Author
Topic: Election Results, anyone?
imogen
Member
Member # 5485
posted November 03, 2004 12:52 AM
Whoah this thread is moving fast. The broadcast just got stopped here (on both channels it was showing on) in favour of daytime movies. *pbbbt*
Posts: 4393 | Registered: Aug 2003
| IP: Logged |
Hobbes
Member
Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 12:53 AM
Iowa is more interesting, if less important. Kerry 650,664 50% Bush 649,268 50% 82% reporting there. Hobbes
Posts: 10602 | Registered: Oct 1999
| IP: Logged |
Dagonee
Member
Member # 5818
posted November 03, 2004 12:53 AM
quote: Remember, Fox were the ones who first called Bush last election. Sure that was the *eventual* result - but many people think they called it way to early. Of course, all the other channels called Florida for Gore far earlier in the evening, ignoring an entire section of the state. Dagonee
Posts: 26071 | Registered: Oct 2003
| IP: Logged |
Narnia
Member
Member # 1071
posted November 03, 2004 12:53 AM
The east coast news guys are starting to look really tired and really sick of all of this.
Posts: 6415 | Registered: Jul 2000
| IP: Logged |
Belle
Member
Member # 2314
posted November 03, 2004 12:53 AM
Also of note - several pickups for the GOP in the Senate, including Louisiana, which has never before elected a Republican senator.
Posts: 14428 | Registered: Aug 2001
| IP: Logged |
Mike
Member
Member # 55
posted November 03, 2004 12:54 AM
Kerry needs 55.9% of remaining votes in Ohio.
Posts: 1810 | Registered: Jan 1999
| IP: Logged |
Narnia
Member
Member # 1071
posted November 03, 2004 12:54 AM
Wow. You're right Hobbes, Iowa is closer than I thought it would be. yeah Belle, there are a lot of states that split the ticket this time around. Washington seems like it's electing a Republican for governor. [ November 03, 2004, 12:55 AM: Message edited by: Narnia ]
Posts: 6415 | Registered: Jul 2000
| IP: Logged |
Dagonee
Member
Member # 5818
posted November 03, 2004 12:54 AM
Cuyahoga now 90% in.
Posts: 26071 | Registered: Oct 2003
| IP: Logged |
Paul Goldner
Member
Member # 1910
posted November 03, 2004 12:55 AM
Whats the absentee/provisionary ballot situation like in ohio?
Posts: 4112 | Registered: May 2001
| IP: Logged |
Mike
Member
Member # 55
posted November 03, 2004 12:55 AM
Now 56.6%.
Posts: 1810 | Registered: Jan 1999
| IP: Logged |
Dagonee
Member
Member # 5818
posted November 03, 2004 12:55 AM
Something like 200k provisional, I heard.
Posts: 26071 | Registered: Oct 2003
| IP: Logged |
Hobbes
Member
Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 12:55 AM
10 day delay, lots of contraversy over how to count them. Hobbes
Posts: 10602 | Registered: Oct 1999
| IP: Logged |
vwiggin
Member
Member # 926
posted November 03, 2004 12:56 AM
James Carville just called the election for Bush on CNN. (His personal opinion, not CNN's official call) [ November 03, 2004, 12:56 AM: Message edited by: vwiggin ]
Posts: 1592 | Registered: May 2000
| IP: Logged |
Hobbes
Member
Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 12:57 AM
Check out Iowa, this is nuts! Kerry 651,869 50% Bush 650,897 50% 83% reporting Hobbes
Posts: 10602 | Registered: Oct 1999
| IP: Logged |
imogen
Member
Member # 5485
posted November 03, 2004 12:57 AM
quote: Kerry 650,664 50% Bush 649,268 50% That's not 50%! Lazy non-decimal place two significant figure using election forecasters... (It is Kerry 50.0537%, Bush 49.9463% )
Posts: 4393 | Registered: Aug 2003
| IP: Logged |
Dagonee
Member
Member # 5818
posted November 03, 2004 12:57 AM
87%, lead down to 102k in Ohio.
Posts: 26071 | Registered: Oct 2003
| IP: Logged |
Sara Sasse
Member
Member # 6804
posted November 03, 2004 12:58 AM
CNN has Ohio at 51/49 with [87]% in. [Changed fast!] [ November 03, 2004, 12:59 AM: Message edited by: Sara Sasse ]
Posts: 2919 | Registered: Aug 2004
| IP: Logged |
Hobbes
Member
Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 12:58 AM
Bush 2,420,921 51% Kerry 2,319,462 49% 87 % reporting (Ohio again) Hobbes
Posts: 10602 | Registered: Oct 1999
| IP: Logged |
Narnia
Member
Member # 1071
posted November 03, 2004 12:59 AM
So it seems like most networks agree that Bush is ahead, but few are ready to call it yet. I don't blame them!
Posts: 6415 | Registered: Jul 2000
| IP: Logged |
imogen
Member
Member # 5485
posted November 03, 2004 12:59 AM
The difference between them is only about 100 000, so 200 000 absentee ballots could make a difference I guess. Is there a trend in absentee ballots? (Ours tend to be for the Liberal (conservative) government)
Posts: 4393 | Registered: Aug 2003
| IP: Logged |
Hobbes
Member
Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 12:59 AM
My most contraversial call yet, Iowa goes to Kerry. Hobbes
Posts: 10602 | Registered: Oct 1999
| IP: Logged |
Narnia
Member
Member # 1071
posted November 03, 2004 01:00 AM
imogen, it seems to depend on how many of them are military...but they count those in a different way than the rest of the absentees, don't they?
Posts: 6415 | Registered: Jul 2000
| IP: Logged |
Dagonee
Member
Member # 5818
posted November 03, 2004 01:00 AM
Absentee generally reflects the popular vote of the state, with a slight trend Republican. Provisionals will trend heavily Democratic, I'd think.
Posts: 26071 | Registered: Oct 2003
| IP: Logged |
Hobbes
Member
Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 01:01 AM
I'm putting Hawii in Kerry's column. Hobbes
Posts: 10602 | Registered: Oct 1999
| IP: Logged |
Hobbes
Member
Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 01:02 AM
I'm also making a slighty edgy call and pushing NM over to Bush. Hobbes
Posts: 10602 | Registered: Oct 1999
| IP: Logged |
Narnia
Member
Member # 1071
posted November 03, 2004 01:02 AM
I'll go with you on that one Hobbes...and maybe even your Iowa call too.
Posts: 6415 | Registered: Jul 2000
| IP: Logged |
Anti-Chris
Member
Member # 4452
posted November 03, 2004 01:03 AM
I'm giving Ohio to Nader.
Posts: 530 | Registered: Jan 2003
| IP: Logged |
Sara Sasse
Member
Member # 6804
posted November 03, 2004 01:03 AM
I'm going to veg off-site and follow the polls through my beloved's savvy eye. I'll be thinking about you all, though. What a night.
Posts: 2919 | Registered: Aug 2004
| IP: Logged |
Dagonee
Member
Member # 5818
posted November 03, 2004 01:04 AM
Cuyahoga is 90% in, Hamilton (Cincinatti) is at 50%.
Posts: 26071 | Registered: Oct 2003
| IP: Logged |
imogen
Member
Member # 5485
posted November 03, 2004 01:05 AM
Ohio wiht 87%: Bush 2,452,234 51% Kerry 2,335,261 49%
Posts: 4393 | Registered: Aug 2003
| IP: Logged |
Sara Sasse
Member
Member # 6804
posted November 03, 2004 01:05 AM
(10 hours on a computer --> migraine aura. But I'll close my eyes and listen.)
Posts: 2919 | Registered: Aug 2004
| IP: Logged |
Narnia
Member
Member # 1071
posted November 03, 2004 01:06 AM
Bye Sara!! (I can't spell!) [ November 03, 2004, 01:06 AM: Message edited by: Narnia ]
Posts: 6415 | Registered: Jul 2000
| IP: Logged |
Hobbes
Member
Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 01:07 AM
Bush 2,459,650 51% Kerry 2,342,821 49% 88% reporting. Hobbes
Posts: 10602 | Registered: Oct 1999
| IP: Logged |
Narnia
Member
Member # 1071
posted November 03, 2004 01:09 AM
So they're saying that even if Kerry got a huge amount of the 250,000 provisional votes, it still wouldn't be enough to make up Ohio. What do you think? Iowa continues to be a great show.
Posts: 6415 | Registered: Jul 2000
| IP: Logged |
Hobbes
Member
Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 01:11 AM
I'd like to exhibit some pride here, so far I'm at 100% in calling the states, the tightest ones are still still open of course, but hey, I'm pretty psyched, which is nice since I don't want Kerry or Bush to win, and it's kind of hard to come away with a win in this situation. Hobbes
Posts: 10602 | Registered: Oct 1999
| IP: Logged |
Hobbes
Member
Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 01:12 AM
John McCain. Iowa is over for Bush right now, by just a few hundred, this is going to be a close call! Hobbes
Posts: 10602 | Registered: Oct 1999
| IP: Logged |
Dagonee
Member
Member # 5818
posted November 03, 2004 01:13 AM
quote: So they're saying that even if Kerry got a huge amount of the 250,000 provisional votes, it still wouldn't be enough to make up Ohio. What do you think? 117k vote lead for Bush in Ohio. Assume that holds, Kerry has to win 117k more votes than Bush out of 250k votes - so he needs 190k of them to go his way. Dagonee [ November 03, 2004, 01:13 AM: Message edited by: Dagonee ]
Posts: 26071 | Registered: Oct 2003
| IP: Logged |
Anti-Chris
Member
Member # 4452
posted November 03, 2004 01:13 AM
He voted for McCain!
Posts: 530 | Registered: Jan 2003
| IP: Logged |
Destineer
Member
Member # 821
posted November 03, 2004 01:14 AM
MSNBC has Bush with 269 now. It'll be enough. I am burning up inside.
Posts: 4600 | Registered: Mar 2000
| IP: Logged |
Hobbes
Member
Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 01:15 AM
Ohio is going to Bush. Iowa is my one chance for getting any state wrong. *Bites fingernails* Hobbes
Posts: 10602 | Registered: Oct 1999
| IP: Logged |
kaioshin00
Member
Member # 3740
posted November 03, 2004 01:15 AM
CBS news hasn't decided if Ohio is decided
Posts: 2756 | Registered: Jul 2002
| IP: Logged |
Hobbes
Member
Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 01:16 AM
Yah, but it's still going to Bush. Hobbes
Posts: 10602 | Registered: Oct 1999
| IP: Logged |
Dagonee
Member
Member # 5818
posted November 03, 2004 01:17 AM
89% in Ohio, 2,496,440/2,371,383.
Posts: 26071 | Registered: Oct 2003
| IP: Logged |
Sara Sasse
Member
Member # 6804
posted November 03, 2004 01:17 AM
(I can hardly see, but I can't stop watching) Dag, on that read, Kerry would need 76% of remaining votes, and he's been breaking about 60/40 in the cities where he leads. I'm pretty sure it's a done deal, but I want to wait for the CNN call. But CNN hadn't called yet for Florida, and that's way over.
Posts: 2919 | Registered: Aug 2004
| IP: Logged |
Defenestraitor
Member
Member # 6907
posted November 03, 2004 01:19 AM
Agh! This east coaster's going to sleep. Hopefully when I wake up Kerry will have 284 votes. G'night Hatrack! Thanks for the fun!
Posts: 236 | Registered: Sep 2004
| IP: Logged |
Sean
Member
Member # 689
posted November 03, 2004 01:19 AM
CNN called Florida awhile ago...
Posts: 148 | Registered: Feb 2000
| IP: Logged |
Speed
Member
Member # 5162
posted November 03, 2004 01:19 AM
Bush just passed Kerry in Iowa.
Posts: 2804 | Registered: May 2003
| IP: Logged |
Narnia
Member
Member # 1071
posted November 03, 2004 01:19 AM
Goodnight folks. Tomorrow is another day! (A day that I have to get up!) It's been fun watching with you.
Posts: 6415 | Registered: Jul 2000
| IP: Logged |
dread pirate romany
Member
Member # 6869
posted November 03, 2004 01:20 AM
ABC News just called NH for Kerry. Our (WA) gubernatorial race is still so close, I amstill holding out hope even though I'm not a huge fan of Gregiore. But I can't imagine a GOP governor.
Posts: 1021 | Registered: Sep 2004
| IP: Logged |
Hobbes
Member
Member # 433
posted November 03, 2004 01:20 AM
I think I might lose my perfect call in Iowa. I shouldn't have made the call when there was less than 1,000 votes difference. Hobbes
Posts: 10602 | Registered: Oct 1999
| IP: Logged |