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Topic: Election Results, anyone?

imogen
Member
Member # 5485

posted

Whoah this thread is moving fast.

The broadcast just got stopped here (on both channels it was showing on) in favour of daytime movies. *pbbbt*

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

Iowa is more interesting, if less important.

Kerry
650,664 50%
Bush
649,268 50%

82% reporting there.

Hobbes [Smile]

Posts: 10602 | Registered: Oct 1999 | IP: Logged |

Dagonee
Member
Member # 5818

posted

quote:
Remember, Fox were the ones who first called Bush last election.

Sure that was the *eventual* result - but many people think they called it way to early.

Of course, all the other channels called Florida for Gore far earlier in the evening, ignoring an entire section of the state.

Dagonee

Posts: 26071 | Registered: Oct 2003 | IP: Logged |

Narnia
Member
Member # 1071

posted

The east coast news guys are starting to look really tired and really sick of all of this. [Big Grin]

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Belle
Member
Member # 2314

posted

Also of note - several pickups for the GOP in the Senate, including Louisiana, which has never before elected a Republican senator.

Posts: 14428 | Registered: Aug 2001 | IP: Logged |

Mike
Member
Member # 55

posted

Kerry needs 55.9% of remaining votes in Ohio.

Posts: 1810 | Registered: Jan 1999 | IP: Logged |

Narnia
Member
Member # 1071

posted

Wow. You're right Hobbes, Iowa is closer than I thought it would be.

yeah Belle, there are a lot of states that split the ticket this time around. Washington seems like it's electing a Republican for governor. [Eek!]

[ November 03, 2004, 12:55 AM: Message edited by: Narnia ]

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Dagonee
Member
Member # 5818

posted

Cuyahoga now 90% in.

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Paul Goldner
Member
Member # 1910

posted

Whats the absentee/provisionary ballot situation like in ohio?

Posts: 4112 | Registered: May 2001 | IP: Logged |

Mike
Member
Member # 55

posted

Now 56.6%.

Posts: 1810 | Registered: Jan 1999 | IP: Logged |

Dagonee
Member
Member # 5818

posted

Something like 200k provisional, I heard.

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

10 day delay, lots of contraversy over how to count them.

Hobbes [Smile]

Posts: 10602 | Registered: Oct 1999 | IP: Logged |

vwiggin
Member
Member # 926

posted

James Carville just called the election for Bush on CNN. (His personal opinion, not CNN's official call)

[ November 03, 2004, 12:56 AM: Message edited by: vwiggin ]

Posts: 1592 | Registered: May 2000 | IP: Logged |

Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

Check out Iowa, this is nuts!

Kerry
651,869 50%
Bush
650,897 50%

83% reporting

Hobbes [Smile]

Posts: 10602 | Registered: Oct 1999 | IP: Logged |

imogen
Member
Member # 5485

posted

quote:
Kerry
650,664 50%
Bush
649,268 50%

That's not 50%!

Lazy non-decimal place two significant figure using election forecasters...

(It is Kerry 50.0537%, Bush 49.9463% [Big Grin]

)

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Dagonee
Member
Member # 5818

posted

87%, lead down to 102k in Ohio.

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Sara Sasse
Member
Member # 6804

posted

CNN has Ohio at 51/49 with [87]% in.

[Changed fast!]

[ November 03, 2004, 12:59 AM: Message edited by: Sara Sasse ]

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

Bush
2,420,921 51%
Kerry
2,319,462 49%

87 % reporting (Ohio again)

Hobbes [Smile]

Posts: 10602 | Registered: Oct 1999 | IP: Logged |

Narnia
Member
Member # 1071

posted

So it seems like most networks agree that Bush is ahead, but few are ready to call it yet. I don't blame them!

Posts: 6415 | Registered: Jul 2000 | IP: Logged |

imogen
Member
Member # 5485

posted

The difference between them is only about 100 000, so 200 000 absentee ballots could make a difference I guess.

Is there a trend in absentee ballots?

(Ours tend to be for the Liberal (conservative) government)

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

My most contraversial call yet, Iowa goes to Kerry.

Hobbes [Smile]

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Narnia
Member
Member # 1071

posted

imogen, it seems to depend on how many of them are military...but they count those in a different way than the rest of the absentees, don't they?

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Dagonee
Member
Member # 5818

posted

Absentee generally reflects the popular vote of the state, with a slight trend Republican.

Provisionals will trend heavily Democratic, I'd think.

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

I'm putting Hawii in Kerry's column.

Hobbes [Smile]

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

I'm also making a slighty edgy call and pushing NM over to Bush.

Hobbes [Smile]

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Narnia
Member
Member # 1071

posted

I'll go with you on that one Hobbes...and maybe even your Iowa call too.

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Anti-Chris
Member
Member # 4452

posted

I'm giving Ohio to Nader.

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Sara Sasse
Member
Member # 6804

posted

I'm going to veg off-site and follow the polls through my beloved's savvy eye. I'll be thinking about you all, though.

What a night.

Posts: 2919 | Registered: Aug 2004 | IP: Logged |

Dagonee
Member
Member # 5818

posted

Cuyahoga is 90% in, Hamilton (Cincinatti) is at 50%.

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imogen
Member
Member # 5485

posted

Ohio wiht 87%:
Bush 2,452,234 51%
Kerry 2,335,261 49%

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Sara Sasse
Member
Member # 6804

posted

(10 hours on a computer --> migraine aura. [Smile]

But I'll close my eyes and listen.)

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Narnia
Member
Member # 1071

posted

Bye Sara!! (I can't spell!)

[ November 03, 2004, 01:06 AM: Message edited by: Narnia ]

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

Bush
2,459,650 51%
Kerry
2,342,821 49%

88% reporting.

Hobbes [Smile]

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Narnia
Member
Member # 1071

posted

So they're saying that even if Kerry got a huge amount of the 250,000 provisional votes, it still wouldn't be enough to make up Ohio. What do you think?

Iowa continues to be a great show.

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

I'd like to exhibit some pride here, so far I'm at 100% in calling the states, the tightest ones are still still open of course, but hey, I'm pretty psyched, which is nice since I don't want Kerry or Bush to win, and it's kind of hard to come away with a win in this situation. [Wink]

Hobbes

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

John McCain.

Iowa is over for Bush right now, by just a few hundred, this is going to be a close call!

Hobbes [Smile]

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Dagonee
Member
Member # 5818

posted

quote:
So they're saying that even if Kerry got a huge amount of the 250,000 provisional votes, it still wouldn't be enough to make up Ohio. What do you think?

117k vote lead for Bush in Ohio.

Assume that holds, Kerry has to win 117k more votes than Bush out of 250k votes - so he needs 190k of them to go his way.

Dagonee

[ November 03, 2004, 01:13 AM: Message edited by: Dagonee ]

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Anti-Chris
Member
Member # 4452

posted

He voted for McCain! [Wink]

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Destineer
Member
Member # 821

posted

MSNBC has Bush with 269 now. It'll be enough.

[Mad]

I am burning up inside.

Posts: 4600 | Registered: Mar 2000 | IP: Logged |

Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

Ohio is going to Bush.

Iowa is my one chance for getting any state wrong. *Bites fingernails*

Hobbes [Smile]

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kaioshin00
Member
Member # 3740

posted

CBS news hasn't decided if Ohio is decided [Frown]

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

Yah, but it's still going to Bush.

Hobbes [Smile]

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Dagonee
Member
Member # 5818

posted

89% in Ohio, 2,496,440/2,371,383.

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Sara Sasse
Member
Member # 6804

posted

(I can hardly see, but I can't stop watching)

Dag, on that read, Kerry would need 76% of remaining votes, and he's been breaking about 60/40 in the cities where he leads. I'm pretty sure it's a done deal, but I want to wait for the CNN call.

But CNN hadn't called yet for Florida, and that's way over.

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Defenestraitor
Member
Member # 6907

posted

Agh! This east coaster's going to sleep. Hopefully when I wake up Kerry will have 284 votes. G'night Hatrack! Thanks for the fun!

Posts: 236 | Registered: Sep 2004 | IP: Logged |

Sean
Member
Member # 689

posted

CNN called Florida awhile ago...

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Speed
Member
Member # 5162

posted

Bush just passed Kerry in Iowa.

Posts: 2804 | Registered: May 2003 | IP: Logged |

Narnia
Member
Member # 1071

posted

Goodnight folks. Tomorrow is another day! (A day that I have to get up!)

[Big Grin]

It's been fun watching with you.

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dread pirate romany
Member
Member # 6869

posted

ABC News just called NH for Kerry.

Our (WA) gubernatorial race is still so close, I amstill holding out hope even though I'm not a huge fan of Gregiore. But I can't imagine a GOP governor.

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

I think I might lose my perfect call in Iowa. [Frown]

I shouldn't have made the call when there was less than 1,000 votes difference. [Frown]

Hobbes

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