Author
Topic: Election Results, anyone?
Sara Sasse
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Member # 6804
posted November 03, 2004 12:23 AM
quote: Looks to me like Bush is pulling ahead in Ohio. 52-48. But see the post re: counties with large cities above. The county with Toledo has 3/4 in and the county with Cincinnati has only 1/3 in. Both are likely to continue to bring in votes for Kerry. Same reason as for the Madison/Milwaukee influence noted by PG above. Colorado's cities are also coming in late, but the probable call for it was Bush overall. Don't know how that will end up. [ November 03, 2004, 12:25 AM: Message edited by: Sara Sasse ]
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Hobbes
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posted November 03, 2004 12:23 AM
That's more than doable. Hobbes
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Hobbes
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posted November 03, 2004 12:24 AM
That above post was towards Mike, Ohio's still at 4% spread, 77% reporting. Hobbes
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Dagonee
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posted November 03, 2004 12:25 AM
Cincinatti is more Republican than Democrat.
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Hobbes
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posted November 03, 2004 12:27 AM
3% spread now, 79% reporting. Hobbes
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Sara Sasse
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Member # 6804
posted November 03, 2004 12:28 AM
That's right, Dag. ALthough it's close so far in that county at 51 Bush and 49 Kerry. Now Ohio overall at 51 Bush 48 Kerry with 79% reporting, per CNN.
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Defenestraitor
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posted November 03, 2004 12:28 AM
CNN's model just gave Colorado to Bush. 237-188 Fox's model just gave Oregon to Kerry. 210-151
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Sara Sasse
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posted November 03, 2004 12:29 AM
(Thanks! I should have remembered Cincinnati's conservative side -- my aunt is an active Democrat there.)
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Mike
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Member # 55
posted November 03, 2004 12:29 AM
Kerry now needs in excess of 55.63% remaining votes in Ohio.
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Dagonee
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Member # 5818
posted November 03, 2004 12:31 AM
I wish they'd put the major city names in with the county names on the breakdown screens.
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Hobbes
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Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 12:31 AM
My call for Bush remains. [For the whole thing, not just Ohio] Hobbes [ November 03, 2004, 12:31 AM: Message edited by: Hobbes ]
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Hobbes
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Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 12:34 AM
The senate is now officialy R. Hobbes
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Hobbes
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Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 12:35 AM
As a side now, the local state rep I was really pulling for (and voting for ) has won, this is purley an Indiana matter, but hey, I'm excited. (It's Joe Micon for those other Purdue people) Hobbes
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blacwolve
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posted November 03, 2004 12:35 AM
I've totally stopped watching CNN and am reading this thread instead.
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Hobbes
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Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 12:36 AM
82% in, 51 to 49 at Ohio now. Hobbes
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Sean
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posted November 03, 2004 12:36 AM
Does anyone know how many absentee votes came in in Ohio and when they're counted?
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Mike
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Member # 55
posted November 03, 2004 12:36 AM
56.5%. Yeah, if Ohio goes to Bush, there's no chance Kerry will win.
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Hobbes
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Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 12:38 AM
Iowa is far, far closer, 1% spread (Kerry leading 50-49), 76% reporting. Hobbes
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kaioshin00
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posted November 03, 2004 12:38 AM
Dan Rather cracked a funny;)
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Dagonee
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Member # 5818
posted November 03, 2004 12:38 AM
Republicans just picked up a Senate seat in Louisiana, so they pretty much can't lose the Senate now. Dagonee
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Hobbes
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posted November 03, 2004 12:39 AM
Another percent comes in for Ohio [82 reporting now] (same spread). Hobbes [ November 03, 2004, 12:41 AM: Message edited by: Hobbes ]
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Mike
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posted November 03, 2004 12:40 AM
Kerry needs 57.3% of the remaining Ohio vote. Not counting absentee ballots.
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Dagonee
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posted November 03, 2004 12:40 AM
The gap just widened in Ohio by about 10k (after narrowing by that much about 10 minutes ago).
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Hobbes
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posted November 03, 2004 12:41 AM
Bush 2,355,323 51% Kerry 2,218,407 48% (In Ohio, 83% reporting) Hobbes
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Dagonee
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posted November 03, 2004 12:42 AM
Fox just called Ohio for Bush. I think they're jumping the gun a little, although I think Bush will win it.
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Sara Sasse
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posted November 03, 2004 12:42 AM
CNN overall has 246 Bush and 195 Kerry
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Narnia
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posted November 03, 2004 12:42 AM
Fox News just called Ohio for Bush...has any other network done the same?
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Narnia
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Member # 1071
posted November 03, 2004 12:43 AM
Sara, I saw MSNBC call 207 for Bush, 199 for Kerry...and Fox has 266 for Bush and 211 for Kerry. It's so confusing!!
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kaioshin00
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posted November 03, 2004 12:43 AM
dan rather says kerry's lead in iowa is 'as thin as turnip soup'
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Sara Sasse
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posted November 03, 2004 12:43 AM
CNN Ohio at 52 to 48 with 83% reporting [ November 03, 2004, 12:46 AM: Message edited by: Sara Sasse ]
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Hobbes
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Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 12:44 AM
He's right about Iowa, about 20,000 vote difference right now. Hobbes
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Hobbes
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posted November 03, 2004 12:44 AM
Actually, 15,000 is closer. Hobbes
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Sara Sasse
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posted November 03, 2004 12:44 AM
I know, Narnia. It's all so arbitrary in so many ways. Thanks for the other updates.
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Hobbes
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Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 12:45 AM
It's coming down to Ohio, and I am sticking with my page one prediction for Bush. If Bush wins, that's it, if Kerry takes Ohio, then it'll be a real battle, we'll be up all night. Hobbes
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Noemon
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posted November 03, 2004 12:46 AM
Yeah, I think FOX is being premature also. I have a bad feeling that they're right, but I think it's too early to call it either way.
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Dagonee
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posted November 03, 2004 12:46 AM
The Fox Ohio call was based on an analysis of the outstanding precincts. No one else so far.
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Belle
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posted November 03, 2004 12:47 AM
Bush has been declared winner in Ohio - unless there is the upset of the century in Alaska - he will be re-elected.
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Narnia
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posted November 03, 2004 12:47 AM
MSN: Bush 246 Kerry 207 I won't believe anything until someone is sworn in in January.
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Alcon
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posted November 03, 2004 12:48 AM
Folks are you forgetting how absurdly biased for Bush Fox is? Don't listen to em, none of the others have called it.
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Hobbes
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Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 12:48 AM
It's me they're trusting Alcon, everyone should've just gone home after I called the race a couple hours ago. Hobbes
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Dagonee
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posted November 03, 2004 12:49 AM
You know, you could at least dispute their reasoning. They were right about Florida last time.
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Hobbes
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Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 12:49 AM
Back to a 4% spread in Ohio, still 83% reporting. Hobbes
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Belle
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Member # 2314
posted November 03, 2004 12:50 AM
Um...did you listen to their reasoning for calling it? The margin is too high for Kerry to make up, the outstanding precincts are not in democratic areas. New Mexico is looking good too. That would put it over 270.
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Hobbes
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posted November 03, 2004 12:50 AM
Bush 2,364,527 52% Kerry 2,224,184 48% 83 % reporting in Ohio Hobbes
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imogen
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Member # 5485
posted November 03, 2004 12:51 AM
Remember, Fox were the ones who first called Bush last election. Sure that was the *eventual* result - but many people think they called it way to early.
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Synesthesia
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posted November 03, 2004 12:51 AM
*totally frustrated out of my brain*
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Mike
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Member # 55
posted November 03, 2004 12:51 AM
My Kerry-to-win-Ohio index sits at 58.0%. (Edit: the amount that he needs of the remaining, that is.) [ November 03, 2004, 12:52 AM: Message edited by: Mike ]
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Hobbes
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posted November 03, 2004 12:51 AM
Back to 3 % spread. Bush 2,372,359 51% Kerry 2,232,442 48% 84% reporting Hobbes
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Sara Sasse
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Member # 6804
posted November 03, 2004 12:52 AM
Cyahoga still only has 76% in, at 65% Kerry. Franklin has 91% in, at 53% Kerry. Hamilton has 44% in, at 52% Bush. Lucas has 84% in, at 61% Kerry. A lot of the smallest counties still not much in are Bush territory. It is quite close, IMHO. (The 4 largest cities are at about [70-80]% in, all together. I don't see how that tips decisively to Bush--yet.) [ November 03, 2004, 12:56 AM: Message edited by: Sara Sasse ]
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