea is that the inner hull of the ship would spin, while the outer hulls would protect against debris in space and to catch anything that falls off the spinning hull. The people would live in artificial gravity and likely old people would move to lighter gravity in the center as they lose capabilities.

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Robert Nowall
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Well, if I recall right, there are about five or six off-the-shelf technologies that could take someone to the moon right now---all that's needed is the hardware and the will to build it and use it.

Of course a couple of them would foul the environment quite a bit, like nuclear pulse-bomb drives. Somebody who's willing to use that would have to want to get off the Earth real bad...


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TaleSpinner
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They certainly seem to be working on some:

http://science.nasa.gov/newhome/headlines/prop06apr99_1a.htm

I love the Lightcraft (at the bottom of the page)--it looks like a flying saucer!

Cheers,
Pat


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Rommel Fenrir Wolf II
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if i remember right (from my last ife) panair was selling tickets to the moon in 1967 for 1,000 and they never expire.

your welcome for the idea. takes it off my mind.

"nuclear pulse-bomb drives and Somebody who's willing to use that would have to want to get off the Earth real bad."

sounds like me where do i find one?

love the flying sauser. looks so 1950ish space like.

RFW2nd



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arriki
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Maybe this is a little more why don't we have... rather than why haven't we gone back... but --

I was listening to some guys from hhowater4gas.com tonight. They say they have plans available for a conversion of a regular car to one that runs partially on hydrogen. They say they have outfits in a number of cities across the country that will convert your car or you can download the plans for free and do it for yourself.

I'm going to look into this one and was wondering if anybody else here knew anything about this. If nothing else their explanations sound fascinating.


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Doc Brown
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We would have people on the moon right now if there were something useful there.

If we had discovered life, gold, oil, etc. then the moon would be like the Americas were to Europeans a few centuries ago.

I believe that, despite evidence to the contrary, a lot of Americans still dremed that there might be life on the moon right up until Neil Armstrong and Buzz Aldrin visited.


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